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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. NorthHillsWx
    I think RAH is spot on with their call. I don’t see Raleigh busting too much higher than the 2-3” forecast. With that even if we get 4” will it be a bust from impacts? Nope. Only those on here will know the difference. This will be a high impact event though given cold antecedent temps and cold temps during snow, much higher impact than 2 inches normally would be
  2. NorthHillsWx
    Woke up to a dusting. 26.6 out this morning.
  3. NorthHillsWx
    Below freezing now- all frozen falling too. 32.0, still falling. Could get a little interesting if we spend any time under some returns. Some accumulation showing
  4. NorthHillsWx
    Literally depends on your returns overhead. We’re cooled enough for all snow but not getting the saturation needed at height for flakes to form
  5. NorthHillsWx
    I can confirm that it only snowed with the high returns. Actually good sized flakes too. We’re back to mostly sleet with a few mangled flakes. Wish we had real precip
  6. NorthHillsWx
    Upstream around Charlotte looks a little juicier than I thought it would
  7. NorthHillsWx
    Sleet/Snow mix in north hills now, temp still crashing, 32.9
  8. NorthHillsWx
    Wish we had precip… Mist and 33.2, crashing still
  9. NorthHillsWx
    Flizzard
  10. NorthHillsWx
    Details at range = non important. Pattern, trends, fact it shows a storm = very important. Atmosphere is a river and models predict downstream currents and seeing anything show consistent on a model is gold to hone in on. As for the details (like clown maps, reason we call them clown maps), no model is even half decent until 5 days out. That’s just where we are with technology these days
  11. NorthHillsWx
    34.7 now, crashing. Wish we had precip
  12. NorthHillsWx
    Wow, temp had crashed recently. I drove home at 5:45 and (car thermometer) it was 41 when I pulled up. Now reading 36.4 on the weather station
  13. NorthHillsWx
    Would not shock me to hit that tomorrow. Gut feeling ratios will bring us to the promised land
  14. NorthHillsWx
    Fish: forecasting is hard, there are mixed signals, I have no confidence in any scenario. We could get 5 inches, we could get a flake. 1-3” is my call. Lol
  15. NorthHillsWx
    As eyewall pointed out, it was much closer to phasing like some of the other models did. This was a good run in the correct direction
  16. NorthHillsWx
    From my personal experience with freezing rain, it matters A LOT at ground level but not at all in the trees. To get ice to accumulate on the ground it generally needs to be in the 20’s and the freezing rain needs to be light. Overpasses are a different story
  17. NorthHillsWx
    EURO holds serve, still a bit on the eastern edge. Good snows through coastal plain
  18. NorthHillsWx
    I was going to say… it’s like the only one that had the rapid snow transition down to Richmond. Everything else looks about right
  19. NorthHillsWx
    Oh I was bobbing in the wake
  20. NorthHillsWx
    Well, this escalated quickly
  21. NorthHillsWx
    Man that’s a beautiful shift
  22. NorthHillsWx
    Excellent analysis and posts! Thanks for all you contribute
  23. NorthHillsWx
    Slowed down, further west, better downstream moisture. Everything we needed it to do
  24. NorthHillsWx
    Definitely another non-insignificant westward shift. Don’t look at the red L. Pressure falls MUCH closer to the coast
  25. NorthHillsWx
    Holy moly the GFS drops a good storm BEFORE the storm, then goes boom!
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