WidreMann
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Everything posted by WidreMann
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Colder aloft and also at the surface, eventually.
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It's already meteorological winter my dude.
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It was just a hair too far south to save me from two fewer hours of snow. Still, waking up to 7" on the ground in early December is amazing. That puts at I believe third snowiest December for RDU.
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New Euro shows snow over central NC. Can't tell how much though. EDIT: maybe 1-3" based on liquid accumulation in that period.
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Pretty bold for the Triangle. We will fight mixing and marginal surface temps.
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Yeah it improved slightly after 18 hrs, but it's a little warmer at the surface late mroning.
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Are we sure they aren't as accurate?
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18z NAM is coming in warmer and further north.
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They should be banned TBH. The amount of midlevel warmth is going to really cut down on snow for folks tomorrow. I'm predicting a lot of "why is it already sleeting?" posts.
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Funny thing is, the NAM isn't even the warmest model. RGEM and GGEM are worse. New Euro also.
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12z FV3 is warmer midday tomorrow than the 06z, at least for central NC.
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If I see more than an inch on the ground tomorrow morning when I wake up, I'll consider it a win.
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Not exactly encouraging...
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It was fine for me in Durham. Couple inches of snow and sleet. It looked nice.
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What happened in January 2016?
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For Wake County, that's probably reasonable, except the northern parts. Even compatible with NWS forecast tbh.
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All the models except the NAM/SREF are good for RDU, or good enough. If NAM holds for 06z and 12z, I'll cave to the NAM.
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Unlikely. It's too warm for that.
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I wish TT would fix the FV3 maps to generate on time and in order.
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The GFS and the NAM couldn't look more different. Strange for being so close to the event.
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Lol. GFS coming in further south and the high, while not as far east, is stronger, for whatever that ultimately ends up being worth.
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The NAM can do many things. Use your imagination.
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They aren't hi-res models that usually do well sniffing out mid-level warming. I'll weigh the NAM heavily with this one.
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Can we stop posting these TT maps? They include sleet and ZR and are basically worthless in this scenario. We aren't getting 18" of snow in Wake.
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If it can happen, it will happen. That's what's going to kill our snow chances as we lose the heavy precip to keep things cool.
