NorthHillsWx

Picked up 0.04” before midnight for a monthly total of 0.46”. You read that right. Under 1/2” for the freaking month. Picked up 0.05” after midnight so at least July starts with something 

3 minutes ago, cptcatz said:

130 knot FL wind on that northeast pass, pressure dropping.  Oh boy...

Yep… SFMR winds above 120 too. This is back to a 4

Recon finding stronger winds than last nights flight. Seems to support the current intensity, though I am sure it dropped below MH for a period early this morning 

14 minutes ago, Windspeed said:

Very explosive CB that's canopy cirrus is actually spilling over the eye. I expect that coverage to encircle and expand the CDO. Looks like an intensification trend is beginning to me. Not good timing for Grenada and the Grenadines.

Nope, not good at all. Radar presentation is rapidly improving. I agree, the CDO is likely to become more symmetric again and radar seems to be confirming that with a strong band wrapping all the way around the eye. What looked like the islands may be catching a break a few hours ago now looks like a larger and just as strong storm may be the reality. 

Doesn’t want to fully complete the ERC. Extreme hot towers going up now. Let’s see if this pushes it past the finish line.

EDIT: radar looks like a complete ERC. Strengthening seems imminent 

Picked up 0.11” for a monthly total of 0.42”. Unbelievable drought setting in, looks like another extended dry period 

The streak is over. Barely. Not sure I’ll count this. All went south of us

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=7

It’s still June. absurdity 

Yep. This is a TS

15 minutes ago, marsman said:

Barbados radar: https://www.barbadosweather.org/Radars/LeafScripts/BMSRadarProducts.php

That’s going to be the most viewed radar of the year (possibly) 

Extreme outer bands will start impacting the islands by nightfall. This is on the doorstep. This is getting very real, very fast 

I agree. I would be shocked if this didn’t begin an ERC before the islands. It’s just so rare to see storms of this magnitude remain steady state for 24 hours. That being said, there are NO signs that one has begun or that Beryl has finished deepening. It is a spectacular specimen at the moment

What chasers are covering this storm? Need to get my social media searches prepped for tomorrow 

6 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Island roulette is tricky business though. Any wobble especially on a smaller storm like this and you’re flying out for TS winds.

Obviously but that’s why you chase is to nail storms like this. Also these eastern carribean storms usually are a little more predictable especially when they are chugging along at good speeds embedded in easterlies. If this was a cat 1/2 yea don’t do it, but this is going to be a historic 4/5 impact and he’s probably the best at documenting from the field, so that is upsetting for those who love his content like me. This just feels like one on a growing list of misses for Josh. He hasn’t chased since October and is missing two historic impacts in a row.

12 minutes ago, jrips27 said:

https://x.com/icyclone/status/1807439753542807693?s=46

That’s a mistake. This is going to be a weakened mess later on. I do not believe this makes another landfall as a hurricane. Cannot imagine missing a high end impact after he missed Otis. 

Presentation has gone buzz saw mode. I hope everyone is getting off the islands in the path that can. Shades of a Maria situation but further south. 

Recon reveals an almost perfectly symmetrical core. My jaw has hit the floor. It’s still June in the MDR and we have this?!?!?!

The only thing that stops this from being a cat 4-5 strike somewhere on the windwards is an ERC. This storm is going to town with 0 inhibiting factors. What a storm for June. Eye candy 

Cat 3 at 8 am. Aircraft confirmed. Whatever the max potential for this part of the Atlantic is, this storm is going to reach it

27 days without rain…

This storm going to pound town tonight 

I’m excited/terrified for August and September 

This storm looks like it will be one of those buzz saw looking hurricanes. What a specimen for this early in the season 

26 days without rain…

Satellite presentation looks like a hurricane. This things rapidly intensifying folks