NorthHillsWx

GFS insistent we at least get a storm thread for Sunday 

For the life of me I cannot figure out how the AI loses our HP and drives a hard southerly flow at 850 during the storm with that track. I don’t buy it

11 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

I'm not sure what the 12z AI looks like as far as Snow and ICE, but it increased significantly in the amount of QPF

The AI is insistent on a raging ice storm with mid 20’s at the surface and a perfect storm track. Color me skeptical 

24 minutes ago, KrummWx said:

So you're saying there's a chance

Haven’t seen that in central NC since the color TV

Hell I’ll take 15 of those

2 minutes ago, KrummWx said:

How did the Canadian and UK perform on our last system this far out? I didn't save any of their maps. My imprssion has always been that the UK is less than reliable, Canadian super hit or miss.

Both way too cold and south

10 minutes ago, WXNewton said:

Best run yet on Euro Ens, here's the last 4 runs. 

That is absolutely amazing. That’s probably the best EPS run central NC has had 6-7 days out

1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said:

Euro looks like it will be better.

Yes it does

8 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said:

So to recap the last model runs, the GFS with some snow here Sunday night, nothing next Tuesday into Wednesday, and then a little storm Friday into Saturday. The Canadian has a decent storm here again next Wednesday into Thursday. The UK is similar to the Canadian with a decent storm, but it comes in faster next Tuesday into Wednesday.

And ICON is suppressed but close 

12 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Operational models have definitely trended towards suppression with the first wave and possibly a 2nd wave later next week. 

Except the Canadian and UK

It is so hard to get snow here

OH Canada 

1 minute ago, buckeyefan1 said:

Yep. Not gonna work

Just now, wncsnow said:

If you think you are going to get much Sunday night, I have some beachfront property in Old Fort to sell you. 

No one thinks sunday night is more than mood flakes. I was kidding. Virginia might get something tho

GFS holding the energy back. Again.

Who needs the Tuesday storm when you can have the Sunday storm!?!

Yea the GFS was quite Interesting for Sunday!!!

2 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

Yeah, a little warm for accumulations, but certainly could be some mood flakes, or perhaps a car topper!

Could be a nice surprise for someone. That’s a potent piece of energy flying through. 

ICON also very close to something SUN PM especially for triad, SW VA folks on here

I am very much OK with the ICON look at this juncture

Down to 25.2 this morning. Only up to 31.6 as of this typing with a stiff NW wind. 

Everyone needs 12z to produce or this place will die

I cannot believe we already got a sun angle post

6 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said:

Right!? This month should’ve come with a trigger warning

It need not get forgotten with the RDU crowd that even though the snowless record will not be broken, our 1/2” of slop did not do anything to put a dent in our snow drought. 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, and now through 2025 we have seen a grand total of one seasonal snow of 3”, everything else has been 2” or less. We are in an extreme snow drought even for our area

12 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said:

Some of ya’ll are going to need therapy by the time February gets here   Hang in there everyone!

After the last 6 winters I need it bad