Warwick WX

Yeah if debris is going that high, who knows how far laterally toward your friend it can be tossed? Nevermind if the funnel expands...

To put it on a bumper sticker, Peace River = Peace Out. You can also let him know if the surge doesn't get him, the river length of 106 miles and drainage basin of 1,367 sq. mi. per wiki will carry a crap-ton of rainfall/runoff at a great enough depth to threaten flooding from the inland side.

Visiting my bro on Saturday just north of NYC I was telling him 1-3 inches for him and 4+ inches for me. Looks like we are both staring a 10 spot in the face. To be fair, I am more subject to a snow hole and he may actually out-perform my total.

Alas I went the other way right after my post, huge snowflakes turned to rain. But now right back to sleet trying to flip to snow again. Sent from my SM-G991U using Tapatalk

Pounding across the pond in Warwick. Bummer it is mixing over there.

I much prefer your floor of 5" than BOX's floor of 2" IMBY.

Quick thoughts appreciated for more a mundane matter, now that it appears this is not a life or death storm for New England: My wife has an all-weekend vendor event on the north RI/MA border tomorrow, and they are apparently not going to postpone Saturday (the flyer says "rain or shine"). However, we've had multiple canopy tents destroyed from wind in the past and don't feel like taking another $120-150 hit from destroying another. The forecast for the area of the event says NW wind 20-30mph. A constant 20mph wind is probably ok and towards the upper limit of what we'd deal with. How likely is it for gusts 30+ mph in interior RI/MA? The storm is weakening but I'm always concerned with the "expanding wind field" these transitioning storms tend to bring. TIA.

Hope I'm wrong but unfortunately I think that dry slot in SE CT is going to pivot right when conditions are there for a changeover, then the snowfall will finally pick up just after noon.

Good sign so far is it has held at 39 deg in my backyard. We'll see if it returns to 43 at 7am as forecast or we stay under, and maybe this will give away a flip before 4pm. As it is, our forecast flip has moved up from 6pm to 4pm. A few more hours of pounding gets us closer to 4-6". OTOH, the dreaded RI snow hole awaits to screw us right after the changeover from rain...

Sign me up for a flip near midday tomorrow, that would be best case for RI. I'm expecting more of a late evening flip with 3" or so of paste, melting within 24 hours.

Trying to hold on to the edge of the band but intensity is definitely lighter, as well as a drop in wind. We were absolutely cranking from 10-1.

Sorry, saw this late. Will do...

There's a decent coating here.

Suitable beer for the occasion after storm prep:

Ever seen a grown man naked. [/Airplane]

I'm literally listening to Harvey on the retro broadcast of Channel 7's coverage of the Blizzard of '78 from the weekend after, on Youtube. The amusing part was the anchor cut Dukakis short from telling too long a story to get to a young Harvey. He mentioned a "dual center", one near the surface and another high up in the atmosphere, contributing to the strength of the blizzard. I'm no expert but maybe someone could clarify, but does that sound similar to the "dual lows" some of these models are producing?

Our self loathing.

Great, we have a surprise birthday party for my SIL reserved at a club Saturday night here in RI. What is the % chance this thing can go forward? 5/40/80%?

ERINEB? (Eastern Rhode Island Not East Bay)

Yeah I am close to I-95 and the state does a good job on many of the roads in my neck of the woods, but you are bound to hit some rough roads going to Newport. Aquidneck Island tends to be neglected by Providence for state highway repairs, and then you have Newport proper which was settled and planned with horses and pedestrians in mind, the road conditions reflect this needless to say! Fun fact: the first jail sentence handed down for an automobile speeding ticket in the US was given in Newport in August 1904. For going the outrageous speed of 15 miles per hour.

Woke up to gusts over 50 here next to the airport with transformer sparks lighting up the sky every 5-10 seconds, but somehow still have power. All of Warwick Neck is out, had to break the news to my poor brother-in-law in Aruba to see if anything needs to be saved from their freezer. Can only imagine the south shore based on how fresh the breeze is here!

Agreed, I'm just curious how much it costs over say a 20 to 25-year period for disaster repairs and how much of the overall utility cost pie that takes up. Like is there even a worthwhile offset in cost by eliminating these events. Google did not help me out with a bottom-line estimate of disaster costs just related to electric.

As a civil/site designer we generally propose all new subdivisions with underground power/no poles. But it doesn't help when the power connecting to the substation for the development is conveyed by poles 2' away from overhanging trees. Until somehow all the money needed is spent to convert existing overhead lines to underground, this will be a perpetual problem.

You lucked out. What part of NK are you in? My buddy near South County Trail lost power around 10:30.

A screwhole here most of the day, but accommodating my wife needing to drive to her doctor's appointment at least. Brushed a trace off the car about 15 minutes ago.