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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. NorthHillsWx
    I know WRAL will be latching onto that NAM run like the Bible for their evening forecast
  2. NorthHillsWx
    I’d actually love a sleet bomb. 2” of sleet doesn’t happen often here and is pretty cool when temps are low
  3. NorthHillsWx
    It shouldn’t, but it will. I posted earlier we shouldn’t even have to be checking thermals with some solutions showing a sub 1000 mb low 50 miles east of hatteras, but here we are
  4. NorthHillsWx
    If you live in western Virginia or the triad, enjoy your stay on NAM island!
  5. NorthHillsWx
    Whichever shows strongest warm nose
  6. NorthHillsWx
    At face value the NAM is a major winter storm for most of the state and most of Virginia. Big time impacts in all areas
  7. NorthHillsWx
    SE FORUM *asks for more moisture* NAM: “I hear you” *gives crippling amounts of QPF as freezing rain*
  8. NorthHillsWx
    Richmond pounded
  9. NorthHillsWx
    NAM is a Virginia special and gets DC back in the game
  10. NorthHillsWx
    Back to crippling ice storm in central NC
  11. NorthHillsWx
    And should not be discounted at all.
  12. NorthHillsWx
    Big run for Triad/Virginia incoming! Triangle looks like ice
  13. NorthHillsWx
    Are we going to… get NAM’d???
  14. NorthHillsWx
    NAM looks like it’s going to be a good run
  15. NorthHillsWx
    1-6 inches of snow/sleet with up to 0.20” ZR. Did note for wake “predominantly snow and sleet with a relatively short period of freezing rain”
  16. NorthHillsWx
    As if on cue. RAH watches out
  17. NorthHillsWx
    Morehead City issued WSW for almost their entire area
  18. NorthHillsWx
    I’m gonna disagree with some of the posts above. HRRR looks like it’s getting ready to crank. SLP still back south of Fl panhandle and precip is blossoming over NC and extending back to N Ga. I think this was about to fill in across the state. It’s also slower. Now, I’m not going to argue over the hour 48 HRRR but i don’t think that’s a bad look for what was to come
  19. NorthHillsWx
    Looks like every ensemble trended weaker/east
  20. NorthHillsWx
    AKA a glacier
  21. NorthHillsWx
    RAH has brought down expected snowfall totals. Raleigh has expected 2” high end 3”. Booooooo
  22. NorthHillsWx
    Both the NAM and FV3 turn Raleigh proper over to ZR for the majority of the event. It’s still a major possibility. Plain rain is off the table though and we will have some sleet for sure. I’m not sold on us seeing any snow until the NAM shows it at 12z tomorrow. I’ve been burnt by NAM thermals for years I’m not letting it get me this time. It is very good at assessing thermals in a miller-A. Like the best. Seeing it mix into Virginia worries me, even at range
  23. NorthHillsWx
    I mean from modeling that seems very reasonable and in fact you could even move the mixed bag area further north if NAM thermals are your thing…
  24. NorthHillsWx
    Great job. I could not agree with this more given what we’ve seen
  25. NorthHillsWx
    It truly has been the model with the highest variance through this event. But you want it on your side under 48 hours
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