NorthHillsWx
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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx
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GFS drives 850s below freezing much sooner than anything else. Not much difference synoptically or in surface depiction between it and anything else. Just way too quick with post frontal CAA east of mountains with the passage of the strong arctic front. I could see flakes mix in somewhere in Virginia but this will not be more than that (and mountain snow). Not really worth over analyzing, GFS just defies physics while other models understand cold is delayed by the mountains
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Extremely active storm track but fortunately it seems west of here for the near future. Possibly a significant tornado day in Texas and maybe even Illinois today. If energy keeps rising from Texas to Michigan we will keep catching tail end of systems with highest severe threats when they are this week west of here
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If RDU hits 90 tomorrow it will not only break the daily record, it would be the earliest 90 degree day in RDUs history. The average first 90 degree day for RDU is May 11, if that puts into perspective how impressive that would be. I’m not saying it will happen but with a forecast high of 87 it would not take much to come close
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Tomorrow is a real threat to push 90 degrees in areas. My point click is showing 87. Record high for the date is 85. Today’s forecast shows 82, with the record to beat being 81. It is starting out cooler than forecast though, currently sitting at 51
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It snowed in Charlotte on st Patrick’s day I think 2014? Was there for the bar crawl (I was younger) and woke up to snow
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RDU got to 63 just before midnight but still beat the record by 3 degrees. That’s a daily high record and daily high minimum so far during the warm spell. Tuesday and Wednesday look very likely to further rewrite the record books for the area. We picked up 0.16” total yesterday and are sitting at a “cool” 55.9 right now
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Made it up to 77.8 before the rain rolled in, picked up 0.12” from a heavy shower and it has since cooled to 66.4 which equals our morning low
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Up to 75, no rain yet. Clouds probably killing instability but would imagine some thunder is possible this afternoon in areas that get breaks
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Unless RDU drops much faster than expected this evening we have blown the record out of the water with a low of 66 this morning. That’s a 6 degree record break, very significant
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Being it’s currently 67 at RDU and the record high minimum for the day is 60 I’d say we’re gonna blow that out of the water
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80.4 was the high here yesterday. RDU made it to 82 but it was slightly below the record high. Wednesday looks like it has legit potential to push 90 in some areas in the Carolina’s
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Only 64.2 this morning. This is summer like heat
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Raleigh NC RATING: D Reasoning: cold was solid but we had 3 storms including 2 warnings and neither warning verified and all 3 storms underperformed forecasts. We got the lowest seasonal snow total (3.6” IMBY) in the entire state and had one of the most epic snow hole events of all time during the January 31 storm. Also the Christmas torch really sucked. Just painful all around
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We topped out at 83.7. Insane
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83.1 currently, I’m assuming RDU blows by the record of 82 at some point today
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57.4 for the low already up to 72. Looks like our record high of 82 will fall today
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We got below freezing on the 24th but that was the last time this year so we aren’t going to be far from that record assuming it didn’t get below freezing again which seems highly unlikely but at this point possible.
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Possible many areas don’t get below freezing in March this year which is insane
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79.2 here today
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Long as it stays active I don’t care if it’s warm or chilly in March. I can’t stand boring weather in March bc it’s typically such a volatile month. And we still need rain
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What a crazy airmass, waking up 60 after a low of just 58.5
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77.8 today, spring in full swing. Trees blooming
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That seems low In Greensboro Fayetteville and Greenville just off the Jan 31 storm alone
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Yep- I see nothing boring about the upcoming pattern with a classic battleground developing between the extremes and an active storm track. Looks like a lot of potential for powerhouse spring systems in mid March
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With the extreme cold remaining in Canada and extreme warmth invading most of the US, it seems like we have a chance of a significant severe weather season simply due to the mixing of extremes. EURO and GFS already showing a potent system in about a week
