Baltimorewx

The earlier Sunday stuff kinda looks light to me north of DC though. I don’t love that. But obviously it’s better late Sunday and then the CCB from Baltimore-north

Just saw someone b*tching on an Anne Arundel County wx facebook page that she is disappointed in the snow forecast because "Winter is supposed to be over"....I said huh? We're in the heart of winter...coldest climo period right now. Some people you just cant teach weather to no matter how many times lol

I know they may not be as useful anymore but can anyone shed light on if the GEFS generally supports the OP? Didnt see a post

GFS model will have the north and west crew off the ledge for now if they still believe in the GFS as a model lol..decent CCB coastal during day on Monday

The 3K NAM is kinda ugly...hopefully it juices up that WAA stuff....it is at the end of the run so we'll see. ICON incoming already at 09z Sun..seems to be one of the earliest models

My 2 cents is anyone that was buying those 1-2 ft totals with this was a bit unrealistic with the set up and coastal transfers...Im still happy with the overall look but its all relative..If I get 3-6" up until about 03z Mon and then lull for a bit and then get another 2-4" during the day monday from the coastal transfer ill be happy with that...There just isnt enough southern stream energy and moisture for the huge totals and then combine the messy transfer and we dont get that heavy CCB on Monday. But im good wit an overal 6-9" or something like that

Keeping it generic but I’m not sure why Monday doesn’t just say rain or snow. A high of 37 obv wouldn’t work for snow lol

Still doesn’t get it done though.

GFS seems a little slower thru 72

The primary on the icon definitely holds on too long and development is late but we saw nice trends with the WAA precip and cold air damming. Still time for us to work on the coastal stuff

Great WAA thump on the ICON. Cold air damning more pronounced. Looks like it’s gonna be a decent run all considering even if the coastal doesn’t pan out 100%

I thought the 2010 twin storms were pretty well modeled

Well 0z Monday is 96 hours away...

Very true but honestly at this point I just want to see the solid WAA thump of 3-6", anything more than that is on the gravy train. I just need a solid snow on the board for the year. All the modeling seems to point to a decent WAA thump. Hard to see that completely failing right now

Right...I mean we know temps are PROBABLY going to be an issue at some point anyway for the usual lowland spots...thats just how it goes...just give me a front thump and a chance at the CCB...Euro seems to do that still

Maye im missing something 32 degree line looks south of DC to me...

Dude only had 101 HRs...weak sauce

Nobody with the 6zGEFS yet? I noticed the 6z GFS OP is still hanging on to that late transfer and more north solution.

Is there a time where hes NOT all-in? lol...Looks good so long as the block pushes this thing just underneath of us and then off the VA capes...but we've been Charlie Browned too much already

I know it’s a bit shamed on here but the HRRR is not too enthused with snow accumulation. Basically has the entire area under 1”. Just not any mod to heavy precip. Will be interesting to see if it’s right or if the NAMs are closer to reality

Are you really just Justin Berk or Joe Bastardi on here?

We’re toast for both storms lol imagine that

The Canadian is better than the GFS but it’s certainly no QPF bomb...we would definitely take its outcome though

South trend clear on that though as well

Only .15-.25 for most of the area on precip on GFS.