Ahoff

Hopefully, we'll all be pleasantly surprised.

How's the GFS been lately? At least it's not the most reliable.

One thing that is refreshing is not really having to worry about mixing issues. I know it's not that kind of storm, but still. Also, has the energy been sampled yet by the models?

I'm getting excited, and I know I shouldn't, lol! I'm still realistic, but the possibility is interesting. I'm overall still sticking with 2-4".

You're not kidding. Isn't NAM getting near it's wheelhouse? SREF Plumes are at 8.25" mean!

That recent NAM run was crazy, even the one before was nice. I know it is near the end of it's range so, grain of salt and all, but the trend is nice. Euro looks pretty nice as well. Good trends today. Let's keep it up! Also, Ron Smiley, on KDKA, this morning mentioned this could be "the big one", but wouldn't commit to giving totals right now. Says there's a lot on the table. Maybe he looked a the NAM?

I actually just thought last night, looking out at the sky, there has been a remarkable lack of thunderstorms this year. I don't remember this few storms here. Very weird.

That's a screw job I'm ok with, lol! Now in winter, with snow, it's unacceptable, ha!

Anyone else notice a lot of leaves changing and falling already? I assume it's due to the dry and hot conditions lately, but still a bit odd to see leaves dropping in brown and orange on August 4th.

Feels Fall-like out there. Big change. Gets you looking forward to that weather in about 4-6 weeks or so.

Interesting record we're approaching in Pittsburgh. Looks like as long as the highs hit 80 through Friday, Pittsburgh will have hit 80 degrees all 31 days of July. Checked the NWS page and found that this would be the first time since 1955 that has happened, and only the 3rd time in Pittsburgh weather history. The other time being 1878 (before the reporting site moved out of the City). Pretty impressive. Plus, this would only be the 3rd month to ever have all its days reach 80 (August has only gotten to 30 days).

Dew point peaked at 76 earlier! Luckily it was only 81 at the time, but still crazy.

We'll be tested with heat next week again.

We actually, in my area had our first rain since June 28th. The airport, hasn't seen any yet, we hit 93 officially today.

Unfortunately, I have no pool near by and no community pools open, plus just room air conditioners. There will be a little skill to staying cool.

Will be interesting to see for sure.

Our record is 13 straight days (1988). We definitely won't break that record, but wonder if the monthly 90 degree record could be in jeopardy (17, July 1988)?

This heat wave has proved itself to me in Pittsburgh. Officially hit 90 today, fifth day in a row. Was 94 yesterday, but the dew point was about 56, so, it wasn't too bad. We've been very lucky to have generally low dew points the entire time. A few spikes here and there, think it peaked around 68 one morning, usually falls to near 60 or lower later. Today, is the best chance of rain we've had in 8 days, and that's not even guaranteed. Also, looks like next week the heat returns. Could we have a record hot July?

I do love this dry weather. It doesn't happen much, so I'm savoring it. Soon enough we'll be back in the rainy days. The heat also hasn't been too bad, yes it is hot, but thank God the humidity has been fairly low. I could get used to this, haha!

Our forecast was for 92-93, only hit 89. I can't tell you how many times a forecasted high was in the 90s and we stop at 89. If we hit 90 three times out of the next week, I'll be surprised. We definitely won't make it tomorrow, since we're forecast at 89-90. 87 is my guess. Even with very dry conditions and pretty low dew points the temperature still didn't soar, lol. A few years ago (2015 I think) the device was upgraded and was initially set too high I believe, and was thus corrected, but I wonder if it was overcorrected. Personally, I think having the weather station at the airport, so far out of the city limits is ridiculous. The temperature in downtown was 93 today. The device shouldn't be in downtown, but within the city limits shouldn't be a crazy idea.

Seems Pittsburgh will underachieve again, as usual. Looks like official readings stopped at 89. Maybe there's an inter hour 90+ reading, but wouldn't be surprised if it didn't make it. Made it to 88 just before noon, so it seemed like a slam dunk 92-94 degree day, but in true fashion the airport measurement doesn't move after that. Probably best to expect to come up short by 3-4 degrees from forecasted highs for this heat wave for my area. Usually, how it is anyway. It's weird because everywhere else around the area will touch at least 90 on days like this, but the airport rarely does. I think something is wrong with the measurement device. Also, I think they're observed weather is always off. Many times it will say the day is mostly cloudy, when it very clearly is clear or mostly sunny everywhere, with the satellite showing no clouds. I think that's why they classify Pittsburgh as very cloudy, the official recordings are always off.

I know in my area, the Euro has put out a few 95-97 degree readings early next week.

By normally underachieving, I mean as observations for years and years, not just this year, lol!

That's what I am hoping for, low humidity with this heat. It makes all the difference.

I've been wondering, because May and June ended nearly 4" below average here. It's been great, but definitely dry. Yesterday we were expected to hit 85 or 86, but popped up to 88. In Pittsburgh it is unusual to overachieve on summer temps. Usually if we are forecast to hit 90 or 91 we usually stop at 88 or 89. Yesterday we overachieved by two degrees, that's odd. Conversely, though, today was supposed to be around 86, but looks to fall short a few degrees. Having nearly 10 straight days at 90 to 91 seems kind of implausible since it is so consistent, so was wondering if maybe they are underestimating some of these highs.