NorthHillsWx

Something you just get used to saying...

Also, I guess no one stuck around this run beyond hour 270 haha.... I'll take snow then ice then 72 hours below freezing! Feels good to have winter weather threats show up, even in LR. Feel like we barely had even that last season!

I'm just happy people are talking about something. Been awhile! But seriously, it's not a half bad pattern coming up, and it doesn't stop with this threat. Seems to be decent cold lurking around an active SJU and NAO moving towards neutral mid month. Man I would love some real blocking to show up. Seems like it's been years since we've had a true Greenland block to sit put for a big storm

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Carolina_ice_storm_of_2002 Worst one of my life was occurring today, 17 years ago. Still remember the eerie noise of trees popping all over the neighborhood that morning. Had to cut our way out. Brutal cold followed it without power meaning many nights huddled up as a family by the fireplace

Climo isn't necessarily against us. Some of our (Raleigh Area) most crippling ice storms have occurred in the first part of December. I would say climo would be against all-snow more than an ice event

Ridiculous to post about getting prepared for an ice storm more than a week out in the South... Like what could you even do a week out for an ice storm??? On top of the likelihood nothing will happen. This comes across as clickbait

If that came to fruition, dust off your generators....

It's what happens as soon as something shows up in the LR. No one worries about patterns or trends. It's all doom and gloom until they actually see pink purple and blue on a computer map at hour 384 that the idea that we are entering winter weather season and there will be threats materializes in people's heads! But I regress, not a bad pattern at all. No prolonged torches or SE highs. Decent cold shots seemingly weekly. A BN November. Heck, it's December 3rd and the mood on this board feels like it's February 3rd and most places are still waiting on their first flakes!

0.16" and a low of 51 here. Warmest low in some time but clouds seem to be tempering the expected warmup this afternoon. Another fall-feeling day, rain also knocked a lot of the remaining leaves off the trees this morning, I've noticed

33 and frosty again this morning. Looks to be an absolutely beautiful afternoon. Hoping I can slip out of work early and make it to the deer stand!

Crazy to think we actually ended AN for snow last year (all due to the early December event) especially considering the horrid weather the rest of the season. Last winter will go down as an absolute low point for me as the second half of December through March featured almost 0 events to track, in addition to near-constant torches. And that big snow turned to rain and became nasty shortly after daybreak, taking away from what was 9 inches at my house. Really puts into perspective that numbers don't always tell they story. I would've taken 4 small events that were all frozen over that one "big" one any day imby. Was neat seeing snow on the ground weeks before Christmas though.

Low of 31 last night. Picked up 1.01" from Saturday's rain. A very fall-like pattern we have been in/continue to stay in. Outside of that Hell week in October, this has been a fantastic fall.

It just means our rain will be a little colder. I'm catching on to this forum.

Got down to 24 this morning. Feels biting. Love it

Saw some sleet and even a few Flakes on my drive home from Garner to Raleigh on the east side of 440. Looked to be mostly to all frozen briefly. Pretty exciting for early November, didn't think I'd ever see anything frozen again here after it was 103 at my house in October...

Will probably end up dry

Not going to lie, this far out it looks like the players are on the board. That is an optimal SE winter storm low track and there is cold air available. For Mid-November, that is as much as you can ask for at this point. This is definitely something worth tracking atm. Keep in mind, this is more than a week out. I wish this setup was a month from now!

I'll take snow any way we can get it. November or April. December is my favorite month for winter weather due to the winter solstice and lowest sun angle allowing accumulations to last.

Impressive Cold Outbreak for November seems to be gaining momentum in modeling over the past 48 hours of runs.

GFS looks DRYYYY

Who else loves snow maps in early November? Doubt it'll happen but let our tracking season (letdown season) begin!

Frosty and 33 this morning IMBY. Was down to 31 according to my truck at the Farm in Louisburg Sunday morning when I got in the deer stand. Been waiting on this all summer!

0.78" yesterday on top of 0.51" from the previous day gives a storm total of 1.29." Got down to 41 last night.

I know some people west of here got plenty of rain from the past system but we were not so lucky. Might be our only shot for awhile. Doesn't get any drier

No wind, minimal lightning, and 30 min of decent rain in North Hills.Yay. Saw more wind this afternoon when it got sunny and some winds mixed to the surface