Baltimorewx
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Everything posted by Baltimorewx
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Canadian is solid north of DC in MD...5" for most of us. Maybe 6
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Im not really that worried about the high...highs often over perform a little if its sunny. I just want the temps to respond as steady precip comes in tonight and the mid levels and warm noses to hold off. This is probably a 32 degree snow for Baltimore but that can still generally work especially at night
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Anyone think that the trailing wave for saturday is maybe preventing wave 2 from being able to really develop? I mean its just a weak precip shield now..spacing maybe an issue I guess
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Talk in NWS discussion of upping totals for the northern teir though...no shocker based on 12z data so far
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Even the mix is right to baltimore on GFS...verbatim still good enough but no wiggle if it decides to verify 15-20 miles N
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3K is still pretty wet for Baltimore though so Ill take it lol
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Yeah that NE confluence seems to be helping in northern/NE MD now that part 1 is spreading more north a bit
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Yeah but right now it kinda seems on its own with the mixing line that far north..I mean we are only talking 30 miles though so who knows it could be on to something
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3K NAM with a nice burst of snow right over Batimore at 11pm lol...sorry Im being IMBY
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Never been on that part of it so no not really lol..but still point remains
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Baltimore just hangs on to snow on the NAM...verbatim its nice cuz its wetter but getting too close for mixing
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It looks good for Winchester..not so much for DC
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HRRR looks like a no go for wave 2 though for the most part, maybe light precip coming up. Not a surprise
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Looks like 3-4" for most of us north of DC on HRRR...mostly from 10PM-8AM
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Youre too warm for wave 1...and wave 2 is kinda looking crappy right now
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Yeah I mean I think its an issue for around DC and rt 50 to Annapolis but I think north of there should be ok once the steady stuff comes in
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I’m going with 2-4” for most north of US rt 50. Extend that west thru Virginia. I mean splitting hairs I guess but most places should see at least 2” from this but probably not more then 4 or 5
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Seems like general consensus for us is like .4 precip if you kind of blend everything. Unusual that we maximize precip to what’s on the ground so that’s why i said 2-3” lol. I’m not complaining really I’m just glad I don’t think rain will be an issue for my area. Just let the snow fall and what can add up will add up, that’s my take on this one
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I’ll say most of us around Baltimore this time get 2-3” from this one. Maybe a few of us get lucky with 4”. At least we don’t have to worry about rain this time, though I guess surface temps are still a little marginal especially in metro areas. Part 2 generally looking like a dud though. Not the bigger snows it could have been again but maybe we can at least blanket things up with a couple inches and then wait for our ice ice baby Saturday
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Hopefully this isn’t the case of the NAM having that one run that’s just too juiced close in. But that’s at least encouraging for Baltimore. Stays all snow up here at least
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HRRR is looking fairly solid thru 29. 1” on the ground already for most of us at midnight.
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Yes nice to see but damn that precip cutoff from south Baltimore to the PA line lol...gona be tough to trust the modeling on the heavier precip cutoff areas
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18z icon doesnt look warm to me...upper 20s to around 30
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ICON looks decent with wave 1 from what I can tell .5 precip around DC and close to Balt
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NAM is slower but still looks very acceptable to me thru 39
