NorthHillsWx

Anyone who thinks this last batch will create an ice storm in areas that have minimal accrual to this point will be wrong. If your area has a decent amount of ice to this point yes it could worsen the impacts. But it’s not going to cause an ice storm in areas without ice. The storm is over from a pure ice storm stance in all areas that didn’t accumulate ice to this point. Heavy line type precip will 1) not accumulate well and 2) not last long enough to cause an ice storm in 3-4 hours. Just not how ice buildup works

I think NE GA ends up as worst ice from the event (NE of ATL)

Not true. Regardless there are only 12,000 customers without power. That’s not all all weather related either

Those are customers out. There are actually only 292 outages now. 1 outage affects more than 1 customer, think a tree falls and it takes out everything downstream

Duke Energy brought in 18,000 workers for storm response and there are 342 total outages in the Carolina’s. Judge this event as you wish, just reporting the numbers

For Raleigh I’d say both: win without an ice storm but bust bc with precip and an over performing wedge this would’ve been an awesome sleet storm

Gotta be one of the strongest wedges we’ve ever seen

Glad I ain’t the only one who saw it lol. Got people saying I’m blind

Temp could be sus. It’s frozen over

We ain’t talking much lol. Gotta stare at my black truck

Anyone thinking this wedge would break- I got news for you

Currently 20.9 with snow flurries. Yes, flurries

If we get a heavy thunder sleet band this storm won’t be a bust lol

Glacier level: unheard of here

I’ve seen model fails but this is next level. I’m not talking precip types, QPF. RAH had triangle 1.25-1.5” as of last night and I’ll be shocked if we get to 3/4” an inch. Had Mets telling us the dry slot wasn’t real and don’t believe it. Had folks on here silencing everyone who said QPF wasn’t going to be an issue and listen to forecast offices like sheep. Now I’m pissed, the cold for a sleet bomb was here. If we’d had anything close to what they called for, we’d have 2-3” of sleet right now. Instead we have a very light glaze of ice and 0.25-0.50” of sleet. Huge winter storm! Crash out complete enjoy the winter weather and power ya filthy animals

0.20” QPF maybe?

Dry slot doesn’t even contain freezing drizzle. Just dry

One thing- most models are (predictably) trending colder this evening and overnight

Everyone was, I’m not saying it’s bad. But two days ago model QPF trended way down and most dismissed it. Not calling anyone out but it is what it is. That being said, this is awesome sledding. Best street sledding since I’ve lived in my current house (2018)

WRAL had the triangle in the “crippling” category yesterday

There’s no two ways to spin this- serious forecast bust. Thankfully for those in ice areas

Funny how this went from 10+” of snow to a crippling ice storm to what in all likelihood looks like 1” of sleet with a glaze aka just a travel stopper

I have no idea how it’s possible but the sleet is actually mixing with snow now

It’s not getting above freezing unless we get a heavy squall that brings the warm nose down. With how weak QPF is I kinda doubt that line will be as modeled once it hits the wedge. I think ice storm averted

It’s been steadfast. It will be hard to unwedge from 21 degrees unless we get that heavy squall line, imo. Rare to start a wedge event at 19