NorthHillsWx

1.38” storm total here. Much, much needed 

11 minutes ago, eyewall said:

what did you end up with?

 

It’s still raining lightly but we’re at 1.36”

3 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Disappointing day in the rainfall department. Just two tenths of an inch with the back edge already approaching. Most models had us with over an inch 

Spoke too early

Disappointing day in the rainfall department. Just two tenths of an inch with the back edge already approaching. Most models had us with over an inch 

Raw outside today. 43 with a brisk wind and rain moving in. Could see 1”+ amounts here today and tonight

Fun seeing some cold air showing up on models in addition to an active storm track.

40.1 here too. No frost. Looks like a decent rain event later this week

Finally some decent rain here in Raleigh 

EDIT: finished with 0.27” which although far from a significant rainfall was our largest total since Helene 

Imagine this but heading east into the keys… Unreal for mid November. Definitely a major 

We need rain like I can’t describe in central NC. Just 0.25” the last 38 days. I know it’s worse up the coast 

5 hours ago, Windspeed said:

Intense typhoon Yinxing is about to make landfall in northeastern most Luzon, Phillipines.

That thing was a beast when it skirted the coast 

Just a paltry 0.07” here

On 11/5/2024 at 5:18 PM, StantonParkHoya said:

Euro with some pretty good rains for central NC Thursday morning

We need it. One measurable rainfall in last 37 days

Oh boy. Small eye popping. This things going off right into landfall 

Storm is rapidly strengthening. Said that a few times on here this year 

Looks like we might have a hurricane 

In the last 36 days we have recorded measurable rainfall just once. That is insane 

Yes, structurally this storm is very well developed but given lack of a coherent CDO and some popcorn storms in the western and northern circulation me thinks it is battling some mid level dry air 

Cayman Islands radar should be interesting to watch through the day

https://www.weather.gov.ky/radar

Latest GFS brings Central NC almost no rain at all from the tropical system 

Interesting the NHC noted a developing eyewall from recon with a minimal TS with a questionable appearance. Not seeing the convective blowup you usually see when NHC notes a formative eyewall. Wonder if that was a transient feature 

14 hours ago, yotaman said:

Unless we have a big pattern change, I don't see a frost or freeze happening to us on the coastal plain this month. We have gone thru November before without a frost and freeze. I really hope we don't this year.

Don’t see it happening here either before thanksgiving week at least. 

RE the KRDU temp obs- I’ve noticed that my readings have been MUCH more in line with RDU since that June heat wave and honestly are probably 1-3 degrees above what the airport’s reading has been as of late! I wonder if the summer drought and peak sun angle heating was the culprit. I still don’t believe RDUs June readings that consistently beat out Fayetteville on a daily basis! It doesn’t make sense to be so high above other regional obs that consistently only to fall in line later in the fall 

Cracked 80 again today. Dewpoints between 60-62 have it feeling quite muggy. This might be worse than missing out on snow in winter. I love crisp fall afternoons more than anything and we are burning through the peak under a heat dome 

29 minutes ago, GaWx said:

 La Niña climo once the tropics get quiet is not kind to especially the SE half of the SE US for rainfall with SE ridge typically pretty dominant and the lack of a strong ST jet. A general BN rainfall pattern is forecasted by the model consensus through December.

12z run of GFS drops 0.00” here through November 15