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Posts posted by NorthHillsWx
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That December 2-5 timeframe has potential. #1 ingredient is involved: cold
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Congrats mountain folks, you all deserved this.
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21 hours ago, eyewall said:
We failed to make it down to freezing in Raleigh so it does look like that record will fall.
34.2 here was the low. Think the clouds got us. Sunday morning will feature another chance at freezing
We picked up 0.26” of rain before the front
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Watching this November blizzard NFL game seems like a good sign
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18z GFS is probably the coldest early December look I can remember in last 7-8 years. Freezer is accurate. Moisture running underneath too. Wow.
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All I can say is at least the start of December is not a punt like we’re so used to doing here
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5 hours ago, wncsnow said:
Ensembles showed cold coming all last season in the long range while the ops showed the Ridge hanging out. We all know which one won. Hopefully we actually see a true winter pattern for the first time since January 2022.
^^^This. If there’s even a hint of SER on an Ops model it needs to be taken seriously
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Ensembles look pretty good first week of December. Ops are showing SER and delayed cold over the mountains. Not a terrible pattern at least. STJ looks active
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On 11/17/2024 at 2:18 PM, yotaman said:
Low of 40. Still haven't been able to crack the 30's yet.
We hit 38.1 the other night which was our lowest temp of season. Not sure we get to freezing before December
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1.38” storm total here. Much, much needed
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11 minutes ago, eyewall said:
what did you end up with?
It’s still raining lightly but we’re at 1.36”
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3 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:
Disappointing day in the rainfall department. Just two tenths of an inch with the back edge already approaching. Most models had us with over an inch
Spoke too early
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Disappointing day in the rainfall department. Just two tenths of an inch with the back edge already approaching. Most models had us with over an inch
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Raw outside today. 43 with a brisk wind and rain moving in. Could see 1”+ amounts here today and tonight
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Fun seeing some cold air showing up on models in addition to an active storm track.
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40.1 here too. No frost. Looks like a decent rain event later this week
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Finally some decent rain here in Raleigh
EDIT: finished with 0.27” which although far from a significant rainfall was our largest total since Helene
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Imagine this but heading east into the keys… Unreal for mid November. Definitely a major
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We need rain like I can’t describe in central NC. Just 0.25” the last 38 days. I know it’s worse up the coast
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Just a paltry 0.07” here
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On 11/5/2024 at 5:18 PM, StantonParkHoya said:
Euro with some pretty good rains for central NC Thursday morning
We need it. One measurable rainfall in last 37 days
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Oh boy. Small eye popping. This things going off right into landfall
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Storm is rapidly strengthening. Said that a few times on here this year


Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024
in Southeastern States
Posted
If we got 1-2” 3 weeks before Christmas I’d be happy as a clam.