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stormdragonwx

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Everything posted by stormdragonwx

  1. The moon and stars are out yet we still got flurries. Strangest thing I've seen.
  2. Yeah its still snowing here in Fayetteville. Probably got at least 6" inches now since my measurement last night which had us at 4" inches.
  3. A new Winter Storm Watch already issued for the Tues-Weds system. https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=tsa&wwa=winter storm watch "For the Winter Storm Watch, heavy snow possible Tuesday night through Wednesday night, with additional snow accumulations of 4 to 10 inches possible."
  4. Officially contributed my report to NWS as of 1:45 am we finally broke 4" inches and it's 3 degrees above zero and dropping over here in the Fayetteville area. Snow winding down now.
  5. Looks like the dreaded dry slot is taking shape sooner after all.
  6. This. Things look to actually be trending up now. Unless we get a major dry slot punch, this is gonna deliver. This band really filled in and extends all the way out to Wichita Falls, TX with another band appearing to be developing out around Lubbock.
  7. Here's to hoping, otherwise I have to agree with NWWhiteOut, seems like so much wasted potential with the synoptic setup.
  8. Yeah I just measured out where I am at, I only got 1.25 inches so far.
  9. Strange, TSA has apparently gotten gun shy with this system and cut down on the totals a lot. Wonder what's up with that. It's seems like someone thought this mornings snow was the main event.
  10. Yeah it's definitely a fine dry powdery snow for sure. Not the big wet clumpy flakes we are used to. That should change later. This is again only wave #1 looks like there's 2 or 3 more waves that extend all the way out to El Paso.
  11. Looks like some of that snow is convective in SE OK. Can anyone confirm?
  12. As of right now I can report a decent bit of flurries in east Fayetteville still ongoing here the main system hasn't even arrived yet. Its blowing all over the streets too. Grass is almost covered. EDIT: Found this on Twitter. Same thing happening over by Oologah is happening here.
  13. Yeah I just want one good snowstorm where I can say it snowed me in before we get into severe wx season.
  14. Here's the GEM-GDPS after that 2nd system rolls thru using Kuchera.
  15. FWIW as I mentioned a few pages back, I don't really trust the NAM at all, most notably after how it initialized a few days ago saying it was in the high 30's when it was already 28. And as others mentioned the CAMS are not always the best with winter weather. The GFS, v16, GDPS, and Euro have stuck to their guns on this event for the most part.
  16. Those were with the PC but I've done it with my Android its just a bit trickier to accomplish. You have to tap and hold the white area at the top of the graphic to get the "save image" option with mine.
  17. QPF between GFS and v16 120 hours out. EDIT: 150 hours out quickly shows nearly 2 inches of QPF https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2021021300&fh=150&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_sc&p=qpf_acc&m=gfs_para
  18. Agreed its totally weird. We get one anomalous once in a decade event like in 2011 then shafted the rest of the time. For us NWA folks I'm holding out hope on the GFS Ensembles. As far as I have seen every member on every run shows us getting at least 6 inches. Here is the 18z, only one that scares me is #2 lol
  19. Heck I saw on one of the Canadian models a couple days ago a perfect little bullseye of nothing over Benton and Washington counties while everyone all around received a foot.
  20. I kinda got a feeling like what another poster mentioned "Lucy" might indeed pull the football at the last minute. I just can't help not liking the trends today. I was really hoping this storm would give 2011 a run for it's money for NWA. Guess we will see in 36 hours or so.
  21. Fair enough. TSA is pretty well known to being conservative on their forecasts. Still crazy to think 14in is being "conservative" here though.
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