NorthHillsWx

Greenville Spartanburg and Clemson all gusting over 40 now

This thing is WAY east of last nights forecast track

Augusta getting hurricane force gusts now

Augusta now sustained at 40 kts gusting to 64 kts 

Augusta just recorded a 58kt gust 

Still lightning ongoing in remnant eyewall. That tells me this thing is getting some upper level assistance and also that unusually deep convection for being this far inland will be efficient at mixing winds to the surface. Velocities over 90 kts showing on radar emphasize the wind potential this system continues to have. By all accounts, this is going to be one of the most prolific wind storms in the history of Georgia and possibly the upstate and mountains. I can see gusts of 70+ kts continuing into the mountains 

And it does appear to continue wanting to deviate east of track. Could increase wind threat for Charlotte and Greenville down the line if that continues 

That SE quadrant is benefiting from the 30 mph forward motion to keep these strong gusts going. I expect this to continue into the upstate and mountains. Augusta is about to get rocked, fully expect hurricane force gusts there

Looks like the main event is underway for the mountain and upstate areas. Will only go downhill the next few hours. Good luck to everyone in those areas and be safe 

On the main thread some current obs gusting over 100 inland still!!! Wherever that core sets up is going to get wrecked with the saturated soils ahead of it. 

57 minutes ago, GaWx said:

Wow, check this out from the NWS:

0124 AM TROPICAL CYCLONE SAVANNAH AIRPORT 32.13N 81.20W  
09/27/2024 CHATHAM GA ASOS  

SAVANNAH/HILTON HEAD INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT MEASURED A  
65 KNOT (75 MPH) WIND GUST. THE SUSTAINED WIND SPEED WAS  
44 KNOTS (51 MPH).

This was certainly not predicted.

Shows what that east side is capable of. I saw that gust report on the most recent advisory from NHC and figured you were in for a wild night 

Probably 140 mph at this point

Wonder if this causes enough damage in the Clemson area to alter the game Saturday night 

That’s one of the most dire wind maps I’ve ever seen that far from a storms landfall. It doesn’t add in the 10-20” of rain that surely will result in historic tree damage if those gusts are realized. This is ones our kids will talk about on weather forums 60 years from now

26 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

TOG?  Or just indicated?

Just indicated but major wind shift and lowering of the clouds right over our house. Rain stopped when the darkest lowering came over then picked up with probably 30 mph gusts after it passed, exact opposite direction 

3 minutes ago, George001 said:

Chances of category 5 at landfall?

Not 0…

Recon more than justifies a cat 4 upgrade 

The Michael comparisons can continue. Extremely diffluent ventilation with the interaction with the trough to the north and east and movement in line with shear vector. This isn’t going to be far from Michael intensity wise in a few hours. Satellite presentations are almost identical at this stage before landfall. The dueling VHTs is a menacing look and absolutely causing these rapid pressure falls. Just wow. Those mesovortices are beautiful to watch on radar, though the destructive potential increases with every radar update 

Here’s the rapid intensification phase… as it pulls into land. She’s a beaut on satellite 

Thats bout as close as it gets

11 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

Head for cover!

warned now

Rotation showing with cell about to move over my house

Not our storm in central NC but we’ve picked up about an inch of rain in 30 min with this cell. Seemingly our 30th flood advisory in the last two weeks. I’m glad at least western NC wasn’t as saturated as we are leading up to this 

Check out the mesovortices rotating around that eyewall. IMO there isn’t a more telling sign of a storm going nuclear than seeing that. 

1 hour ago, wncsnow said:

I have decided to leave my house due to my proximity to the Catawba River and Lake Tahoma dam

Thinking about you and your family. Hoping for a positive outcome, but putting your family first is the right call here. Good luck 

In Other bad news, this system strengthened early enough to work on maxing out the surge. Get the F away from the coast in the big bend. Hope everyone heeds that. Thankfully it’s not super populated but there’s going to be surge the likes of which that part of the coast has never seen before