Baltimorewx

23z is 1” or less for most people here. A few like you maybe score 1-2”. 22z at least had a more uniform 1-2” for most of us

DC proper will likely do awful with this. White rain all the way. There ain’t enough grass there lol, well except for all the hippies smokin it

Everybody here knows it’s about rates. The issue is every single model has decreased the rates in the last 12-18 hours.

Don’t look at the latest HRRR then

It continues to not be good that’s for sure

Yes but the wind has died out here allowing me to partly enjoy this cigar lol

On another note, 45F feels so much colder when it’s cloudy. Overcast and feels like winter despite the temp in luterville Timonium

Hey I make money off my weather opinions so that’s value

Currently smoking an acid toast cigar at my county park job..maybe it’ll help me be more optimistic

I don’t know why me saying I think maybe they could have held off on the issuance of warnings is such an insult or terrible take. You guys don’t like my point of view, cool, great whatever. I really don’t care. I post what I see, as I see it. Maybe I am a pessimist. But the eternal optimistic posters in here are just as annoying to me. To each person do you.

Hard to say how much QPF though since the off runs are not in range yet. Thru this image it’s maybe like .2?

I will be in my weenie tears if I’m 36 and rain and you’re 33 and puking snow just across from the bay from me lol

The 3K 10:1 map is disastrous outside of the eastern shore

That’s not at peak banding though particularly for him.

That was my point. Just felt like they could have held off a bit before going to warnings. Especially being basically a 4 hour Sunday morning event

I was just about to post this. Was waiting for the total QPF map but it does look rather anemic based on the sim radar

NWS updated The air aloft is cold enough to support snow, and despite the warm conditions this afternoon, there should be enough dry air for wetbulb cooling to take place, causing any rain or rain/snow mix at the onset to change to snow for most areas. Even still, temperatures will be marginal at the surface near to perhaps even a degree or two above freezing across the metro areas and southern MD, to perhaps near or a degree/two below freezing near the Mason-Dixon Line and the higher elevations. Also, with the warm conditions leading up to the event, that will affect the SLR`s as well. Therefore, the accumulating snow will be dependent on the heavier snowfall rates, which are possible given the stronger frontogenetical forcing that is showing up in much of the guidance. The banding snow may overtake the marginal temperatures for a period Sunday morning, causing the snow to accumulate. Have continued with the Winter Storm Warnings for the Metro areas as well as northern and central Virginia, and central Maryland. These areas have the best chance for heavier precipitation with temps close enough to freezing for 3-6" most likely. Farther west across the northern Shenandoah Valley into the Potomac and Allegheny Highlands, Winter Weather Advisories are up for 2-4" of snow most likely. Temperatures will be colder leading to higher SLR`s, but the better chance for heavier snowfall rates will be to the east. Across southern MD, a Winter Weather Advisory is in effect. Despite the heaviest precipitation rates across this area, temps will be a little warmer causing snow to mix with rain at times. The confidence in the forecast is lower than it would typically be because, the snowfall accumulation will be dependent on exactly where the heavier bands of snow setup since temps are marginal. Precipitation will move out of the area Sunday afternoon and most areas will rise well above freezing, causing any snow that does stick to melt. The one exception will be along the ridges of the Allegheny Highlands.

So long as we get .5-.6 of precipitation in 3-4 hours that won’t matter a lot. The question is will we

It’s still decent but it continued the trend of a little drier. It’s slight, but there

Yes agreed. Northwest city has some decent elevation in spots

I’m at my Baltimore county Rec and parks job and there’s no recreation, so all I have to do is obsess over models on government wifi time

I’ve even been worse than some parts of Baltimore city though too lol being here on the southeast side.

HRRR FWIW is .25-.3 QPF for most of us.

I remember March 18 being OKAY. I think it was like a quick 4” but in soon as it stopped the melt was on. But yeah, that’s been tops for me I think since the big 16’

Perhaps...but being a rate dependent storm, I don’t find it particularly encouraging that a lot of the guidance has trended drier in general over the last 12 hours. All I’m saying.