NorthHillsWx

I’m in Cudjoe Key for the week and can verify it is much warmer and more humid than back home right now!

I love all these social media posts from last week about all this pattern change this, pattern change that, cold, record cold, it’s gonna hurt, get ready for winter, polar vortex, blah blah blah for what in actuality looks to be a two day cool down with highs in the 50’s lows in the 20’s which isn’t even abnormal for mid March. Literally a lot of time wasted hyping up a very meaningless in the grand scheme of things cool down, and one every person who has ever lived through a March should expect. Sorry, just got a chuckle out of some of the Twitter posts from last week

63.7 at 9 am… going to be a gorgeous day

Spring has sprung in my neck of the woods. Trees are budding out. Daffodils are in full bloom. I see no frosts/freezes in the near future. Should set us up perfectly for damaging freezes in April…

Looks like this weekend will be absolutely beautiful. Needed that after a string of cold/rainy weekends

Our friend the SE ridge makes a serious comeback to start the month. Looks quite warm through mid month. Enjoy!

Picked up 0.27” between last night and today and somewhat surprised it was that much. Brings February to a paltry 1.57” and that will be it for the month. High of 47 today and sitting at the low currently of 38.6

Our biggest snow since December 2018 and a good month of solid cold helped. I enjoyed our snowstorm, arctic cold throughout, no mixing, and accumulation from start to finish plus a precursor snow the night before. Losing 2 of our 3 winter months with no threats and above average temps definitely sucks but we need to enjoy the storms we get and I enjoyed that one

Feels wedgy out there for sure

Winter 2004-2005 was the biggest shaft I can remember us receiving. Pretty much all of January storms went around the triangle in every direction and we got completely fringed by the day after Christmas snow. I remember losing my mind after about the 5th or 6th near miss. We did have the “surprise” snow that gridlocked the entire city that season but I don’t think we picked up over an inch from any event that season even though we were under an advisory or warning what felt like every week for a month

Managed just 0.07” here. 1.30” MTD

I think we’re far from oyster mushrooms here! Sitting at a paltry 1.26” after todays 0.03” gulley washer

Coming out of January I was very ready to give this winter a solid B grade but while January was a B+, A- in my opinion December and February have been a F and a D respectively. Overall I’d have to say that gives this winter a C- or just above passing. Like others have said, it’s over. The progressive nightmare isn’t going away due to the Atlantic even with a friendly Pacific since December and we’re just getting warmer. Onto spring and severe tracking

No CAD there

What had at a minimum looked like a wet week certainly has dried up for central-eastern NC

The extreme progressive pattern of 2022 continues.

DC folks probably happy with that run

Brought the LP further north, inland over SENC. Storm still there obviously and overall very similar to 12z

Yep, this immediately shot up to a bonafide threat to me when all 3 had it. Long way out obviously but should be an interesting week at least

Ensemble mean qpf was over 0.50” for a lot of North Carolina. That’s significant at this range. Probably our juiciest look this entire season

It is for most of NC. You’re in a better spot per that run. Only saving grace with this depiction is the amount of qpf, you can afford to burn through a lot of it as rain and still have enough to fall as snow for good accumulation. Those details will iron themselves out over the week. A storm is there and there are ways it snows on NC and VA with it

I didn’t look at the snowfall map, I just looked at the precip output but still good at this range, not a beaut like I first said haha

Euro ensemble mean is a beaut

Amazingly similar look to todays 12z euro

Thing of beauty though temps are very marginal (850’s and Surface) but that’s also how we rip big dendrites and rates in the south