NorthHillsWx

We’ve seen headfakes regarding modeled warmth several times this fall, but Christmas week seems to be trending warmer and warmer across ensembles, ops, everything. Hopium can only get you so far! I think the pattern relaxation occurs that week but how long it lasts is tbd. With no southern stream energy flying around and a continued parade of Canadian clippers a reset might not be the worse thing bc no one’s scoring a big storm in this current regime without the motherload of luck (looking at you southern VA folks)

Id be willing to say Louisburg has at least an inch judging by my trail cams. Possibly more…

Yes- eyeballing. Here’s a video I took

Still snowing. Looks close to 0.5” here. Great comeback from where we were at about 5:00. Beautiful out, just took a walk enjoying the cold, snow and Christmas lights around the neighborhood. Roads icing up, going to be terrible in morning. Like I said, still snowing at the moment and looks like continuing light snow for a while

Grass is coated. That was my baseline expectation for this storm. Accumulating snow before Christmas with the lights out great start

I think it’s a good call. Roads are going to be awful with black ice. No drying and most of the county is already below freezing. Cancelling today was easily a dumb decision

You can tell we’re below freezing now, there’s a crunch when you walk on grass. Steady light snow, 31.8 most surfaces covered besides streets and tall grass. Has met expectations

NWS Wakefield reporting 6.1” at their office and still going

It’s coming down good now and temps have crashed to freezing. Doubt we get much but good chance of waking up to whitish now

Officially a dusting here! Best rates of day. Roofs/cars/mulch white

Coating+ at farm in Louisburg. Pretty good rates there on cam. So close but so far away

We might get a small accumulation after all. Car top turning white

NE NC looks like a good bet for some good totals with the temps and sun getting right. Wouldn’t shock me to see 3-4” around Roanoke rapids looking at radar

For what it’s worth snow has actually picked up here last few min and temps are getting close to 32

The good news is I never expected much from this but I was hopeful for coating. Did think someone in wake would see 1/2” to 1” based on CAMs but they pulled the rug mostly on that yesterday

Per trail cams it is accumulating in Louisburg finally. Cousin reports in Richmond they have 3” with plenty more to come. Not a bust there like I thought

Agreed- that map is suspect. We have only gotten 0.06” for the event that’s telling me we have more than that to go when the back edge already moved out. Just random flurries now. No clue where that would come from

Down to 33 with steady light snow

Newport News getting hammered. Enjoy

All snow now but just pity flakes

3-4” would be big. Max totals forecast in warning area were 3-5”. This wasn’t ever going to be bigger than that, it was a borderline warning event in Va

Been stuck in a rain snow mix for a couple hours and back edge is here. Thought we might have a chance at a coating but oh well. Congrats Va people what a start yall are having

The issue is that without an established Arctic airmass it simply got too warm before start time. This wasn’t a situation where it started at 40 degrees and the wet bulb was 30. It was 40 with a wet bulb of 39. Upper and mid levels are fine, hence all the snow mix, but it is taking too much time to cool lower levels. Cold chasing moisture fail mode #1. Accumulation south of border looks minimal at best. Even Richmond struggled just north of main band though they are snowing good now. My cousin there said they have less than 1” even though it’s been snowing since 8 am. Only areas getting heaviest rates are getting big totals and there is a quick drop off on either side. Central and eastern NC could see some accumulation with some coastal development like the HRRR has been throwing out but this main area of precip isn’t going to produce much for anyone not in Virginia

For the first time, mostly snow now

CC line directly overhead now and just like that snow is mixing back in. 37.9 so I doubt we get low enough for much to stick, sadly