NorthHillsWx
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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx
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This is going to be here before noon
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DP up 8 degrees in last hour and a half. Up to 60 now. Definitely getting that push of moisture SPC noted
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DP has risen pretty quickly to 57
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Numerous tornado warnings now. Think this is what we can expect through the early afternoon. As @eyewall said they will be warning every kink in the line given the potential for quick spinups
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Winston storm has a strong bow echo look now. Looks like a serious straight line windstorm is moving over the city
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Non T-storm wind is impressive. I’m guessing we’re getting 40 mph gusts here right now. This is stronger than what I experienced in the last event
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It’s warned now
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Nasty couplet moving right into Winston-Salem
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I expect a ton of tor warnings but few touchdowns. Brief spin up potential is extremely high. Some brief tornadoes could be fairly strong too
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Tornado watch here
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That’s strongly worded
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Two tornado warnings NW of Columbia. No signatures present on radar at the moment
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We’ll see what transpires but I’m skeptical this reaches the wind potential with the line. DP here is sitting only at 52 and rain moving in seems like it will significantly limit any destabilization or add to CAPE. Definitely gusty out. Already feels as windy as the high wind warning event last month
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The line has thankfully underperformed so far today. We’ll see what tonight brings
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Timing will probably save this from being worse.
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Eastern Carolina’s. Hatched 30% probability
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32.4 this morning for the low
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6z way south, more like other guidance
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I’m becoming more intrigued. With GFS op north and other guidance south something in middle seems reasonable
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GFS really wants to crank a major NE snowstorm
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EURO made a pretty big leap towards “something” for the Carolina’s
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12z GFS way different then the suppressed CMC and EURO and is an amped coastal for New England
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Honestly that’s how we get most March snow outside the mountains. If 850’s are workable with a dynamic system. Pretty rare to get a non-suppressed storm with an established Barney airmass this late in the year. The system showing up on all models is a fair signal at this timeframe but as stated it’s as thread the needle as you can get even for here. Mountains are definitely in the game.
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The 9-10th period has been on models for a long time but it’s literally a 1.5 day cold shot so there’s no margin for error but yea probably enough of a signal to pay attention to.
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6z is a big hit in southern Virginia. GFS Looks like modeling leading up to last storm lol.
