12z runs, take it as you will
HRRR
3km NAM
WRF-ARW
NSSL-WRF
FV3
Basically areas to note is Central/SW OK and extreme NW AR and SW MO get slammed tonight. Even accounting for melting this could be significant.
Yeah Dan Skoff in his FB Live Update towards the end of the video sounded quite worried about how this could potentially overperform. The AR River Valley along I-40 could really get it. https://www.facebook.com/NWAWeatherAuthority/videos/930132298622291
I will say I am not too thrilled about the icing potential next week. At least in snow you can get around if you know what you are doing. It also means more power disruptions which is not ideal with the extreme cold we have had.
Yeah and people were panic buying at the stores over the past couple days too once the Watch/Warning got posted. A lot of people are gonna be PO'd. We will probably just see a repeat performance of Friday with flurries and a dusting at best.
I mean this isn't even warning criteria. Really confused on why they went with the Warning.
Personally I'm really surprised they went for a Warning. 2-4" is barely even Warning criteria. (4+ is) Another thing too is the air is extremely dry at the midlevels which will cause sublimation to occur.