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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. We picked up 1.22” of rain yesterday
  2. Not quite as cold as was forecast. Low of 27.1 which is now the second coldest low of the season and third time in the 20’s this year. Seems to have been awhile since we saw multiple mornings in the 20’s before thanksgiving here.
  3. 26.5 here this morning. Coldest morning of the fall and first time below freezing imby this season
  4. That’s the most heavy story I’ve ever heard from a weather event
  5. Picked up 0.29” yesterday which brings the mtd total to 1.92”
  6. 32.4 here this morning. Coldest morning of the fall imby
  7. 1.11” storm total from Nicole. High of 83
  8. Really a pretty impressive look on satellite atm. Don’t see any real change to environment between now and landfall, still will be limited by dry air. Don’t think anything inhibits gradual strengthening though. 70-80kts would be my guess with an 85 max and 65 minimum. Significant event for time of year and surge will be maximized by fetch, wind direction piling water up for days, and moon.
  9. Nicole Is getting its act together today. Bahamas radar shows an extremely pretty radar presentation. Gonna see if it can maintain convection through the minimum today unlike yesterday but hi res models are showing just that and have been by the time it reaches the Bahamas. It would not shock me to see cat 2 based on recon and radar trends if the storm can maintain deep convection
  10. Dry air and a stable environment are main inhibitors, per NHC. Dry air is extremely easy to see on water vapor
  11. https://radars.bahamasweather.org.bs/
  12. Crazy too being one is forecast to reach cat 2 outside of the deep tropics in November
  13. It was a mad dash to 1” of rain for the month but dang if we didn’t make it by the skin of our teeth. Picked up 0.79” yesterday which brought our MTD total to 1.45”. Finished with 1.30” storm total
  14. Per Josh’s twitter, sounds like Roslyn delivered the goods
  15. Just 0.66” for the month. Don’t see us breaking 1”
  16. 34.3 for the low here this morning. Didn’t get to freezing either day. Light frost out, had to scrape the windshield for first time
  17. 35.6 was the low this morning. Frost- mainly on the roof
  18. Pretty good rains this morning. Should break 0.50” EDIT: Finished with 0.52” which brings the MTD total to 0.61”. Obviously a much-needed rain. Currently a humid 66.0 out
  19. Honestly, not bad structure
  20. I’ve been fooled before without recon confirmation, but on visible, this looks like a TC.
  21. 12 more hours and this thing would’ve been a major or dang close to it. Agreed with your discussion
  22. Last week I was in Yellowstone National park during hurricane Ian. I had very limited access to cell service, and obviously models and radar. I’d like to thank this board for an epic thread that needs to be saved. Since I got back, I’ve had time to go back and read discussion from Monday-Friday and it is absolutely a benchmark system both from strength, impact, and degree of forecasting difficulty. As always, excellent discussion on this board of another great American hurricane
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