GFS takes a big jump to the NE. The east trend we are probably rooting for might actually be the worst case scenario if we don't get a favorable axis on the trowel with the low too far north. Then we're limited on our backside potential.
From the synopsis’ I’ve read. They mostly gave up on measuring because the drifting was so bad that there was no accurate way to measure even with averaging.
This is so close to being a huge hit for a lot of us on this board. Would be nice for Columbus to break it's streak of no storms over 6" dating back 2015.
Well to be fair, climo does not support a storm bombing out over Indianapolis by any means so the result would likely be a bit east.
Regardless a pretty good hit on euro, although likely overdone. Will be very impactful no matter the outcome.
GEFS is pretty much exactly what we want to see at this range. Tons of moving parts and climo tells me this can’t go too much further west than overnight euro and gfs had it.
I think we could get a lot more than 2-3 inches even with the current track. Ratios will be extremely efficient and an occluded low in that position can pull from Lake Michigan.
I’ve got to assume GFS will keep going west and end up in line with other guidance. Question will be whether it’s windshield wiper effect over the next 3-5 days or if this thing goes west enough to be a Rainer for us.
Even with the worst solutions being CMC and ICON, we would still pull a white Christmas out of those. Really hoping we're still tracking this thing under 100 hours.