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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. From snow to 75 on the 13th. Oh how fun GFS long range op runs can be
  2. You know this winters bad when the NE forum has a thread 80+ pages long for a 3-6” slop storm
  3. Picked up 0.18” this morning for a two day total of 0.90”. Currently 57.7 after a low of 56.7. Thankfully the pollen is being washed away by this rain because it was already getting bad
  4. I usually cut modeled wind forecasts in half
  5. Might not even get rain with the main line in most of NC
  6. Seems we forgot to start a March obs thread, so here we go. Picked up a soaking rain this morning, looks like 0.72” will be the overnight/morning total. Currently 59 and feels extremely spring-like with a DP of 58.8
  7. I mowed my yard for the second time this year today. Was quite nice out. Had to spray the plethora of weeds that have taken off. Without exaggeration, we are more than a month ahead of schedule for the growing season.
  8. In other words: here we go again. Cold ain’t making it to the SE in time, if at all.
  9. Completely caved to GFS this run. Crazy how poor the Euro has been this season
  10. Huge differences between GFS and EURO/CMC camps. No change to our weather but model handling of that system has been terrible
  11. Significant upside with this system but two totally different camps. It does have a significant -NAO and there is cold air north of it. Good sign for a major storm across guidance but obviously a lot needs to go right for something other than cold rain and I don’t discount the GFS inland track at all
  12. SER is now a permanent fixture. I’m sure we’ll see 90’s in March while New England freezes
  13. Probably the first time since NWS started issuing products the entire RAH forecast area went an entire winter without even a WWA issued
  14. Had to turn it on yesterday. Upstairs was 75, too hot for me
  15. Might be the first snowless (measurable) winter of my life
  16. GFS gets us out to March 10 and it never gets to freezing in the Carolina’s. Might be hard pressed to get a frost, much less a snow
  17. Forecast highs are really coming down for tomorrow across a lot of piedmont areas due to increased cloud cover and slightly decreased heights with SER a little east. Some CAMs keep temps around 70 for the better part of the day. Today looks like a lock to get into the upper 70’s-lower 80’s south but it would be a significant miss tomorrow if temps stay around 70 from all the hype of the previous week.
  18. With that look in late February one would usually expect a solid CAD event but under the curtains it’s still too warm for most everyone
  19. 12z GFS gets no areas outside of the mountains and south of Virginia below freezing through March 8 (end of run). Very bad setup for early spring growth and costly freezes down the line
  20. ^^^ over the last 3 years PNA has been the most important teleconnection for our area. Perhaps a flip to Nino will offset some of the influence of -PNA in ways that lead to less of the above.
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