NorthHillsWx

Pretty exciting that this time tomorrow, instead of staring at models and this forum, I might be watching actual flakes fly 

Sorry for the IMBY posts. Was confused as to why snowfall amounts were dropped here when most models seemed to show an uptick. Overall the storm is trending much wetter 

I’ve got the NAM showing 0” and precip changing to rain with the RGM showing 5” and all snow with temps staying in the 20s… Glad I’m not forecasting for RAH

We’re 24 hours out and I have no idea what we will end up with. Snow streak ends likely but I just want enough to take my daughter sledding Saturday morning. NWS doesn’t think that’s likely 

EURO keeps the forum happy. If I had to choose one model to be on my side that’s the one. Cautiously optimistic 

RGEM keeps me all snow until maybe the last hour

Imo follow the models that have been steady. Euro GFS RGEM haven’t hardly budged in 24 hours. To me that says they are accurately sensing the downstream environment 

I think RAH issues watches after 0z

20 minutes ago, EarlGrey said:

Dat gradient tho, lawd. Still I’ll take it. 

A classic Carolina look! We’ve missed it! Oh we (south of 85 folk) hate it, but we haven’t tracked in so long it looks beautiful 

GFS was colder but very minimal track changes. Maybe a tick south 

I think everything (screw you NAM) is coming into agreement on a minor-moderate system for most on the forum 

10 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said:

Speaking of the RGEM.

Sign me up. Little bit of crust to protect my snowpack 

Whatever stage of the weenie storm mode where we live and die by the 50+ hour NAM, that’s where the boards at right now

I’m feeling pretty confident a large part of the NC piedmont and upstate see a 1-3” snowfall 

WRAL not impressed lol. 0-1” south of 85. 1-2” north

They’re out brining the roads around my neighborhood 

CMC EURO and UKIE were all OK for central NC. All trended better for a 1-3” mostly snow event. I’ll take that in a heartbeat 

29 minutes ago, eyewall said:

There is a decent chance we fail to make our forecast high here in Raleigh today keeping things nice and cold for now.

I haven’t cracked 35 yet

Ukie a solid run for the all-snow idea

Hello darkness my old friend 

RGEM was a fine run. ICON though weak did drop 1-3” of all snow for a lot on here

In the Euro AI we trust 

Not getting the good vibes we had yesterday morning

Just now, sarcean said:

NAM is a joke with thermals - do not trust NAM for precip type...or amounts.

NAM knows warm noses better than any but this is still at range so take NAM outputs with large grain of salt 

Yea this is ugly.