For nyc it is. Needed continued steady trends, fairly significant ones and as Will pointed out the usual ebb and flow is to go the other way late. This one wasn’t for the city.
Give me the cold and I’ll take my chances. It’ll find a way to snow be it a clipper, mauler, Archimbault as the trough lifts out whatever. But without the cold you have no chance and rarely is there a period in the MidAtlantic where it doesn’t snow because it’s too cold.
It’s just hitting me that we wait all year, through mud season, mosquitoes, severe weather, foliage, stick season, to get to the chance of a wintry holiday period and another one bites the dust again this year. It’s a long time to get another shot.
I don’t know, I think for C and S NE most realize it’s cutter city and above normal until closer to the late 20s of the month. Christmas looks fairly mild and potentially wet, but likely not white.
Grinch very much alive and well on most of the operational models.I think this pattern change coming a little late for Christmas. Probably have to endure a couple grinches outside of far NNE before a better pattern closer to NYE for the rest of the region.