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Leesville Wx Hawk

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  1. Leesville Wx Hawk
    WRAL all in with ice storm at roughly 0.6” accrued . There wasn’t any mention of sleet that I heard. Am I missing something here? They are going strictly in-house and European from what I can tell. One would think that they could at least mention that sleet could partially save the day for much of central NC as depicted by NAM and GFS. Maybe they are right but it seems a bit early to be certain. .
  2. Leesville Wx Hawk
    That map depicts a sleet fest and a relative lull in precipitation in central NC. It’s higher north due to more precipitation falling during that lull after warm nose. East is higher due to more ZR than sleet. It’s plausible but anything is at this point except significant snow in the Triangle (this time). .
  3. Leesville Wx Hawk
    0Z NAM showing a lot of sleet. If this verifies, ZR could be minimized to accrual levels that are far less damaging in central NC. We shall see. .
  4. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Hope everything goes well for you Jimbo! Will say a prayer for you. .
  5. Leesville Wx Hawk
    The sleet would be first then freezing rain. It’s a bit early to panic on freezing rain amounts. It may end up being well less than is being depicted. .
  6. Leesville Wx Hawk
    We got what you meant. Great that you’re here on the forum!
  7. Leesville Wx Hawk
    True. This doesn’t look like a snow/ freezing rain line. There will be a significant sleet area.
  8. Leesville Wx Hawk
    I’ve always felt this way. People can still score a decent amount without ice or Plain Jane rain.
  9. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Agreed. I remember the confidence early as well.
  10. Leesville Wx Hawk
    This is what I’m worried about Buckeye. EPS and Canadian Emsembles are really hinting at this being a very good possibility with the American on an island that pushes the ridge out yielding colder upper levels. I would prefer no precipitation if a crippling ice storm were to hit large portions of the Carolinas.
  11. Leesville Wx Hawk
    This could be a devastating ice storm somewhere. Hope not but it doesn’t look good.
  12. Leesville Wx Hawk
    It’s been a long time since we had an ice storm in the NE piedmont of North Carolina. I think we will know more by Wednesday or Thursday. My guess is that won’t be what we get, if we get precipitation.
  13. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Dusting 4 miles N of RDU.
  14. Leesville Wx Hawk
    What could go wrong?
  15. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Yep, looks like Eric was right after all.
  16. Leesville Wx Hawk
    I’m more of a small dog lover for snow events. I’ll take 2-3 events all day. Btw….my actual dog is 90 lbs and long!!
  17. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Looks impressive!
  18. Leesville Wx Hawk
    HRR not onboard yet, Eric Webb and WRAL. Will be interesting to read RAH forecast discussion later.
  19. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Would be great!
  20. Leesville Wx Hawk
    I would take that and walk away.
  21. Leesville Wx Hawk
    You have a decent shot.
  22. Leesville Wx Hawk
    He’s good at what he does and his reasoning makes sense. At least we had something to follow and there are more chances coming up.
  23. Leesville Wx Hawk
    RDU about 34-35 degrees when snow falling per NAM. If it comes down hard enough, an inch or so isn’t completely out of the question. There’s a key 3 hour window to get things done. European had similar temps. GFS was warmer. Going to have to thread the needle here but a coating to 1 inch isn’t out of the question in some areas.
  24. Leesville Wx Hawk
    I’m not exactly stoked about the Ensembles from what I could tell. Perhaps I’m missing something. Hard to score below Roxboro in that pattern.
  25. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Looks like models converging now a bit more with GFS and European moving west a bit closer to the NAM . Temps will be an issue unless rates were actually more towards the NAM. It’s a bummer for many here but an inch or 2 is not completely out of the question for some.
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