NorthHillsWx

Not sure any of y’all are following but it’s worth it to give the NE Forum a look today. Their Obs thread for the most recent storm is extremely impressive, many places got 30-40+” of paste. Incredible pictures 

2 hours ago, olafminesaw said:

Overnight models looking surprisingly good for the lowlands. We may close in on a solution a little quicker this time around (for better or for worse) with a less progressive flow.

I’m not billing up the threat but that’s easily the best look anywhere outside of the mountains has seen this year at this timeframe from the GEFS

Low of 29.7 here. Pretty much on track with forecasts, what a change from the last 4 weeks. 2 freezes in a row with a third on the way tonight 

First sub freezing morning here in a very long time. Bottomed out at 31.6. Looks colder the next two mornings 

Finished with 0.79” liquid from yesterdays event. It was some sort of mix between snow, snow/sleet, rain/sleet for roughly 3 hours according to my parents who live near me. From their pics and my doorbell cam we received a coating of snow on mulch, rooftop, and decks. Grass and darker objects had a tougher time accumulating. I’ll count this as measurable snow though so I’m bumping my daily and now seasonal snowfall to 0.1”, the bar has been raised 

2 hours ago, eyewall said:

I’m flying to Florida for vacation on the 21st this has a 100% chance to verify 

13 minutes ago, eyewall said:

It went over to mostly snow but has since flipped back to more sleet and rain. It was fun for a moment:
https://www.facebook.com/11832585/videos/713613087211349/

Yep looking at my doorbell cam looks like the snow has flipped to rain or sleet. Grass was quickly getting white is now mostly green. Mulch is completely covered as are rooftops and cars. My guess would be 0.1-0.2” but definitely measurable snow. May have been slightly more on a proper snow board I’m just going off my doorbell cam. Interesting event 

It’s now a legitimate coating at my house on the cam. We may make a run at a half inch 

@GaWx I guess the SSW did in fact bring a snow to Raleigh! I’ll be honest I did not expect to see even this small amount of snow after where we’d been the past 2 months

4 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Yea something interesting to watch. My parents are reporting flakes mixed with surprisingly heavy sleet (probably graupel) near 440 north of Raleigh. I told them if they could make a snowball from the crud on top of their outdoor table RDU has probably ended the snowless streak 

I’d say the streak is over! Just checked my ring cam and there is a dusting on the grass and mulch and the roof across from my house is white. Big flakes falling too. Hate I missed our only snow, regardless how pitiful it may be

Just now, eyewall said:

I suppose they may register 0.1 but we shall see.

Yea something interesting to watch. My parents are reporting flakes mixed with surprisingly heavy sleet (probably graupel) near 440 north of Raleigh. I told them if they could make a snowball from the crud on top of their outdoor table RDU has probably ended the snowless streak 

2 minutes ago, eyewall said:

Sleeting in Raleigh at 8:25am

I’m not there today. Any chance this gives RDU measurable snow to end the season blanking or is it just novelty? 

Picked up right at a quarter inch (0.25”) of rain today. Cold and wet, 49.3 a little after noon 

33 minutes ago, GaWx said:

Thanks for that info. I didn't mean in quite a few Marches. I meant it has been quite awhile since we had that (several freezes close together) this winter. The last time Atlanta and Athens had two consecutive freezes was way back in late January, for example.

Thanks for the clarification. I need to check it for sure but I think it’s been since February 18-19 that RDU hit two consecutive days at or below freezing 

11 hours ago, GaWx said:

Nothing like that has happened in quite awhile and it has been very rare this entire winter.

Last year, March 2022, RDU recorded freezes on March 12, 13, 28, 29. RDU also dropped to freezing on the 14th. Further, RDU dropped to freezing on April 20th. 

45 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

Oh my gosh. I think we made it through a whole winter without it being brought up (or warm temps leading up to an event). That at least is one good thing about this winter!

Sad we never had anything close to an event it would inevitably have been brought up with! The biggest sun angle/warm ground talk offender has always been and will continue to be the meteorology department at WRAL 

Low of 34.9 and maybe a little light frost? It seemed like it had already melted when I woke up at 7. Huge difference from here to Louisburg (about 20 miles) as usual. The farm dropped down to 27.6 which is a hard freeze. The Franklin county airport supports this as they briefly dropped to 28. I’m sure that nipped back the budding trees somewhat 

2 hours ago, StantonParkHoya said:

We hunting frosts now?

We broke 40 at my house (39.9) this morning. That was our first morning below 40 since February 19. I don’t need to tell you how anomalous that is. There are some serious records that could fall across the southeast as far as earliest last freezes are concerned 

On 3/7/2023 at 7:01 AM, olafminesaw said:

If nothing else, perhaps this season has beaten through our collective thick skulls that 5 day+ op runs are meaningless.

I actually disagree with this. I feel like models have been relatively locked in from inside 7-8 days. We haven’t had anything besides the ULL low that made it inside medium range as a threat. Beyond 7-8 days as has been and, for the foreseeable future, will always be fantasy land. The only reason people strayed into fantasy land this year was there was literally nothing interesting to talk about inside the fantasy range. Overall though, I think models did a great job inside a week, the only issue being they collectively and correctly eroded weenie hope every run once anything got into that range. 
 

The major SSW event was really the only thing that kept this forum entertaining for the last month bc there was just nothing else going to give us hope in the sh*t patten we were stuck in, so all of GA’s posts were much welcomed even if nothing really panned out as far as sensible weather impacts for our region. Winter 2022-23 will forever go down as the winter that never happened (I think I saw RDU finished with 22 of 28 days above average in February)

Slipped out to my farm earlier today and noticed it had gotten quite dusty on the dirt road.  Nice to have a few days off from the recent rain

1 hour ago, yotaman said:

Yes they are. Thousands.

Low this morning of 39, high of 74. Low humidity made for a beautiful day.

Noticed the bees today too. They were out in force

Low of 40.8 last night 

SER just says “what cold?”… We’lol be lucky to get a freeze. Many, many earliest last frost/freeze records are in jeopardy this spring 

I’m convinced the SER has officially become an immovable object. It’ll fade for 2-3 days for sure but it’s still there hiding, resurrecting itself for the next 14 days immediately before another system approaches. Literally we cannot even get a frost this year, I do not remember the last time it hit freezing at my house. I will say, the weather today was AMAZING! I’ll take this any day

10 hours ago, StantonParkHoya said:

GFS only has a few hours out of 384 below freezing for RDU

20 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

That cold push keeps getting less and less intense on the GFS. 

Looks like a few frosts, or normal for March