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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. That band over Raleigh is fools gold. The main coastal is too far offshore and trended much worse
  2. Not saying it’s wrong but EURO is WAY south of everything else now
  3. Ok I’ll be honest I don’t think I looked at the 6z UK because people said it was bad but I didn’t realize it was THAT bad. I guess this was an improvement but still way worse than 0z
  4. Does not inspire confidence the EURO will make and big changes
  5. I’m guessing NWS will issue watches after looking at the EURO but my guess is east of 77 through RAH will all be under a watch this afternoon, with maybe the exception of the far southern tier of counties. Side note- they brined 440 near my office in garner
  6. CMC is 6-10” from Raleigh East with an Elizabeth city 12-15” Jack
  7. CMC ticked west. Great storm triangle east. Very cold still
  8. Except RDU was in the jackpot too early. This will trend back to sleet/freezing rain for us. Mark my words lol
  9. Yep. Bleeding has stopped. Everything so far at 12z looks about the same. Let’s see how far west the precip trends today
  10. Seeing these sub-1000 mb lows tucked 50 miles off hatteras and worrying about thermals with extremely low surface temps sucks, but I guess that’s what you get when your cold air source is a 1050 in the Midwest
  11. ICON has Raleigh riding the sleet line at 23-25 degrees. That would be a kick in the nads to be at 23 degrees for an event and it be a wintry mix
  12. SE Forum: I think the bleeding has stopped. Take one step back from the cliff edge
  13. I fear we mix bad. Think those uber suppressed/cold looks were fools gold for thermals. We’ll see what globals show but hi res is concerning
  14. FV3 has 0.4-0.5” QPF across most of central nc and the storm is only about half over at end of the run
  15. You’re in that spot where you can smell the mix but have heavy snow. Gotta ride the line to max out!!!
  16. FV3 looks like a major winter storm for most of NC and southern VA
  17. Maybe the NAM is a sign the bleeding has stopped, or maybe it’s the HR 60 NAM. But that was not a bad run for a lot of the forum.
  18. So NAM came back more amped and wetter east of I-77
  19. Its much better precip wise than its last couple runs and goes sub 1000 mb just east of hatteras. Historically that’s a great spot for NC. Only problem and this is something we (RDU) knew but thermals suck and it’s almost all sleet in Raleigh. Better run I-85 NE
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