Rhino16

In the latest swpc post they suggest as early as late tonight to early tomorrow, but I hope it’s later so I don’t have to stay up or wake up early

We did have an X5 flare this morning so don’t discount anything if you can get somewhere dark. Waiting for more info on it though. Hopefully clouds won’t ruin it.

I got a few flakes. Wish the dewpoint depression was a bit lower but I’ll take it.

Yay! Now to wait out here in the NNK, but I think it would take something like the higher returns over the west end…

There’s definitely some stuff on radar, but I see an mping report near richmond reporting flakes. I assume it’s too warm and dry, but does anyone see anything? Even rain?

Starting to get stuff on radar north of richmond, but dewpoint depressions are like 25 degrees so it doesn’t matter.

BWI: 15.4” DCA: 11” IAD: 16.8” RIC: 7” TB LYH: 11”

It was pointed out that there may be possible first flakes occurring now at snowshoe wv.

I do have some concern for the ski season (early season at least) in WV if there isn’t some rain. Not sure how they’re doing on water reserves, but It can’t be great. Making snow might be tricky.

They’re out now? I didn’t see a single one last year, and heard similar from others. Actually, maybe the only one I found was dead. That would explain a lot.

Drive home from work was wet! Didn’t see what happened late afternoon to now, but I think the northern neck avoided the heavier stuff.

We're getting there... slowly... it at least appears better than last night's you posted.

Did it happen to be somewhat of a squall event type thing? I have images of a snow squall chase on the 21st of November, but that’s down on a mountaintop near Blacksburg, VA.

Not sure, I put in a request back in May, just waiting to hear back and provide whatever proof they need.

Basically, we can take a set of numbers and break them into quarters. Just like we do with the months in a year. Interquartile is the set of numbers between Q1 and Q3, the numbers in the middle of the dataset. So if the models are putting out numbers that are very spread out and uncertain like in your example, the Interquartile Range will be high. If the models are all putting out similar numbers, the difference between Q3 and Q1 will be low, so making a temperature forecast might be easier.