Gfs clearly can’t figure out which piece of energy to focus on. Visible flipping between the frames. Low following convection and classic convective feedback signal
Me being in northern NY bordering Vermont I hardly win in these setups. The primary precip shield degrades before it reaches me and the secondary reforms to Far East most of the time
ICON looks remarkably similar to the 12z EURO, at least with the precip expansion on the north west side, and has been consistent with the same solution for 3 days now!
This model is holding serve now over 3 days in a row with the same solution pretty much... with a band going into northern NY and areas like the big cuse
because its consistency run to run has been stellar for this storm. regardless of outcome. does anyone know when 18z euro comes out? that's the only one I cannot find online. anyone have a good source for it? thanks
It’s consistency is shocking. Over and over the same solution. I been saying it all along. Don’t discount the icon considering other models surprisingly trending north west slightly with the reformed low spitting back moisture