PTC2 still looks ragged this morning, though it does look like storms have consolidated some on the northern end of the trough axis. If this apparent center becomes the COC that could be very important as it pertains to intensity down the road. Obviously the further north the system forms, the higher the likelihood it avoids land and has a greater chance to strengthen. Where the COC forms is going to be absolutely critical to this system’s intensity and could be the difference between a cat 2 and a TS when this storm makes landfall in Central America. Signs this morning seem like it is favoring the northern side of the trough axis, which obviously would nudge the track northward if that becomes the center