I’ve been preferring the GFS for precip for awhile now, at least since I started practicing forecasting. I really dislike when they all depict different solutions, I just don’t know how to handle that yet outside of a few hours.
The rain earlier didn’t disappoint in the northern neck. Perhaps not the best birthday weather but eh. Ready for round 2 later. It didn’t seem to soak in but rather run off.
It’s strange. The reflectivities over me are about 26 dBZ, but the rain seems to be coming at a decent rate. Still patchy showers though. Taking whatever I can get. Hasn’t rained anything meaningful since the 4th.
According to the radar status on radarscope, RNK radar might have been hit by lightning so it isn’t working well.
edit: apparently it’s rain not lightning.
I drove down 81 from staunton to Blacksburg on the 15th of June, and was amazed at how green it was. Driving back the same way on the 1st, I wasn’t even sure I was going the right way.
Maybe here? I don’t know what type of file it would be, but it looks right, and you can sort by WFO.
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cow/sbwsum.phtml
I don’t know if anyone really thought a watch would be necessary this morning. The LWX 2:39pm AFD mentions unimpressive shear across the area, while the 9:45pm AFD uses words to suggest more shear. So my guess would be that shear is a bit more impressive than expected.
Does WB show what climatology it is using?
edit: actually this wouldn’t necessarily be the reason it’s wrong, especially if the other models agree with each other…