NorthHillsWx
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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx
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GFS is much improved at H5 and much colder. Also seems like it brings back the second wave idea. So far a much better run up above
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Looks eerily like yesterdays storm
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Zelia has rapidly intensified into a beast. Pretty sparse area but there are a few towns that may get hit. Absolutely crazy RI -
This is honestly a pretty straightforward setup. Timing is everything. Models in remarkable agreement on overall look
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EURO is a major winter storm for most of NC and VA.
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BL Temps are not an issue on the euro. We’re in mid 20’s for most the storm. Honestly looks like a sleet bomb
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Would be ironic if all winter energy holding back too long killed us and then in the best pattern we get it ejects too fast for a proper phase and outruns the cold
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So far the GFS is kinda on an island timing wise. Let’s hope it trends towards other guidance. H5 isn’t much different it just gets the storm here before the cold
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Crush job for you
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GFS once again is fast and warm
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Shears out then bombs out on coast. Unfortunately mid levels are trashed and it’s a major ice/sleet fest in central NC. Triad/Virginia special. Very GFS-like
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EURO looks great so far
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18z GFS gonna be out before the 12z EURO
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All that for my 1.9” of snow
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I want to congratulate the SE Forum on doing the impossible: we are 130 pages deep on the 2025 mid-long range thread. The 2024 mid to long range thread only made it to 109 pages. We have successfully blown past all of last year and we did it in early February
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Take my money. I’ll buy that look at this range every day and twice on Sunday
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Yes, everything has shown a storm for central NC from 0z last night till the 12z runs today. Only the GFS has trended warmer. EURO issue has been it’s a late bloomer but has had a good track for us. We’ve seen big hits from the EURO, GFS, CMC in the last 3 cycles and decent hit from the ICON with a good look from the UK at range. Good spot to be in at this range
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Oh gotcha
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EURO is a major snowstorm for central/eastern NC and SE VA. Someone was able to get some panels in the MA forum
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Stuck under 40 degrees for two full days with nearly 2” of liquid and all of about 10 min of a wintry mix to show for it. We’ll get our revenge next week when we get 15” of snow though
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Stuck at 38.8. Thought we would’ve made it into the 40’s when the rain stopped but it’s been stuck here for an hour
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Weenie traffic
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So far all 12z guidance has a storm and plentiful cold air available
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At a minimum I’m thinking I’ll have good skiing in Virginia next weekend!!! Possibly fresh snow with serious cold. Could possibly have hit the timing jackpot for an east coast family ski trip
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^^^This. Overall looks at H5 are very similar. Oz GFS was much slower and allowed 1030+ heights to build into Virginia pre-storm which brought in the cold air before the storm. Very much like the Canadian. There isn’t that much difference in setup.
