NorthHillsWx

HUGE NW shift on ICON. Eastern NC should like 

What a waste of a prolonged January cold snap. If you told me we’d be more than -7 through the first 20 days of January I’d definitely taken my chances 

1 minute ago, wxdawg10 said:

RAH never bit on this storm either. Also credit to Brad P, he was never sold on the NW trend and people were fighting him on twitter about it. Times like these make you realize why they are pro and we are amateurs.

Brad P and NWS did a fantastic job. Honestly I don’t think most on this forum really bought into the storm without any model consistency and with the real possibility of a strung out mess that was never going to work. 

7 minutes ago, goldman75 said:

I’m still holding onto hope here in Myrtle beach

1 minute ago, fig said:

Same in Wilmington!

Y’all will definitely see some snow. The big totals, however, are gone

40 minutes ago, lilj4425 said:

Don’t do this to us. It’s gonna be either cold and dry or 34 and rain. 

I said a long shot lol

The late week system seems like it would have a chance to produce some snow if it’s close enough to get moisture back. Models are reinforcing the cold and with the new idea of an offshore LP development I don’t see why that wouldn’t be snow if we can get the moisture. Still a long shot but it has previously looked more like a rain event

As for a full model miss, the Canadian gets the crown. It did trend towards reality yesterday but that’s why you never hug the Canadian. Surprisingly, EURO and EPS gets second place for junk model of this storm. While everything else was trending away it bought into the storm. Now it’s trending back to reality. UK, GFS, and… ICON all seem to have had the correct idea at the furthest range.

lol New Orleans likely to get more snow than last 3 RDU winters combined 

11 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

18z EPS corrected back north and west for us folks more inland...

That’s beautiful. Literally the entire forum gets accumulating snow. Maybe we’ll trend that way 

Need the 12z euro to be good or cliff diving will commence 

Since 0z it’s been nonstop bummer vibes 

The thread was started and this thing evaporated. GEFS looks awful for everyone

NAM is very amped for what it’s worth (very little)

So we gained the Euro and lost the GFS. That’s a trade I’m willing to make 

I knew the Euro run was good as soon as I logged on and saw the thread was hot at 1:30

I actually think EPS trended much better, but what do I know 

Just now, olafminesaw said:

Vs 6z. Differences mostly noise I think 

Noise. Huge improvement overall since last night 

EURO worlds better than 0z

Just now, WarmNoseHater said:

i would like to know what Brick does for work that allows him to spend his entire week here tracking this. 

Brick tool work off for 10 days after he sniffed this storm out at hour 320 a week ago

Hey, the longggg range NAM looks more like the Canadian than the EURO. We’re good y’all 

21 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

.

I was living in Greenville for that one. Remember watching the sleet and thinking it would switch for hours. It finally did but we wasted 1/2 the storm on sleet. Think we got 4-5” but way less than the 8-10” forecast. Still a great storm and a great winter that way.

1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said:

Moving towards the UK runs and maybe even the Canadian.

If Raleigh got 0.8” of precip with those temps…. happy happy happy

6 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

It must be DCs winter to get snow. 

And on their forum you’d think they were in Raleigh’s snow drought… They are pretty much guaranteed to finish the winter above their climo and with below average temps but if they don’t get a once in 50 year storm it’s a season fail 

We undershot the forecast pretty significantly here. Low of 26.7. Pretty long streak of below freezing nights. This has been impressive cold wall to wall through January so far 

3 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Funny that yesterday we had the EPS and not the GFS now it’s flipped. Tough to get the band together.

I know right?!?! That’s kind of giving me hope bc the two suites that at some point have shown snowless solutions have also been the most inconsistent.