Gino27
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Everything posted by Gino27
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GFS and Euro also hinting at some fun around the 16th.
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Especially once the cold sets in for next week. Regardless of how long it lasts it's sure to have me begging for snow.
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Getting some here too north of Plain City. Actually got a small coating.
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Euro kinda hops on board too.
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Yes, of course. However, it is a big improvement from previous outputs that parked us in the much warmer phases (4, 5, and 6) for as far the eye can see.
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Not sure if anyone around here is involved over on 33 and rain, but there's been a decent amount of talk about the standing wave not allowing the MJO enter warmer stages. Even a few are saying it could jump to p8 in the very long range. So, with some decent blocking the 2nd half of Dec could be lots of fun.
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Haha! It's probably in fantasy land. BUT, the Euro had a similar output and there's been some talk of cold around the 10th so it might be hinting at something.
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Moving right along!
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I really do hope the Pacific jet doesn't sit there and flood us warm air for too long. We had 4-5 weeks of it last year and it drove me crazy
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Again, I see lots of similarities to last year. Maybe the set ups are very different but December sucked last year.
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Unfortunately I think this will be the case for most of December. With MJO likely heading into phases 3 and 4, and +EPO/-PNA it'll be really tough to get any substantial cold in the area. The big question going forward will be the amplitude of the warmth and how long it stick around.
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2019 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Thread
Gino27 replied to snowlover2's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
For what it's worth, the GFS tries to bring in some pretty big cold after the 10th. Is it drunk? -
Ugh. These early season teases really set me up for disappointment in December. Hopefully any mild stretch is short lived. Last year's went for like 5 or 6 weeks. Wasn't it a raging pacific jet that killed us? Are there any signs of something like that for this year?
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It also breaks my heart to see plenty of cold air without a favorable pattern. I know it's very early but still...
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What does everyone think of the pattern heading into December? As of now it looks as if it will certainly be cold, but I don't like the way the storms are tracking atm.
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NWS Wilmington is starting to crank up the totals.
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Looks like another I-70 / I-71 battleground here in Ohio until it becomes all snow.
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I think things are trending in the right direction for my area!
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GFS is in full windshield wiper mode now.
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I figured. My hope is that this thing can get its act together and lay some nice snow down for Central OH.
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Not really sure what the NAM just put out... looks like nothing for pretty much most of the Midwest except for lake effect areas.
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I'm hoping the cold air makes a stronger appearance. Even though its early in the season, It always breaks my heart to see Central OH go all rain every time.
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Wasn't the first half of November quite cold last year too? Then we had a pretty chilly first week of December followed by some terrible mild weather for what felt like forever. Hopefully we don't repeat that.
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Looks like the ECMWF is falling in line with the GFS for next Thursday.
