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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. Next week's system may need to be watched for a severe threat. Very dynamic system developing over the plains it seems. We will be firmly in the warm sector
  2. This weeks drought monitor showed significant worsening of the drought in central and eastern NC. I can say looking at lake and pond levels it is as dry as it got during the summer, though with the time of year impacts are less. The creek through my farm has been reduced to a trickle and several ponds are almost dry. We need rain badly and big rain
  3. The late weekend/early week rain has backed off to basically nothing but the second system looks robust
  4. Ensembles look pretty wet starting next week. Globals habe been bouncing around but starting to settle in on idea of multiple systems
  5. Just missed the 30’s this morning, 40.1 Just absolutely amazing weather. Give me this every day of the fall (throw some rain in too)
  6. https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/E/W/OBS_Radar.html Wild radar loop showing land interaction heavily influencing track (normal for cyclones near Taiwan)
  7. Huge fail for AI models. Champi just made landfall on Taiwan
  8. 44.6 this morning. What a stretch of weather
  9. Drove over falls this afternoon and it is as low as it looked this summer. Crazy to see it this low again.
  10. My post was purely about the tropical nature of this system vs the Nor Easter a couple weeks ago and the hype surrounding naming that one when it was clearly non-tropical. My post had no mention of land impacts, though both systems have been damaging. Currently Hatteras Island remains in a state of emergency with all land access cut off and emergency ferry service the only option on or off the island. Also, before the system was named, it was a significant high wind event on the OBX with many gusts 50-60 mph recorded during a multi-day stretch.
  11. RDU also got in 30's for first time this season. 39.9
  12. First 30s of the year! 39.7 right now. Fell well below forecast across central NC this morning
  13. Hope all those weather hypers on social media study this system. This is what a STS looks like. Not that nor Easter last time
  14. 93L looks subtropical. Looks much more tropical in nature than the last nor Easter everyone was freaking out over on social media. This one is actually maintaining convection over the center, has highest winds in central convection, and is over the Gulf Stream
  15. I don’t think we see a drop of rain for the rest of the month
  16. Not sure the SE as a whole sees much/any more rain through the end of the month. This weekends system was very welcome as it dropped generally at least 0.5” across most of the state. With the strong offshore low, temps have trended way down this week and a beautiful fall weather pattern looks to be locked in!
  17. Hit 41.7 yesterday morning. Picked up 0.61” Saturday which brings MTD to 2.43”
  18. I’ll take the rainfall after what models showed a week ago
  19. 1/2” so far. Good steady rainfall.
  20. Well this mornings weather is quite the change from the last few days…
  21. 90.8 today. 3 straight 90+ days for me
  22. Trend has definitely been towards a stronger tucked coastal. Major impacts for obx looking likely now with prolonged exposure to NE wind and fetch with strong winds on land as well. Inland this should deliver moderate but beneficial rain. If this is a sign for what’s in store this winter I’ll be very happy, this is a snowstorm setup just a couple months too early
  23. The level of anxiety this forum would have if this system was in January would be through the roof
  24. Today was the 22nd record high at RDU this year. 2026 has seen more record highs than any other year in history for Raleigh
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