NorthHillsWx

If we get a heavy thunder sleet band this storm won’t be a bust lol

Glacier level: unheard of here

I’ve seen model fails but this is next level. I’m not talking precip types, QPF. RAH had triangle 1.25-1.5” as of last night and I’ll be shocked if we get to 3/4” an inch. Had Mets telling us the dry slot wasn’t real and don’t believe it. Had folks on here silencing everyone who said QPF wasn’t going to be an issue and listen to forecast offices like sheep. Now I’m pissed, the cold for a sleet bomb was here. If we’d had anything close to what they called for, we’d have 2-3” of sleet right now. Instead we have a very light glaze of ice and 0.25-0.50” of sleet. Huge winter storm! Crash out complete enjoy the winter weather and power ya filthy animals

0.20” QPF maybe?

Dry slot doesn’t even contain freezing drizzle. Just dry

One thing- most models are (predictably) trending colder this evening and overnight

Everyone was, I’m not saying it’s bad. But two days ago model QPF trended way down and most dismissed it. Not calling anyone out but it is what it is. That being said, this is awesome sledding. Best street sledding since I’ve lived in my current house (2018)

WRAL had the triangle in the “crippling” category yesterday

There’s no two ways to spin this- serious forecast bust. Thankfully for those in ice areas

Funny how this went from 10+” of snow to a crippling ice storm to what in all likelihood looks like 1” of sleet with a glaze aka just a travel stopper

I have no idea how it’s possible but the sleet is actually mixing with snow now

It’s not getting above freezing unless we get a heavy squall that brings the warm nose down. With how weak QPF is I kinda doubt that line will be as modeled once it hits the wedge. I think ice storm averted

It’s been steadfast. It will be hard to unwedge from 21 degrees unless we get that heavy squall line, imo. Rare to start a wedge event at 19

Maybe 1/2” sleet. Very little ZR. Precip looks limited at best. RAH expects everyone to get above freezing in central NC and last batch and most remaining QPF to be all rain. Thinking ice storm cancel? NAM appears to have kicked butt. Roads are awful, sleet ice mix stuck to everything. It’s 21 so I’m not surprised

Down to 19.8 now. Light frizzle

Worried for yall. This has transitioned from a midlands SC to SW VA ice storm

I’m still confused where all the precip is coming from… radar looks weak

ZR in Raleigh. Some IP mixing. So much for sleet saving us, glaze on everything. QPF only limiting factor now

Raleigh- nothing

We must’ve completely lost our blocking. This thing just wants to ride north

They change anything?

Cold isn’t the main question, it’s whether there’s enough precip to cause big issues

Yea, I’m going with RAH but them cutting totals in half from 7 am to 4 pm didn’t exude the notion they have much confidence in what they’re putting out. Nor is the the high end of almost tripling their predicted total. Pretty much their graphics say you could have anywhere between 0.20” and 0.85” of ice, a winter weather advisory or the worst Ice storm in your history. I mean I could get paid to make those call maps

I am speaking for the Carolina’s and Georgia. Y’all are confirmed and guaranteed to be under the firehouse we thought we were going to be under. Virginia is going to be a glacier come Monday

No one *knows* what this is going to do. It seemed LOCKED IN for a major ice storm. Now, we’ve got Mets doubling down, Mets refusing to make a call till go time, Mets cutting totals in half, Mets flip flopping with each model run, Mets calling out other Mets? weather apps spitting out 8” of snow, people wondering if their power will be out for days or if theyll be at work Monday. I mean this is absurd.