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UnitedWx

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Everything posted by UnitedWx

  1. Actually it is quite different than BDL. Always has been. Strange gradient area... been observing since 1977
  2. I'd think his area is upwards close to 90. When I lived in North Brookfield years ago we did well there also
  3. I disagree. I've seen many times over the years where from BDL east get shut out in marginal storms, even at some elevation. If you look at a topo map, there's a ridge on the extreme east side of town. That's a big dividing line in most storms, even non marginal ones
  4. Exactly. Western and Northern parts of Simsbury can have 6 inches in a borderline system and east by Tarrifville and south by Avon can have 2. Lots of experience in this area over the years with snow plowing accounts. And CoastalWx, it is 65 average in most of the town, some have said 70 but I wouldn't
  5. 65 give or take. Goes up quite a bit N&W. Some great weenie spots really close. North and west Granby, East Hartland and Granville MA. All close to everything but seem a world away... and Especially Granville and Hartland 20 percent more snow easily
  6. With some of the people I've spoken with, they don't believe that the AI models will offer any sort of large Improvement with the computations at this point. In fact one person I spoke with believes they could cause even more confusion at times.... You have to remember it's all about data ingestion. The AI model can't just dream up the details of a shortwave halfway over the Pacific any more than any other model really
  7. Well at this point the way things have been going the last several days, it's almost baked in that some of the 18Z will throw some juicy bait back at everybody. The one thing that's very clear to me with all the run to run upper air changes is that out ultimate outcome is far from figured out either way Edit: Nothing like stating the obvious
  8. Yeah, especially in his area... MAYBE part of December, January, February and if super lucky the first half of March.Even in my area historically that's when it may be snowy and winter like
  9. Now some of the younger ones understand what it was like for me when I was a teenager
  10. Unfortunately it happens a lot
  11. 6Z GFS says no again, but i feel this threat still has some shenanigans up it's sleeve
  12. Well... I for one would entertain that 30 inch tip on the QPF map currently shown in my back yard
  13. See Wethafellas post above you, that's what is important at this point
  14. I wouldn't be concerned... he gave up the sauce for the new year. Baby steps with the less important models. I really want to see the Euro bite soon
  15. Lets just hope our phase doesn't turn into something like this
  16. I remember a big one way back in like 2013 when the title of the thread was... Dr. NO says YES! Lets do that again
  17. It really seems as if the OP runs have become a roll of the dice ensemble member until say 2-3 days out
  18. Still a long ways out. I'm not starting to buy anything either way until Wednesday. Gut says we get something... but how scientific is that
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