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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. NorthHillsWx
    If you like snow in central NC you’re down to the HRRR and RGEM for anything more than flurries but they’re both decent runs so I guess that’s what NWS is hanging their hat on
  2. NorthHillsWx
    A bit surprised with the area-wide WWA this seems more fitting for a SWS especially being it’s going to be coming at night on a weekend with temps mostly above freezing. I do not see a large area getting 1-2” as shown unless I’m missing something. This looks like scattered areas of accumulation and flizzards for everyone else
  3. NorthHillsWx
    Good run for central NC on the RGEM
  4. NorthHillsWx
    Low of 21.6 high of 42.1 today
  5. NorthHillsWx
    Serious serious cold air up there!!
  6. NorthHillsWx
    Too bad all the fun in the Carolina’s is coming at night. Definitely serious now-casting. Some people going to wake up with bare dirt and scream “bust” while others 20 miles away have 4” will be screaming “overperformer.” I think it’s boom or bust, light rates are not going to cut it with borderline BL temps like they did last week and if you get fringed by one of those bands you’re not going to get much or anything. Think summertime thunderstorms if you want to know how this will play out
  7. NorthHillsWx
    The NAM is a joke
  8. NorthHillsWx
    SE VA and NE NC just got NAM’d. Great run for those areas
  9. NorthHillsWx
    NAM looks more expansive with precip so far coming in from NW
  10. NorthHillsWx
    Miami’s days of being a powerhouse are long gone. It’s too small a school with an off campus stadium and a fan base that doesn’t care. Too many hot heads and sketchy dealings. They will never succeed in modern football
  11. NorthHillsWx
    Mack is a used car salesman. Stars and ratings mean absolutely nothing on the field. Pitt won the ACC, I bet they land less 4 stars in 4 years than Clemson gets in a single cycle
  12. NorthHillsWx
    Holy sleetfest
  13. NorthHillsWx
    After the model runs today my thoughts are this has devolved into a novelty event. These meso-features never work out for many and that looks like our only mode for snow with this. I think most will see flakes but accumulation will be extremely limited and localized. Will be fun now casting but this will not be an event where general accumulation should be expected outside a few bands. On to the next one
  14. NorthHillsWx
    Agreed. Getting the feeling this will be a 0-3” forecast.
  15. NorthHillsWx
    Good luck nailing this one down. Localized variance will 100% affect the perceived outcome of how this plays out
  16. NorthHillsWx
    This setup really will be interesting tomorrow night. There likely will be localized areas that benefit from small scale features and get some decent banding. From what I’m seeing tho this will not be an area-wide score, though I think most areas see some snow. I think 0.5”-1.5” from the foothills east is a good bet but someone in there will get 3-4” where impossible to predict meso features develop. Nothings changed on that front since yesterday
  17. NorthHillsWx
    I love the video from that heavy band. Wish we’d spent another two hours in it. Was really coming down
  18. NorthHillsWx
    HRRR also managed to not drop a flake of snow in NYC… not sure I buy anything that models selling at this range. It’s way east and weak with the LP
  19. NorthHillsWx
    Not sure this qualifies as a whiff. I see 1 inch of snow for most of the triangle with 1-3” west of there based on this depiction of a mesoscale feature. I think most would live with this event
  20. NorthHillsWx
    Looks like a 3-4 day warmup then the ridge builds back in the NW with a +PNA. This was supposed to be a pattern change in the wrong direction just a few days ago but looks to resume with our winter weather threats quickly
  21. NorthHillsWx
    Definitely the glue consumption. I hate to say it but when the NAM is on an island with anything but thermals in a CAD situation you need to look at it, acknowledge it was there and it was something, then toss it before you get any crazy ideas
  22. NorthHillsWx
    EURO paints a picture I think is extremely realistic. For the entire east coast
  23. NorthHillsWx
    I was in Clemson for that. Was absolutely dumping snow after it flipped from rain, some of the heaviest rates I’ve seen in daylight
  24. NorthHillsWx
    These do tend to overperform when they develop but rarely do they make too Far East
  25. NorthHillsWx
    18z GFS looks almost identical through 48. Maybe a hair further east
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