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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. Looks like they bit on the “no storm” idea if Friday morning is the timeframe. That would be the precip from the front
  2. Probably be partly cloudy Friday afternoon now! We can’t even get a sleet storm in Raleigh! Only cold rain and ice
  3. May have to delete this thread since there literally may not be a storm. Don’t want to remember this one. Good lord! I get this was/is a complex setup but to go from this morning’s runs to now inside 36 hours is insane!!!
  4. NAM says “no storm for you, no storm for you either” blanks the whole area with literally no storm hahaha
  5. It literally develops a lp from the front Friday morning then nothing afterwards. There is no storm. Just mood flakes in Raleigh and light accumulation east of there
  6. Don’t look at the NAM of you wanted warm and fuzzy feelings to start 18z
  7. He’s got an enjoyable website and social media pages, I’ll give him that. I enjoy the rare Richmond perspective too
  8. I reserve the right to be suspicious about that frontal passage snow as shown haha
  9. New Bern may actually be in a great spot. I feel like you are sneaky good at catching snows that way. Been several “last second” snows there that showed up in this range
  10. For once I’d like to know what a positive trend inside 48 hours feels like
  11. I do have to say that I am truly shocked and stunned as a professional meteorologist to see such a violent shift in the weather models from 11pm/12am Tuesday night Wednesday morning to the data this morning and at midday. I have been doing this for more than 25 years and I have to tell you that this shift is dramatic and quite sudden.
  12. Tell me, what does the sanitarium trending “hot” after the 12z model runs mean?
  13. Let me be clear- these are not imby posts. This has shifted from Blacksburg Virginia to oriental NC in 24 hours. You’re talking hundreds of miles and also even in the heaviest areas just a fraction of the QPF outputs from yesterday. This is not saying trends aren’t good for some on the board. Down east folks looking good for sure
  14. I guess everyone is banking on more expansive precip shield. Interesting
  15. Just remember guys, fabulous February will save us
  16. It really may never snow appreciably in Raleigh again. I just don’t know what it will take. Striking out last weekend hurt but was tolerable bc we had the rug pulled out on like day 4-5 but to have the rug pulled out at 36 hours is stupid bad. Going back your really have to go back a long time to find a good snow here. December 2018 was a hefty event but it almost all fell late at night and has changed to plain rain by mid morning which took a lot of luster from it
  17. This is one of the worst modeled events in a long time. To see such drastic shifts inside 48 hours is for sure not the norm.
  18. December 2018. Then had 6” of puddles in my backyard that evening after all the rain
  19. Given the 12z modeling and assuming these trends don’t correct this evening I could see RAH dropping watches west of Wake
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