This just seems like the typical evolution of cold events. I tend to think models sometimes overdo cold at long range and it gets more reasonable the closer we get to the arrival of the cold air.
What does under-dispersion mean? Is it just what you describe where it’s too similar to the OP? I guess it isn’t making enough tweaks for each different outcome?
I can’t be too down if we’re seeing fantasy storms. I can’t remember seeing too many of those in recent years. If it means I need to drive up a hill to see some snow, I’ll do it. As long as it’s cold.
Had 0.1” in Blacksburg yesterday, and it’s been flurrying off/on all day, now with some mixed stuff.
Visited a mountaintop to get some true snow squall snow and probably got 0.5” there in a short time, but it was blown away by the wind.
There’s Comet C/2023 A3 in the sky too, i forgot to see it before it set today, so I’ll have to try again tomorrow. It will set later each night apparently.