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Modfan2

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Everything posted by Modfan2

  1. Modfan2
    Chances will be there for most, I think Kev north has best chances for frozen the next couple of weeks; those of us south will need a good set up to fight off marginal temp profiles we have had all season
  2. Modfan2
    At least we’ve had two weeks to dry out
  3. Modfan2
    Happy Blizzard of 78 anniversary, I scored 30+ living in Southern ORH County; jumping off the garage was done with ease and no broken bones!
  4. Modfan2
    Although around this time last year we had our lowest temps of the season (-10F for me); I could be wrong but I think our coldest stretch will be the 7 BN days we had in January
  5. Modfan2
    I mean we hit 97 last April which was my high for the year, so we’re not that far out
  6. Modfan2
    And overall I don’t think the pattern has been awful, just no real cold to draw from. 17” of precip between Dec/Jan is pretty damn good.
  7. Modfan2
    Unless something drastically changes pattern wise I think anyone north of Kevin/MA-CT line has good chances, for those of us south of that area need better than marginal temp set up for anything substantial. It’s just the way the season has gone.
  8. Modfan2
    A lot of models have been loaded with potential all season.
  9. Modfan2
    Hmm odd blue sky this morning, we take.
  10. Modfan2
    It that seems to be the theme of the winter, long range pattern looks good but within 10 days things change. Do we see any big cold in the extended? I am wondering if the pattern going forward after V Day looks favorable but is that for Pike north?
  11. Modfan2
    At some point the pendulum needs swing the other way; the question is when?
  12. Modfan2
    That fact that we are in 2024 and models are less than accurate even within 24hrs leaves plenty of room for discussion and conjecture; none of this is exact and no season is a carbon copy of another. Having said that moving back from FL I couldn’t have asked for two better winters to ease the wife back into the cold weather!
  13. Modfan2
    I mean we’ve been pretty wet since summer and you have to think the pendulum swings back the other way; I honestly thought that it would have happened by now and we have close to 17” of rain since Dec.
  14. Modfan2
    The odd part is not that we have missed out be cause precip wise we have been above normal, but the temp dept we have been marginal. Going forward do temps favor us and we lose out on precip chances? At some point we will go through a stretch of drier weather, does that happen now? Does it happen Spring or Summer?
  15. Modfan2
    Lock it; models have been pretty reliable within that range!
  16. Modfan2
    Wow, might have gotten more snow out of the 10 min squall than I did all weekend
  17. Modfan2
    Seems pretty meh after the thump
  18. Modfan2
    Dry slot approaching, temp back up to 34F and over to rain…It was fun while it lasted
  19. Modfan2
    Moderate cat paws and sleet in Brooklyn still 33F, ground coated.
  20. Modfan2
    Ping fest with Snow mixed in, roads getting slushy
  21. Modfan2
    Actually impressed, down to 33F and sleet with snow mixed in at 250’ and ground starting to whiten. .39” liquid so far.
  22. Modfan2
    Surprisingly start to whiten up the ground with sleet/snow
  23. Modfan2
    Getting back into the heavier band, snow mixing back in
  24. Modfan2
    Looks like snow bright banding around Ginxy, wonder if he is seeing snow? 34F still here in lower elevation in Brooklyn and sleet
  25. Modfan2
    Yeah, pretty much done with rain at this point; I don’t think the rain totals over the last few months get enough talk
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