NorthHillsWx

Someone needs to take the GFS out back and put it down like old yeller

Lorenzo fought valiantly but, RIP

Need to watch for some severe storms on Sunday

Wouldn’t it be something if we make it through peak season and October and get our only US hurricane landfall in November

Lorenzo is battling but that shear looks very strong. Not sure it’s long lived. Follow up wave keeps getting more and more support for development and as others have said it will make it further west. How far is unknown but it could be a carribean problem

IMO it could’ve been named well before they named it. That it existed within an upper level low was why it was just what it was: a subtropical storm. Honestly a very impressive one at that to have the symmetry and sustained convection at that latitude. Would’ve loved radar from that storm because it would’ve looked like a hurricane haha. As for JB naming coastal storms, absolutely not. TWC already subjected us to that with winter storms and it’s a joke. Nor Easter’s are part of life on the east coast and honestly until this year we’d been in a very long dry spell for significant ones. We can’t name every weather system just bc it’s impactful. You’d have to start naming lows that hit the west coast too if you went that route. It’s just not a good idea. Coastal lows are very impactful but they are nothing like a hurricane and coastal towns know how to prepare accordingly as is. This one has literally 0 tropical characteristics and comparing it to Karen is like comparing an apple to an orange. Their both low pressure systems is about the only similarity. He has gone off the rails, and it’s sad because he had been one of the better Mets back in the day but it’s been so long I just cancel anything he says out as noise at this point. As for this system, lots of coastal flooding from New England to the Carolina’s and some areas of significant flash flooding in SC but overall a lot of areas saw beneficial rain. For a complicated forecast the storm ended up doing about exactly what was expected for the entire coast.

Picked up an additional 0.02” overnight at some point. Currently thick overcast and 60.4 still breezy but nowhere near the constant gusts of yesterday. Saw a lot of inland areas recorded gusts over 40 yesterday which is very impressive for a nor Easter

High of 66 low of 59. 0.06” additional 0.77” two day total

Wind has been very impressive in the triangle for a nor Easter. I’d say gusts have been 30-35 all afternoon

0.71” here hoping for a little more today

About 1/2” so far. Seems to be meeting expectations. We needed this widespread rainfall. Downright raw right now with a gusty N wind, 60 degrees and moderate rain

NHC has this as a cat 2 right now 48 hours ago on their forecast

What a modeling/forecast miss

Another lemon in the MDR

Would’ve loved radar from this point. Cool storm

Good job NHC for classifying this STS. It kinda reminds me of the Vince situation, if it looks like it, it probably is…

It’s funny looking at Karen on the NHC page almost off the map

How is 96L not named???

My location has received less than 1” over the last 40 days and almost all of that came from 1 system. We have received measurable rain just 3 of the last 40 days and central NC is now in moderate-severe drought

Hmmm, recon shows Jerry’s circulation might be opening up

Well… it happened. Rained for about 15 minutes but did not receive anything measurable. 0.00” MTD hangs on

Welp this one will not over perform. Might still get a hurricane

What looked like a sure fire 1/2” all week with the frontal passage has evaporated literally into a chance of not getting anything. Also, the low keeps trending east. Places west of 95 are out of the game

One. More. Day. Thursday can’t get here soon enough it’s going to feel wonderful

Has the look of another over-achiever on sat. HWRF says it gets close to a mid October cat 5. I’ll start putting a little more stock in the hurricane models now that we have a defined system.