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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. GFS has some of the coldest air I’ve ever seen modeled for my area around February 5
  2. First week of February alternating between 70 degree torches and snow and ice storms depending on which model and run you want to look at. Should be interesting at least
  3. Picked up 1.11” of rain yesterday and into this morning complete with some pretty good lightning and thunder
  4. I’m in Boone, everything has a glaze on it this morning with light rain falling
  5. And Brown L is closing out close games. Something’s bound to give
  6. IMO overnight runs confirmed the window is from the 26th-2nd. After that we likely warm.
  7. Picked up 0.20” yesterday. Low of 49.8 this morning
  8. If the EURO solution tor the 26th verified and we (central NC) rained with that track and strength of LP, go ahead and hang it up for the winter
  9. Sometime between Jan 26-Feb 2 will feature a widespread SE winter storm for parts of the forum. You heard it here first folks. #optimistic #turnthatfrownupsidedown
  10. Surprisingly there seems to be some consensus growing from the 27th-on as being an active period with a much colder look. EPS and GEFS on the same page… The previous “pattern change” that failed to materialize never featured consensus between those two. This may be a good sign for the end of the month. We laugh at fantasy storms but the fact we’re getting them on op runs is a very good sign as well that there is some potential during that period.
  11. Radar presentation is quite impressive as it makes landfall
  12. EPS is now honking a SE death ridge for the end of January. Other than today, it has 850 temp anomalies above average for the SE every. Single. Day. Through the end of the run. If there’s a cancel winter button it may have just been pressed. Euro and EPS folded like a lawn chair for the 22-27th period pattern change and now look abysmal beyond that. Hate to say it but this feels like we’re going to get blanked in the pure winter months.
  13. I stayed up to midnight last night and watched it snow in Raleigh. It snowed again this morning. It reminded me how much I miss a real snow
  14. Well, looks like the mighty Euro and EPS caved to the model that shall not be named
  15. Holds serve on the colder look but still nothing of interest winter weather wise
  16. Moneys on PAC winning out and a continuation of the same pattern. Active cutters and brief cooldowns with no arctic connection. EPS has oversold cold all year I see no reason to expect it to change
  17. This thread is giving me life. Congrats mountain folks in NW flow areas, this should be a good one for you all. Keep sending pics
  18. Man that line really fell apart fast before it got here. Just 0.28” and maybe a couple 30 mph gusts last night
  19. If the pattern change doesn’t happen in the 22-27 timeframe than the GEFS wins bc the EPS has been honking that timeframe for days. Beyond that who knows at this point
  20. Pretty epic outbreak for January. Selma damage doesn’t look above EF3 but that’s a bad hit and it doesn’t matter if your house is totaled, slabbed or walls still standing, it’s still totaled. Hopefully deaths and injuries are at a minimum
  21. Today is definitely producing. Multiple PDS and tornado emergency warnings issued so far and some pretty scary video starting to show up online. These storms mean business
  22. Well, the 6z Euro has it now too all the way back into central NC
  23. That would be one of the funnier random events to see new Bern get 3-4 inches out of an unexpected isolated snow band while most of the MA heads into February snowless
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