NorthHillsWx

Just 0.66” for the month. Don’t see us breaking 1”

Beast. Wow

34.3 for the low here this morning. Didn’t get to freezing either day. Light frost out, had to scrape the windshield for first time

35.6 was the low this morning. Frost- mainly on the roof

Very dry look going forward for the southeast.

Pretty good rains this morning. Should break 0.50” EDIT: Finished with 0.52” which brings the MTD total to 0.61”. Obviously a much-needed rain. Currently a humid 66.0 out

Honestly, not bad structure

I’ve been fooled before without recon confirmation, but on visible, this looks like a TC.

12 more hours and this thing would’ve been a major or dang close to it. Agreed with your discussion

Last week I was in Yellowstone National park during hurricane Ian. I had very limited access to cell service, and obviously models and radar. I’d like to thank this board for an epic thread that needs to be saved. Since I got back, I’ve had time to go back and read discussion from Monday-Friday and it is absolutely a benchmark system both from strength, impact, and degree of forecasting difficulty. As always, excellent discussion on this board of another great American hurricane

This season is very likely to finish BN for total named storms and ACE but it most certainly was backloaded. Where were we on August 31 and where are we now? That’s backloaded to me. We’ll see if October produces like it looks like it will. If October fails to produce, then there may be a debate as to how late September systems don’t really qualify as “backloaded” in a long season

I was about to post that this looks better than the 20/30% odds NHC had for it, then noticed it got bumped back up to an orange at 8. If current convection persists into the afternoon this could be a cherry by tonight. I don’t expect additional development until it gets into the Caribbean but this one could, I suppose, spin up faster than models are showing given current appearance

Sadly I don’t blame anyone but the people who choose to live in these hurricane prone areas and especially those who don’t evacuate. My family had property on the NC coast and we know the risks. TWC interviewed a couple who lost their house in a California Wildfire a few years ago. Their solution? Put everything into a house boat the left docked in fort myers… I mean I’m sorry they lost their boat (house) but at some point you just have to shake your head at the decisions some people make for their lives.

Power came back sometime overnight. Still a lot of generators humming in the background so think we got a bit lucky.

Was a rough descent and landing but not as bad as I was expecting. We don’t have power and there are a few big trees down across millbrook and in my neighborhood. Do not know rain total or wind gusts bc I forgot to put batteries in my station and with the power off…

My house lost power per my in-laws staying there

A ton of power outages piling up in the Carolina’s. My flight is still on time. I’ll give y’all my best hurricane hunter update when we do our center fix in a few hours over RDU haha

I’ve just boarded my flight to Denver. Supposed to land in RDU at 11. Flight is still on time. We’ll see…

Serious surge flooding in ocean isle North Carolina right now. A buddy’s ring cam had water halfway up their first story door.

Getting numerous gusts over hurricane force in South Carolina now

My comment is based on the dry slot just east of the inner core, the lack of anything on the backside, and the restricted outflow on satellite. I am by no means saying Ian is weakening, but these are all signs of the storm having peaked or being near peak.

Definitely looks to be moving north. These small wobbles can have big impacts in actual landfall location. Still a lot of questions as to where this one will wash ashore

Is anyone else not gawking over the radar/satellite presentation tonight? I know it’s a strong storm but it’s SW side is nowhere near as symmetrical as earlier, it has a ragged eye (remnants of ERC), and it looks like a dry slot is developing east of the core. Satellite is starting to show outflow being restricted to the west and some asymmetrical shape to the CDO. IMO, Ian has peaked. I don’t see why a 5kt increase wouldnt be possible if the eye fully closes but I’m seeing a system that looks past prime this hour

First storm I’ve ever been weenie tagged after suggesting, based on modeling, there’s a way for this storm to not be a destructive US landfall that would kill many people and cause billions in damage…

If I’m a storm chaser I’m finding a way to get to western Cuba.