Picked up 0.18” this morning for a two day total of 0.90”. Currently 57.7 after a low of 56.7. Thankfully the pollen is being washed away by this rain because it was already getting bad
Seems we forgot to start a March obs thread, so here we go.
Picked up a soaking rain this morning, looks like 0.72” will be the overnight/morning total. Currently 59 and feels extremely spring-like with a DP of 58.8
I mowed my yard for the second time this year today. Was quite nice out. Had to spray the plethora of weeds that have taken off. Without exaggeration, we are more than a month ahead of schedule for the growing season.
Significant upside with this system but two totally different camps. It does have a significant -NAO and there is cold air north of it. Good sign for a major storm across guidance but obviously a lot needs to go right for something other than cold rain and I don’t discount the GFS inland track at all
Forecast highs are really coming down for tomorrow across a lot of piedmont areas due to increased cloud cover and slightly decreased heights with SER a little east. Some CAMs keep temps around 70 for the better part of the day. Today looks like a lock to get into the upper 70’s-lower 80’s south but it would be a significant miss tomorrow if temps stay around 70 from all the hype of the previous week.
12z GFS gets no areas outside of the mountains and south of Virginia below freezing through March 8 (end of run). Very bad setup for early spring growth and costly freezes down the line
^^^ over the last 3 years PNA has been the most important teleconnection for our area. Perhaps a flip to Nino will offset some of the influence of -PNA in ways that lead to less of the above.