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Baltimorewx

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Everything posted by Baltimorewx

  1. Why the heck they got this watch going until 6? This stuff is bookin’. Should be out by 3
  2. It’s 10am on April 13...how warm did you expect it to be?
  3. Agreed. That’s the biggest story today...along with any showers or storms that mix the real stuff down and make it even worse. Severe stuff sometimes pans out here but not legitly that often
  4. I think the winds will be legit later and any heavy shower/storm development will aid in the mixing down to surface but goes most of the time, I think the severe threat is a bit overblown for this one..we’re just a little too far north for the explosive development and that line segment
  5. Well that was weak sauce. Barely even getting any rain here
  6. HRRR does have it clearing out this afternoon though
  7. I tend to think most severe weather outbreaks are overplayed in this area anyways but yeah, radar doesnt look like much right now
  8. Death toll up to 19 in Tennessee...mostly in Putnam county, well east of Nashville...Will be interesting to find out exactly how many tornadoes there were or if this was mostly just from one single long track tornado
  9. I think Richmond is right on the line of steady light snow, so my opinion I wouldnt expect much there...But pending on model runs tonight If I lived in Richmond Id be willing to chase to the Raleigh-Wilson-Greenville corridor. If it goes down, that should be the best spot to see the most snow
  10. They’re not gonna increase a threat above slight 5 days out unless the blizzards of 2010 are coming...
  11. Wow that’s remarkable agreement for 120 hrs out. I think the good news is, that this is only 72-84 out from developing in the southern plains
  12. Not sure why when this is trending in a good direction, and could have 3-6" upside when all is said and done, wit ha nice saturday morning scene nontheless
  13. If your flight isnt until Sunday, I doubt this effects it
  14. i like the fact that for the most part, this weekend has been consistent and a long duration tracker since like 240 hrs out. The GFS has shown at least some kind of initial wintry precip on every run. I know its still 120 hrs out or so but I would be a little disappointed if I didnt get 2"+ out of this before any slop/rain/dryslot
  15. Can anybody be a little more specific on what the OP euro shows? I saw somebody say light snow, but duration/amounts?
  16. Yeah, the initial slug of overrunning goes a little bit further north this run. That’s the fear, either get that slug of overunning or probably nothing
  17. What a great run on that storm next weekend from the 18z GFS...that’s some cold smoke for a little while.
  18. Pretty good antecdent cold airmass before that storm next saturday night too so things would really stick and ice up good
  19. Yeah i was thinking that...looks like maybe gusts in the 20s
  20. Cant really tell with the 24 hr maps, but how does the Euro do in terms of Saturday night? I saw good trends from the other models holding off most precip until after midnight Saturday, curious if Euro agrees
  21. Wow, I thought the snow yesterday would ease everybody down...I guess not
  22. Yes but keep that rain away for Saturday. Right now the system maybe looks slow enough for rain to hold off
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