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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. NorthHillsWx
    FV3 is how we win as a forum. Smooth transition from ULL to coastal, negative tilt, no screw zone. Still a little funky with surface depiction of SLP for coastal but my guess is it cranks right off cape lookout if this goes out 6-10 more hours. That’s a pretty look for everyone
  2. NorthHillsWx
    FV3 looks nice across the forum. Looking like it goes negative tilt. That’s the key for the coastal
  3. NorthHillsWx
    Rug feels like it’s getting pulled in Raleigh area
  4. NorthHillsWx
    3k NAM would make foothills folks happy
  5. NorthHillsWx
    I hate to say it but we’re trending to getting stuck between the ULL snow and coastal. Not good.
  6. NorthHillsWx
    We’ve been significantly above forecast lows last couple mornings. Bottomed out at 25.5 yesterday (forecast was 20) and are stuck at 25.2 right now (forecast was 18). Made it to 39.2 yesterday
  7. NorthHillsWx
    WRAL going with 3-6” for most piedmont locations with 5-7+” for coastal areas
  8. NorthHillsWx
    It trended slightly south. It actually benefits you
  9. NorthHillsWx
    Not a bad run but a few concerning things. Shaved .1-.2” QPF for a lot of areas and though the snow maps don’t show it well you can see evidence of the dry slot as coastal takes over
  10. NorthHillsWx
    GFS big hit for coastal areas. Drier pretty much everywhere inland. Also has the dry slot over Raleigh
  11. NorthHillsWx
    GFS drier
  12. NorthHillsWx
    3k has a vicious dry slot Raleigh to coastal plain
  13. NorthHillsWx
    It’s been showing up to varying degrees on different runs across most modeling. If you’re between Greensboro and Greenville that is this storms *potential* fail mode
  14. NorthHillsWx
    Yep that is my concern. It is why I posted. It’s damned close to triangle areas and would be an absolute kick in the nads to get 1” with 8”+ on either side
  15. NorthHillsWx
    Gotta say, that coastal plain dry slot is concerning. One of these analog storms, cannot remember which, did that bad over central NC. Starting to see it on most modeling. Could really screw someone in this setup as the coastal takes over
  16. NorthHillsWx
    Raleigh folks punching air if that happened after a week of foot+ runs on everything
  17. NorthHillsWx
    NAM with more positive tilt. This run isn’t going to do it I don’t believe
  18. NorthHillsWx
    Yall- Stop posting this map without context. Please look at the time. This is only 1/2 way through the storm for central NC, less for coastal
  19. NorthHillsWx
    That EURO run was so pretty. Can’t stop watching it. Just a forum wide dumping
  20. NorthHillsWx
    CAMs typically will sniff them out. If globals are painting a broad 10”+ area you’d have to believe some of that would in actuality be in a singular band with higher totals. Usually how these work
  21. NorthHillsWx
    ULL magic, this might be a unicorn
  22. NorthHillsWx
    I feel strongly like someone will get hammered by a deform band here and it likely will be extremely under modeled.
  23. NorthHillsWx
    We’re at around 48 hours till go time for some places. This is becoming real
  24. NorthHillsWx
    The EURO just crushed almost the entire forum. Unbelievable
  25. NorthHillsWx
    Agreed. Think pretty much everyone in NC/SC west of 77 into the upstate will do ok to good even without coastal help.
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