There's some nice things to like about it, mostly the very very cold air it has to work with. I worry it'll be too fast and a bit too warm. Hopefully we can get the trough to go negative a bit earlier like models had, and might be trending to.
Might get "saved" by the stuff coming out of the south. High res models had it picking up some moisture but it'll probably fall apart like everything else. LOL!
Oof. Major dry slot totally screwing me in Union county. Not even a dusting. Just drove around the north end of I-270 and it was dumping with huge flakes. Looked like more than an inch for sure.
Wooohooo! Looks like some of us get a big beautiful dry slot to start the morning. In all honesty It wasn't really supposed to get started this early so I have no worries.
I'm thinking 1-3 across most of the Columbus area, but 3 is probably a stretch and would depend on whatever weak deformation we can squeeze out. It's nice to at least be tracking SOMETHING after last year.
I didn't know this was where all the Ohio folks hung out. Tomorrow looks like a nice thump for eastern OH and an inch or two for everyone else unless we get lucking with back end or something.
Sorry ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ ... I still don't like the way it has that gap between western and eastern ohio. Keeps looking better on vort and euro had a similar look. Might be a sneaky good system.
Reminds me of a surprise 4-5 inches I got ahead of a big NE storm in 2018. High res models were the only ones to pick it up and not until about 36 hours out.
Possibly yeah. Will probably depend on what radar shows the day of honestly. I will have to deal with pretty rough temps and mixing with rain unfortunately.
I will likely get screwed by the transfer and only pick up a dusting. Unless of course there's a big time trend either east, or west in which I get the edge of the main event or the pre-transfer.
I mentioned earlier that big changes in the strat like SSW's that seem to always be pushed back by models aren't valid. GFS actually bumped this up a day. Will have to see what the euro and ensembles do. Certainly something to watch out for.
Big thing to watch is if the models keep moving the goal posts with them. If a SSW keeps showing up at the end of the run, it's not valid. If it gets closer as time goes on, it might be legit.