NorthHillsWx

Over 30” of rain reported with (obviously) catastrophic flooding in Avoyelles parish Louisiana

Really not a worse look for the falls lake watershed

Short range guidance has trended very wet for triangle and triad with some 2-3” amounts showing up. This could be the rainfall event we’be been waiting on to at least make a dent

Let’s ride

Models have generally trended north with the low overnight, and thus wetter in some of the worst drought areas. The potential exists for most areas in piedmont to get at least 1/2” with some 1”+ amounts. That would make this possibly the largest event since August, the last time I recorded over 1” from an event. Still not certain as there could be a sharp gradient but overnight trends continuing into this morning were encouraging

After another week without rain I cant imagine tomorrow’s drought update will be very pretty for NC

No hope for drought ravaged areas of northern piedmont. Discussion from RAH: QPF still remains quite variable and in flux, but remains rather light (mostly under a 0.25 to 0.50). The GFS shows absolutely nothing over the drought plagued northern Piedmont of NC. The hi-res models are now coming into range, but do not offer much hope. We need a pattern change. The pattern has been so persistent with either a dominate ridge aloft or a zonal flow. The areas east of the Appalachians have had an atypical mountain shadow hole in the rainfall due variations of a dominate westerly flow in the mid levels for quite some time. We need a break in the mid/upper levels over our region or a dominate Bermuda high with SW flow aloft to consistently bring Gulf moisture and lift to the region. This is not seen in the foreseeable future. The zeros keep stacking up.

I think the drought might be completely ended in a lot of Georgia by next week if this tropical low moves through as predicted

We were grazed by a cell yesterday and logged 0.03”. So monthly total is now 0.03”

I’ve literally lost faith that it will ever rain again. Beltline, pouring. Here? Yea right

6z GFS keeps the northern half of NC under 1/2” QPF through end of June. Euro would’ve been the same if it didn’t develop and slide an inland hurricane through, lmao

0.00” here for the day, 0.00” for the month

It felt that way then the sun broke containment, 98.1

Much less hot today we haven’t broken 94 yet. Mostly overcast and not as humid

So much for rain chances through first half of next week

We didn’t fall below 100 until just before 7:00 at my house. Absolutely incredible, hottest day I can ever remember. Peaking at 100 is one thing but sitting between 100-104 for over 6 hours is unheard of here

We have been above 100 for almost 6 hours straight. That has to be a record

New record for my PWS, 103.3! Still an hour before we peaked yesterday so that could go higher but currently sitting at a “cool” 102.4

100.3 at 12:30!!! This has to be the earliest in day 100 degree reading ever here. Up 2 degrees in last hour. We are heading for 103-104 I believe

Just broke 93 here. Going over 100 again for sure

Same here. Buddy by the lake said they got 1”. The farm in Louisburg picked up a MUCH NEEDED 0.28”

At least the models are seeing reality now

Had a second higher peak of 100.6 so I guess technically 101. Yuck

In the last 10 min we broke 100 at my house and peaked at 100.1 currently fluctuating between 99.4 and 99.9. First 100 reading of the year and I fear it won’t be the last

RDU officially hit 100. We aren’t far behind, 99.4 at my house. Hottest day of summer so far