binbisso

.15le With close to 3" is it possible that we're having 20:1 ratio?

heavy snow in The Bronx eyeballing inch and a 1/2 radar looks good

Snowing in The Bronx and 30ﾟ

6Z nam well West and juiced up. A solid 3 to 6" across the area more to the East. 996MB low off the Jersey coast

Yup imagine we grab a couple of inches tomorrow and a moderate snowfall next Friday. Most of the area would be above normal snowfall With a plus 5 departure for the 1st 5 and a 1/2 weeks of Winter

I agree except this is not your typical coastal storm with cold air already in place Trying to hold on. This is a wave forming on the cold front with some pretty good CAA under way. This is one where we need the South East Ridge to hold on longer

That's a nice hit for the Southern half of this sub form especially with the cold temperatures forecast Monday through Wednesday it will look wintry outside. Any chance this can shift 50 miles further Northwest to get everyone in the goods

The euro is warning level snows for the Southern half of New Jersey and extreme Eastern Long Island advisory snows for the rest of Long Island and the Southern boroughs

Wow the GFS with 20" of snow for Atlantic City incredible it does get around 2" into the city 6" around Long Branch New Jersey

Central Park reporting 2 hundreds of an inch of liquid should be 1st measurable snow tonight that's as of 3:08 AM. Probably more now let's see if we can squeak out an inch tonight Nice Christmas Eve surprise

Moderate snow everything covered including roads in The Bronx about a 1/2 inch on the coldest surfaces coming down pretty good clip

I don't think anyone is hyping cold and snow Actually I think it's the opposite. Obviously this week is lost So nothing to speak about through Friday However the pattern does start to turn favorable after that there's nothing wrong with talking about post 7 day ensembles.

What are you looking for a full latitude PNA ridge a West base NAO and a negative EPO for it to snow here. It has snowed in worse patterns than what the ensembles are showing Post 12/20. It's a very serviceable pattern and I'd be surprised if it doesn't snow for at least parts of our area during that time frame

I believe we've had negative PNA patterns and above normal snowfall here. When other indices are favorable I believe a negative PNA can add to the potential for snowfall here (many SW in the flow) especially indices like the AO/NAO. It's extremely hard to get the perfect pattern at 500mb But the pattern starting from around December 20th onwards looks serviceable

From Webb 'PNA/-NAO patterns like this can often look deceptively warm in the extended b/c of the SE US ridge at 500mb. However, they're notorious for sneaky backdoor cold fronts & cold air damming along the eastern seaboard, that usually doesn't show up until we're in the medium range.

lol. Yes. He usually beats me to it.

"Euro/GFS/GGEM all have something to watch for 12/20 timeframe. They also have one for 12/18 but it seems like NNE might be the place to be for snow in that one. " Here is a great example of what I'm talking about. This from a poster in the New England forum. I know you'll say this is from the New England region but half of our region averages more snow than Connecticut. It's 9 days away and it's on the ensembles and besides a few posters all you hear about is how warm it's gonna be Or how fast the Pacific jet is but there is a very real possibility that we snow during that time frame for at least parts of this region. I mean half the fun is tracking the other half Is when it verifies

Yeah but that region in northeast New Jersey should be in the southern mid Atlantic since their climate is closer to Virginia Beach. That area is warmer than philly through New York including Trenton and Eastern PA

Central Park is probably next which is a little surprising since most reporting stations in the boroughs are still in the fifties except for Staten Island

Well I have to tend to disagree. Weather is all about probabilities. Let's say there's a 25% chance of cold and snow in the 7 to 14 day forecast. In this region that percentage is never discussed. Posters from other Regions like ORH, Carver's, psu Hoffman And others would discuss that possibility but not really in this region except for MJO allsnow and Eastern LI. By the way over the years that 25% has verified quite often

Reagan, Reagan, Bush senior, Clinton, Clinton, Bush junior, Obama, Obama, did not vote trump. slightly right leaning independent. It just seems that in this region most people are on the warm side compared to the other forums im on and the other regions on this site.