I think it may underperform in MS a bit as the radar has gotten incredibly messy but Alabama has clean air and is maxing on daytime heating, it may just be a bit further east
Convection this morning has largely missed the high risk area. That was probably the biggest inhibitor today if it had materialized and stabilized the atmosphere somewhat. I expect an explosive afternoon and a lot of PDS warnings
This looks like an extreme tornado outbreak for the Deep South. Not comparing to 2011 yet but there are many more reasons to think this will be a severe outbreak than there are limitations.
The Low responsible for the stiff breeze and chilly night is absolutely wound up this morning off the NC coast.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=nwatl&product=vis_swir
It really is. Only been spitting here off and on and you can watch the returns evaporate as they get north. Does look to be consolidating more to our south. Could be a dreary evening if that makes it north
Rain has started here. This looks like a rather potent low will form later today/tonight off the coast. Too bad this couldn’t coincide with cold air like the GFS showed earlier in the week