Rhino16

I can seemingly always count on the weather to do the opposite of what I expect! As the outflow blew through it was kicking up water over the river. It almost looked like there was a gustnado in the mist. It rained a decent amount, maybe half an inch, not sure it will be enough to save some of the leaves on the trees. Also had first thunder since end of July, so that was fun.

It’s sooo dry, we got 0.01-0.05 on Thursday, but before that it was august 19th since the last rainfall, and that was around a quarter. Today doesn’t seem too promising in the NNK.

Already 32.6 at Canaan NWR. Fast! It was 37.3 this time yesterday.

It’s already 40.6 at Canaan NWR. 50ish at surrounding mountaintops it seems.

If you haven’t decided yet, today looks okay for a clear night sky, at least according to the HRDPS which is apparently a decent model for cloud cover which I’ve heard in space weather groups. Satellite also seems good at the moment. Good luck stargazing.

Happy birthday!

Unidata has a series on their youtube channel where they show how to retrieve data, manipulate it, plot it, etc. It’s all in python though, but maybe it would help.

I just graduated from the VT Program, and am considering returning for masters in an adjacent topic. Your ideas seem to be the profs current thinking at the moment with respect to AI. I’ve heard from numerous people that the field is shifting towards a model where meteorologists will be interacting with the public much more, instead of sitting at the forecast desk all day, at least in the public sector.

Thanks! Ha, Thanks! I’ll be back tomorrow…

I’ve gotten older again. This time, I’ll get to go around the sun as a meteorologist. Let’s see what I’m doing this time next year…

A quick rain shower over the northern neck. Maybe it will add half to 3/4 of an inch or so. It was coming down. Wonder if they’re using some CAPE from the bay to sustain themselves.

Radar might be covered in outflow boundaries to the south later. Maybe there will be some cool collisions to see.

Happy Birthday!

Mine is probably impossible to achieve.

Managed to mostly split the gap earlier, but did get maybe a 0.1” from the south half of the line. Got to see 2 small shelf clouds though, and lots of lightning. Getting random showers now with some rumbles. Waiting for the random beginning of august impressive unexpected thunderstorm.

Are there any good resources to learn little things like this, or is it all just time, experience, and networking? It feels like there’s still so much to learn. I should practice forecasting while I’m not doing anything.

Not a drop today, kind of disappointing when the air is a liquid.

DCA: 99 IAD: 99 BWI: 99 RIC: 101

We’ll probably have to wait for a substorm tonight for best chances.

18/10/4

Tomorrow night seems to be the one to watch. Won’t complain if it continues into monday night.

We haven’t had much interesting that hasn’t been timed alongside clouds and rain so I’m hopeful this time will be good.

Did get some good storm photos yesterday! I was quite surprised. Sunday and Monday may be chances to see Aurora if the air can stay clear.

Not many changes at 20z, just some adjustments north and “trimming”. rest of outlook is same as previous. ...20Z Update... The primary change to the Day 1 Convective Outlook was to slightly expand severe probabilities farther north in NJ to account for placement of stronger storms likely preceding the surface low track. The western bounds of severe probabilities were also trimmed to account for the passage of the surface low and surface cold front. Otherwise, the previous forecast (see below) remains on track. ..Squitieri.. 05/30/2025

Very big expansion of the 5% Tor in the latest outlook…