NorthHillsWx

Bad debris ball showing up on the tornado warned storm near Scotland neck 

Just now, eyewall said:

This morning in Raleigh

You can smell the smoke today. Disgusting 

Finally got the thirst quenching rain I’d been waiting for. Much like all of central NC, that line produced heavy rain and lots of lightning. Some wind, nothing over 30 mph I’d say, and no hail, but we received 1.21” of rain

Finished with 0.13” today despite areas just east getting 1-2”. 

10 minutes ago, eyewall said:

North Hills should have done better this time:

About a quarter mile down the street is a flood. We have 0.13” with some light rain still falling

1 minute ago, cbmclean said:

How much did you end up with?

Just 0.22” but it felt nice getting something to wet the yard/garden after 2 weeks of missing everything. .26” for the day 0.43” for July 

Complain and you shall receive. Getting a soaking rain finally 

The misses continue… 1.5 hours of thunder and rain down the street resulted in 0.02” imby. At least the clouds and outflow have cooled it off nicely, 78 atm

EDIT: Fringed again. .02” again. 0.04” for the day 

Forecasting conditions to improve against a strengthening El Niño is a new one for me. I’m still thinking we see reduced activity and a BN season, regardless of water temps. Crazy to bank on August to produce a AN season in any year 

1 hour ago, olafminesaw said:

Pretty awesome outflow boundary! 

It dropped our temp from 91 to 83 without any rain or clouds 

9 hours ago, cbmclean said:

Just one of those spells where MBY can't buy a good soaking.  Cells popping up all around me today but only scrounged 0.008".  

Looking at the radar right now the cells have almost no movement.  If one happens to form over top of you it's great, but otherwise forget it.

Yep, that’s been how it’s gone here. Watched areas just a few miles down the road get 1”+ while we barely got the edge of a collapsing cell. 0.12” for the day which brings the month to 0.17”

9 minutes ago, Superstorm93 said:

The new Euro seasonal model continues to show an exceptionally active remainder of the season. Little skeptical, but it's going to be rather interesting to watch this unfold over the next two months.

I suppose we could rack up some ACE with several long-tracked Cape Verde storms if we have more intra-seasonal forcing than the giant WP standing wave, 

Seeing enhanced activity in both the MDR and EPAC would be exceptionally contrary to climo for an El Niño season. Call me skeptical at best

High of 96 heat index made it to 106. I miss that cool May. Once again, no rain 

0.0” of rain from the 80% chance of storms yesterday. Heard some thunder so I guess they got close but really surprised how everything went south of here 

Completely missed my neck of the woods. 0.0” of rain. Sandhills seemed to get some good storms last night

Maybe it gets going after dark but it seems like a bit of a bust so far with just two cells that seem kinda capped

Full sun in Raleigh now and temp shot up to 88.3. Feels like a severe day now 

Still overcast here in my part of the triangle 

Picked up 3.27” last week which brings the monthly total to 3.35”

Bret definitely peaked last night. Recon was very unimpressive this morning and satellite presentation is degrading quickly. 

That’s one of the more interesting discussions I’ve read from NHC in awhile 

16 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Just 0.07” here today brings our 3 day total to 0.80” and our monthly total to a paltry 0.88”. Really hope we capitalize on something before this system moves out. Even drier at the farm in Franklin county. They have only rained one of the 3 days since this system began 

We’ll we lucked into our first soaker of the event. 1.4” in 45 minutes and still raining. Event total is over 2.2” now. EDIT: we ended with 1.54” over about an hour. Our storm total is now 2.27” bringing the month to 2.35”. Probably more to come later on today but that was a heck of a soaker this AM

Just 0.07” here today brings our 3 day total to 0.80” and our monthly total to a paltry 0.88”. Really hope we capitalize on something before this system moves out. Even drier at the farm in Franklin county. They have only rained one of the 3 days since this system began 

Seems like this flight more or less confirmed the NHC estimates. Maybe they bump it to 55kt but everything seems to match earlier intensity estimates

Definitely a little frustrating watching heavy returns evaporate before getting here all day. 0.32” for the day while areas just a few miles away had triple that +. 0.78” for the month