NorthHillsWx

1 hour ago, Solak said:

0.40" overnight, making for 0.57" total for Tuesday. Much heavier amounts just to the east of here.

Water rescues in Nash/Franklin counties this morning- per WRAL

6 minutes ago, mjwise said:

Bluefield, Blacksburg, Roanoke, and Danville all posted record low maximums for June 15. Resisting turning the heat back on here. That just feels wrong for mid-June.

Idea of jackets/heat in June after the last few summers sounds awesome (and is). 

Where was this setup in January... If it’s in the 50’s and raining in June, I can only imagine 

Might be the first flood watch without a tenth of an inch of rain for me 

2 hours ago, eyewall said:

Additional showers and storms are likely to develop along the surface
to 925 mb front/trough from s-cntl VA swwd across the NC Piedmont
later this afternoon; and these will become numerous to widespread
while settling only slowly sewd across the US Highway 1 corridor in
cntl NC through early tonight. That activity is likely to pose the
greatest risk of flash flooding, focused between 20Z Thu and 06Z
Fri.

We will see. My 80% chance of rain today so far has consisted of about 5 minutes of rainfall.

Not seeing the heavy rain from the us1 corridor west. Only seen a couple brief showers

Picked up 0.70” Yesterday and last night. FFW in effect today. We’ll see how much we can tack into the total 

70% rain chances changed to 30% real quick today 

0.25” total from 3 showers and a brief thunderstorm 

0.12” from 3 showers. Suns out now, very muggy 87. Waiting on the afternoon storms to fire 

78 with a moderate shower at the moment. 0.05" 

Sweltering 91 here. Welcome to summer

First 90 reading of the year. Sunny and hot. 90 degrees. Not upset it took till June 3rd to finally hit it! Also not upset that there is no death ridge in sight to sustain it, like most of our recent summers about this time of year 

No rain here. Lot of distant lightning in those storm to the southeast 

2.40” on Friday between 2 storms and a shower. Backyard flooded during the afternoon storm

1.30" of rain here in Raleigh today. Came down in buckets this morning. I'm sure the vast majority fell in about 30 minutes. Good lightning and thunder too very early when that storm pushed through. Currently sun is out, waiting on next round. Some distant thunder too.

19/9/4

I think the Gulf will be most likely to take a major hit (maybe multiple major hits). I think homegrown systems (similar to the 2 we've already seen) will be common. 

Heavy showers pushing through the Morehead area. Brief excessive rainfall rates. It will rain for 5-10 minutes and then go to completely sunny and miserably humid

Another day, another heavy rain event for the western piedmont. 

Up to 50 mph at landfall. 1004 mb. Man this thing was winding up coming ashore! Pretty impressive rapid organization! This would've made a run at a hurricane with just 12 more hours

10 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

 

With those years, how many had 2 purely tropical named systems (not sub-tropical storms as we frequently see in early season) before Hurricane season?

Much like Imelda last year, this is a small system that we should be very glad does not have 18 more hours over water. Tight circulation really winding up

NAM nailed this. We have Bertha 

5 minutes ago, thunderman said:

Looks promising to me.  Would not be surprised as all to see advisories on TS Bertha initiated this morning.

 

Just named Bertha 

Surface low seems to be forming right on Daytona Beach. As NWS said, too much shear for this thing to get going. For what it's worth, the NAM (I know) has a frisky tropical low moving into the Carolina coastline tomorrow and proceeding up through the Piedmont with heavy rain. 

Also, towards the end of the GFS, it has been advertising development in the western Caribbean/GOM for a couple days now. It did a good job with Arthur in the long range as well.