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Modfan2

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Everything posted by Modfan2

  1. Looks like it’s heading N; when is the right turn projected?
  2. I would agree with you, just the west edge seems to be eroding which is concerning
  3. That’s what I was thinking earlier, radar out of Key West appeared to show dry air working in from west side
  4. Question, watching the Melbourne radar, echoes pushing S to N seem to be dying out just north of West Palm; is there drier air coming from N?
  5. Could be just the radar, but does it look like dry air is getting wrapped into the back side?
  6. I think this will end up between Venice and Sarasota
  7. Tropical Storm warnings expanded here in SE FL
  8. Under a Tropical Storm warning now in SE FL.
  9. Nice plot Ray; while at this moment I am too far east (pretty much on the I 95 sign above Palm Beach) for any major impacts other than rain and some breezy weather at this point.
  10. During Irma parts of St Lucie County and neighboring Indian River counties received 21” and there was quite a bit of flooding.
  11. Plenty of members show a Tampa area hit, not sure I would call that “wishcasting”. Nothing is off the table at this point.
  12. Most all models except GFS are around Tampa area
  13. 5am cone from NHC, S FL currently out of the cone; this can change.
  14. Would a slower development mean a more westerly track into the Gulf?
  15. Hope so, don’t want any part of it; a Tampa north LF is fine by me!!
  16. I would think, at this point that is the outlier?
  17. I mean why wouldn’t it, I close down here in 2 weeks and the few days later in CT….FML!
  18. Seems the quicker the right turn the weaker it is…
  19. If it does I assume a further west track?
  20. Is this due to the 2 centers of circulation, picking the further Sw as the main center?
  21. Is the thinking still Sw to Ne on track where ever it makes landfall?
  22. Wasn’t the Ukie the one that nailed the Irma track?
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