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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. NorthHillsWx
    Our friend the SE ridge makes a serious comeback to start the month. Looks quite warm through mid month. Enjoy!
  2. NorthHillsWx
    Picked up 0.27” between last night and today and somewhat surprised it was that much. Brings February to a paltry 1.57” and that will be it for the month. High of 47 today and sitting at the low currently of 38.6
  3. NorthHillsWx
    Our biggest snow since December 2018 and a good month of solid cold helped. I enjoyed our snowstorm, arctic cold throughout, no mixing, and accumulation from start to finish plus a precursor snow the night before. Losing 2 of our 3 winter months with no threats and above average temps definitely sucks but we need to enjoy the storms we get and I enjoyed that one
  4. NorthHillsWx
    Feels wedgy out there for sure
  5. NorthHillsWx
    Winter 2004-2005 was the biggest shaft I can remember us receiving. Pretty much all of January storms went around the triangle in every direction and we got completely fringed by the day after Christmas snow. I remember losing my mind after about the 5th or 6th near miss. We did have the “surprise” snow that gridlocked the entire city that season but I don’t think we picked up over an inch from any event that season even though we were under an advisory or warning what felt like every week for a month
  6. NorthHillsWx
    Managed just 0.07” here. 1.30” MTD
  7. NorthHillsWx
    I think we’re far from oyster mushrooms here! Sitting at a paltry 1.26” after todays 0.03” gulley washer
  8. NorthHillsWx
    Coming out of January I was very ready to give this winter a solid B grade but while January was a B+, A- in my opinion December and February have been a F and a D respectively. Overall I’d have to say that gives this winter a C- or just above passing. Like others have said, it’s over. The progressive nightmare isn’t going away due to the Atlantic even with a friendly Pacific since December and we’re just getting warmer. Onto spring and severe tracking
  9. NorthHillsWx
    No CAD there
  10. NorthHillsWx
    What had at a minimum looked like a wet week certainly has dried up for central-eastern NC
  11. NorthHillsWx
    The extreme progressive pattern of 2022 continues.
  12. NorthHillsWx
    DC folks probably happy with that run
  13. NorthHillsWx
    Brought the LP further north, inland over SENC. Storm still there obviously and overall very similar to 12z
  14. NorthHillsWx
    Yep, this immediately shot up to a bonafide threat to me when all 3 had it. Long way out obviously but should be an interesting week at least
  15. NorthHillsWx
    Ensemble mean qpf was over 0.50” for a lot of North Carolina. That’s significant at this range. Probably our juiciest look this entire season
  16. NorthHillsWx
    It is for most of NC. You’re in a better spot per that run. Only saving grace with this depiction is the amount of qpf, you can afford to burn through a lot of it as rain and still have enough to fall as snow for good accumulation. Those details will iron themselves out over the week. A storm is there and there are ways it snows on NC and VA with it
  17. NorthHillsWx
    I didn’t look at the snowfall map, I just looked at the precip output but still good at this range, not a beaut like I first said haha
  18. NorthHillsWx
    Euro ensemble mean is a beaut
  19. NorthHillsWx
    Amazingly similar look to todays 12z euro
  20. NorthHillsWx
    Thing of beauty though temps are very marginal (850’s and Surface) but that’s also how we rip big dendrites and rates in the south
  21. NorthHillsWx
    Definitely nice having Dr. No in your court. Last 3 systems the Euro has said “Nope” and turned out correct. Key takeaway for me is there is consensus now across most modeling (Ukie, GFS and ensembles, CMC, Euro, ICON lol) that there will be a storm around that timeframe and there is some cold air to work with. Way too far for specifics but this is about as good agreement at this range as you’re gonna get
  22. NorthHillsWx
    Nope, seems everyone has moved on to spring. Been getting my analysis from you all. Definitely one of the strongest storm signals of the season here and no one’s saying a word.
  23. NorthHillsWx
    I wish it was closer to go time but the Euro is a great storm with plenty of qpf. Verbatim it drops 1.5-2” of qpf across the northern half of NC and central VA. Definitely potential out there for the 28th
  24. NorthHillsWx
    EURO is a good run but it’s cold chasing precip. Verbatim central NC, Triad, and most Virginia folks would be happy
  25. NorthHillsWx
    Ukie is a big hit for triad areas through Virginia
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