Rhino16

The SPC MD says 0.05-0.1”/hr. The precip ahead of it seems to have beefed up a bit too, which I don’t like. The crust is nice and shiny though!

Heard a scary cracking noise outside. The sky is orange I think. Still waiting on this ice squall thingy, but with 1/8” already I hope it isn’t too bad.

Measured 1/8” of ice here, think the temp is dropping in the area but hard to tell.

Decent rate freezing rain right now but it’s been fluctuating in intensity. I think temps are close to freezing but just slightly below? I woke up late so measured 1 & 1/8” of snow/sleet/ice. Local station at 30, but that’s south across the river. edit: seeing 31s pop up now so the changeover to plain rain may be close.

Eyeballing maybe an inch here on the coast. It must not have continued much when I went to sleep

Guess I’m staying up until 1 or 2 since it will flip by 4am here. Nothing falling on the drive home.

Some light flakes here in the southern Northern Neck

The sleet line looks like it’s just south of Murfreesboro, TN right now. Can’t tell if it’s slowly drifting north or just sliding east.

Blue is the wet bulb, very important!

It sucks to waste all this cold air on this. I don’t think I’ve been able to track a successful winter storm since I started having an interest in this field, so I have no clue what to look for aside from textbooks and stuff. It really helps me to have experienced it before.

We switch to rain here in the NNK unfortunately which hopefully doesn’t wash everything away. At least on some guidance.

Is that something the Conv. Allowing models will be more helpful with when they are more in range?

Seems better because that low stays off the NC coast a bit further. Can’t check too much because of work…

Looks like they just went up now!

I wouldn’t be surprised if this ended up as 4” otg in my yard after rain/sleet/compaction etc. I’m probably in the worst place possible moreso than Richmond even. edit: Don’t forget to have a laugh at the temperature plots for after the storm on the GFS.