Gino27
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Everything posted by Gino27
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Warm nose is at 750 mb
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Man this run is prob gonna send most of Ohio into full panic mode. Feels like 90% of our last chances for big storms.
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NAM has a HUGE warm tongue. Every model has warming in the mid levels but NAM is a bit extreme compared to others. It's either on crack or genius.
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Yeah don't look at the nam if you enjoy your life at all
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The nam is doing some shit
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I'm buried. Easy toss...
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Looks like the euro listened to Buckeye
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If we're playing this game... CMH: 7.4" DAY: 11.6" CVG: 9.8" TOL: 11.0" CLE: 10.5" My backyard (Plain City) 8.2"
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Here's what I went with for my twitter forecast. The 6" line could still move east or west once we see how this shapes up.
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I saw it was made at 3pm in the bottom right corner. Nice to see the other offices on board. DTX should be the last one to fall.
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Nice to see all the offices agree!!
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Track has changed slightly but the big difference has been it becoming a lot more amped. Also, most models definitely show a more significant push of warm air.
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I'm a bit more optimistic than I was earlier. I'm 12 hours from snow entering my area so models don't mean as much as they did yesterday. Even if this "busts" it's still a significant snow here.
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I looked into a lot of soundings of the NAm between 6z and 12z. The shift it had was honestly nuts. I'm thinking we can write it off for now.
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As long as we stay all snow we're in for a big one. We won't get the crazy ratios of those more the west but can't compain.
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Both GFS and GFS v16 held serve. Looking good outside of the NAM.
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This is refreshing. I'm in SE Union county so I can typically do a little better than Cbus in these setups. If nam comes back to it's senses I'm game on.
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I really don't know what to think for us in the I-71 region. NWS has held steady for us despite glaring model changes. As it sits now the nam is the only one that actually screws me over, but there's no telling if the bleeding has stopped on the others.
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I'm mostly disregarding the NAM because it has just been too inconstant. Every other model with the exception of the HRRR has been marching NW with no end in sight. Even the euro almost brought sleet into Franklin County. I know there's a lot more to this than models but it's still hard to watch.
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I see no end in sight with the NW trends. Most of us within 20 miles or so of I-71 are probably screwed imo. Hopefully today's runs can stop the bleeding and NWS stays confident.
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At least this one looks to be busting 24 hours before the storm. Much better than waking up to sleet and rain.
