so.. Milton is currently ~10-20 mb stronger than predicted even on the most recent hurricane model runs. Is that delta larger than typical? Seems like a big difference..
In recent memory (10 years ago maybe?) there was an inverted / Norlun trough modeled for this area, expecting like 5-8" the night before and woke up with a coating. Obviously set-up for that was a bit more unpredictable..