I get scammed on that one, with a half an inch of freezing rain. I want snow, not to be trapped in the house unless I dare break my leg or something going outside...
As someone who’s learning, Are there any problems with what the 0z HRRR is showing? It seems to have slightly increased for Richmond over the last 2/3 runs.
It is awkward here weather-wise in winter at least, not quite Northern VA, but not quite far south VA...
Also: 0z 48hr HRRR was interesting. Forgot that was a thing.
Lucky, they have a winter storm warning there. They need it if they want to open the slopes on December 4th! (I think they’ll barely get it, unless they need a bit more to groom.)
For entertainment this winter, we can take a single 840 hour run of the GEFS, study it frame by frame, correct it’s biases, and get it as close as possible to what we think will happen...
Maybe not the 840 because it smooths out so much...
We all know they usually go negative in the last week of November / First week or two in December, then go positive again until March or April. Watch it happen again... hopefully not.