NorthHillsWx
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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx
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Definitely improving structure but dry air is certainly entrained. Watch how unstable the eyewall is. Certainly seems like the storm has developed a solid core but until the dry air it sucked in earlier is fully mixed out I don’t see this strengthening too much. That can happen quick though- see Beryl
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I freaking love watching these things strengthen inside radar range. We’ve gotten to see every stage of this one’s development on US radar. Excellent weather entertainment. This definitely looks like a hurricane now and one that’s wrapping up quickly
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This looks like the “h” word on radar now
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In my opinion this is organizing extremely quickly. Look at banding outside of the core. It’s setting itself up for rapid intensification. I’m actually impressed with how quickly this has come together since this time yesterday. Every time I look at satellite or radar it looks like a more mature system. I think cat 2 is attainable
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It is honestly amazing how talented downtown Tampa is at avoiding tropical systems
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1” exactly yesterday, 1.07” mtd
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Recon should provide a well timed pass here in a bit
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Yep it’s just continued to look more and more impressive since I posted too. This looks like a very clear attempt at an eyewall
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It looks like a nascent eyewall is now forming. Once this develops a cohesive core it might be off to the races before landfall. Unlike that storm last year that peaked too early over the gulf, this looks like it will be strengthening into landfall. I really wouldn’t rule out this making a run at 85 kts
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Nothing here. We got split.
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SE NC and OBX really seem to be the places with the highest threat of hurricane conditions from this system. Guidance has really honed in on that area over the last 18 hours
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Might have us a little tropical action next week in the Carolina’s. Starting to look like the Gulf threat has become a little more ominous for the Carolina coasts
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ICON is a weenie run for a serious storm just pounding the SE NC coast for days
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This thing has major 2005 Hurricane Ophelia vibes off the east coast
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This ^^^
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Happy hour GFS would nuke this board for days with the Gulf Stream stall then hesitant crawl towards NC
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GFS with a hurricane landfall on both the gulf and Atlantic coasts of Florida
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2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season
NorthHillsWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
I wouldn’t discount the rotting front off NC for some short lived development over the next 48 hours. -
2.56” today, all but about a half an inch fell in a 45 minute period. Significant flooding all over Raleigh when that band came through
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It’s been down since late yesterday. It’s dumping. Edit: we have received 1.10” or rain in the last 20 minutes. This is one of the most extreme downpours I’ve seen. 9” in rear view mirror working on 10” for the month
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Pushing 9” here mtd
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It’s funny, we were much better at getting rain before they issued a flood watch! Just to 0.18” overnight with light rain falling this morning
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Getting 7” of rain in a month is a good month. Getting over 7” of rain MORE than the previous month is absurd. Add my April + May + June totals and this month exceeds the sum. Incredible turnaround
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I gave up too early 7” in rear view mirror, pushing 8” on the month. 0.67” and raining steady with more to come. Back to bed 0.84” was our total overnight
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We missed all the storms today just right between them. 0.03” total, but keeps our rain streak alive
