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Baltimorewx

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Everything posted by Baltimorewx

  1. Baltimorewx
    The GFS has the .3 line basically running along I95. Not saying it’s right but that obviously won’t work well for rates and accumulation. That’s why the 10:1 map is so low, it’s a rain/snow mix because the rates are never there
  2. Baltimorewx
    No it’s the 10:1 lol
  3. Baltimorewx
    Salisbury bullseye on the Canadian. Fairly sizeable shift east from 12z
  4. Baltimorewx
    Canadian looks a bit east too. Not as heavy with precip either
  5. Baltimorewx
    It’s lighter with the overall precipitation banding so therefore temps aren’t as cold. We need the rates to overcome the marginal surface temps. GFS doesn’t do it. Doesn’t mean it’s right. But it’s the way this would go wrong
  6. Baltimorewx
    Doesn’t seem like that good of a run to me...just not as heavy with the precipitation as the other models
  7. Baltimorewx
    It’s 1 inch QPF..I don’t think it can get much more juiced than that in basically a 6-8 hour period
  8. Baltimorewx
    Always wanted to hit my a-hole uncle at 7AM...but yes, nice 12z CYCLE!....good consensus I think on a 3-6" pasting with perhaps a narrow stripe somewhere of 6-9"
  9. Baltimorewx
    I think 3K NAM is showing more realistic best case scenario...a uniform 4-7" mostly accross the area. Would be awesome to see those rates though predawn but might be tough to get up that early on a Sunday before the SB lol
  10. Baltimorewx
    Yeah nobody’s getting a foot. But up to 5-6” I guess is possible in the heaviest precip locations where it’s still cold enough.
  11. Baltimorewx
    I think it could coat the roads up pretty good if it comes down hard enough, even at 32-33 temps in early morning. But once it lets up, melting will occur quickly. So this will be one of those events where it’s impactful while it’s going, but once it’s done it’s done. Travel Sunday afternoon for the game should be fine
  12. Baltimorewx
    Apparently Jarretsville/Fallston got a little snow and a little slush build up in the last hour. Snow plow guy I forecast for sent me a couple pictures of pavement slush. Nothing crazy but enough for him to sling a little salt I guess
  13. Baltimorewx
    Icon still looks on board..probaby better than 12z
  14. Baltimorewx
    Wow...could a thread the needle event actually go in our favor for once? In a Nina? This would be incredible.
  15. Baltimorewx
    This OBV isnt a big event but if we can get the rates and get this to hit predawn into the mid morning, maybe we can pick up another 2-4/3-5.
  16. Baltimorewx
    Looks like an i95 bullseye...need those rates!
  17. Baltimorewx
    Not if the Rates are there lol...Ill take a 4" wet snow storm in 6 hours with rates over the last storm, but I know I may generally be in the minority to you N/W crew
  18. Baltimorewx
    Marginal temps with this one..if it does come north, need to get into the meat of the precipitation. Gonna need rates
  19. Baltimorewx
    Icon has the storm but verbatim its snow to rain. But certainly close enough
  20. Baltimorewx
    I didnt even get an inch this morning so be lucky you got that I guess lol
  21. Baltimorewx
    Sunday was alright...Baltimore metro generally got 3-5" I mean it only snowed at a really good clip for 2 hours or so. Id rather have a 4" snow in 6 hours ripping fatties than 12 hours of steady light snow but 4" is 4"...after sunday night, just pixie dust. Nothing substantial. Got more rain monday morning than any snow the last 2 days
  22. Baltimorewx
    We're gonna be called the Baltimore B*tches
  23. Baltimorewx
    I get your frustration...other than Sunday, this storm was a compete dud for me too. Im just saying you're like what 20 miles from the DE Bay if that? Just have to have a lot go right in order to get a storm thats more than a few inches.
  24. Baltimorewx
    I mean you should be kinda used to it...its tough for the coast to get snow...Has to be perfect mix between supressed and amped, even tougher than my area or the metros lol
  25. Baltimorewx
    My only guess is that we were too close to the upper level low and the best lift for wrap around bands was along the fall line and up agaisnt the mountain ridges...but idk, somebody more of an expert would have to try to confirm that
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