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Baltimorewx

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Everything posted by Baltimorewx

  1. All we need on the 3K is a slight trend south with the WAA precip...southern PA gets some nice stuff at 10z...wouldnt take a big shift to get some of that into the cities
  2. Yep...29-30 degree temps for most...hopefully that would drop a couple degrees once the steady stuff cools the column
  3. May not be puking fatties but HRRR at end of run has snow for everybody at 11z...earlier start for folks west
  4. 6z euro snow map anyone? I saw the QPF map posted but how much is snow vs sleet/fz?
  5. The euro has seemed to want to suppress/dry things out a bit just to juice them up near game time of late...just keep that in mind too
  6. Wow. What a great GFS run...especially for Baltimore lol
  7. It might not be a lot of snow but it’s damn cold and a lot of ice
  8. I posted in the wrong thread but ICON is a decent thump from like 13z-19z....keeps temps in 20s thru 0z
  9. ICON is a decent thump like from 13z-19z
  10. DIfferences on Icon are negligible thru 57...but if anything slightly more confluence and vort maybe slightly south
  11. Not saying it happens with this one, maybe the confluence will just win out but there has been somewhat of a trend to suppress things (get it to go south) in the 48-84 hour ranges and then the inevitable north shift in the 24 hours to gametime frame...just something to think about is all, I mean most of us would probably still be good for a thump even if that happens
  12. It does sometimes snow in DC...yeah, Its a lot harder than folks to the NW, but it happens...If it goes to crap it goes to crap, but as modeled its a nice snow thump for even DC right now...yeah its the future, it hasnt happened but its all the data we have to go off of
  13. Hey thats not nice. I might be a deb but Im more realistic than that dude....This is looking solid for a cold thump so long as there isnt some crazy NW trend...26-28 degrees with snow falling thursday morning sign me up
  14. Gotta be careful with those maps though...Im pretty sure theres a good period of sleet/Freezing rain in there, that the map is counting as snow
  15. We’ve been duped with this before but maybe this one works out
  16. Car is icy but solar radiation definitely seems to be helping and not allowing real ice accretion on other surfaces. If there’s anything left around sunset that might change though
  17. Whats up with models lately drying up in like the 24-48 hr period and then juicing back up when its nearly gametime? Seems like a trend lately
  18. My apologies, you're right...Deff looks like the biggest issues are DC-South and east but issues area wide
  19. Yeah its more QPF down in DC and southern MD...I posted before the run was complete...more spotty up this way though
  20. HRRR has light icing in the area saturday afternoon but its spotty...seems like decent consensus now for this to be a spotty icing event...some issues still but not all that bad
  21. Its uber long range HRRR time lol, In reality it fared pretty well I think for wednesday night snow
  22. Glad to see the ice forecast generally going down for tomorrow. Don’t need power outage issues. Still looks like a glaze to a .10 for a lot of us though so travel may still be iffy later tomorrow into early Sunday. Enough probably for my plow guy to salt a couple times maybe
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