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NorthHillsWx

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  1. NorthHillsWx
    We have not made it below 39 yet at my house this fall
  2. NorthHillsWx
    Half an inch so far. Very solid rain event, my house seems to be in the best spot for once
  3. NorthHillsWx
    Looks like the storm might come close to major again. Really getting its act together this morning on both satellite and recon
  4. NorthHillsWx
    Melissa has now surpassed Erin in total ACE, becoming the highest ACE producing storm of the season, second storm of the season with >32 and third storm >26. I know people forecasted a backloaded season but to only have 5 hurricanes and get a basin seasonal ACE of likely ~140 is impressive.
  5. NorthHillsWx
    As expected the wind damage where the eyewall came ashore is extreme. There are areas where well built structures appear to have been flattened by wind, not surge. With elevation in play I am confident assessment will find ground verification of 200+ mph gusts. Honestly some of the damage looks akin to a very high end tornado. I cannot wait to hear Josh’s take on it as he went through the worst of both this and Dorian
  6. NorthHillsWx
    If Jamaica hadn’t been in the way this would’ve easily been top 3 too
  7. NorthHillsWx
    1.26” here with a steady drizzle continuing this morning
  8. NorthHillsWx
    To quote monte python, hitting Jamaica “tis but a flesh wound” to Melissa
  9. NorthHillsWx
    https://www.metoc.navy.mil/fwcn/animate.html?icao=mugm&type=CMaxZH240 Guantanamo radar confirms satellite: small eye with violent eyewall reforming. This is bombing out
  10. NorthHillsWx
    How this managed to keep a tight inner core after spending 5+ hours over the mountains with seemingly zero time to reorganize is beyond me. I’m at a loss. If it had been moving quickly over Jamaica, sure. But this thing crawled. And exploded the second it hit water. Looks high end-ish on satellite again. Doubt it goes back to a 5 but at this point I can’t deny the possibility
  11. NorthHillsWx
    Going nuclear… again. Land apparently only inhibitor to Melissa
  12. NorthHillsWx
    Truly incredible. This and Dorian are in a class of their own in the Atlantic
  13. NorthHillsWx
    Without engaging in hyperbole this is looking like it might make a run at high end cat 4 even in the few hours until landfall based on satellite trends
  14. NorthHillsWx
    Eye rapidly clearing out. How strong can it get before the next landfall? It’s going to push the boundary for rapid recovery post-landfall.
  15. NorthHillsWx
    Looking rather violent: https://www.metoc.navy.mil/fwcn/animate.html?icao=mugm&type=CMaxZH240
  16. NorthHillsWx
    Did recon turn around?
  17. NorthHillsWx
    Just casually going beastmode again. This is a historic storm yall. We might not see one like this again in our lives
  18. NorthHillsWx
    Yeppers, we are about to see another round of rapid pressure falls. That ain’t a “hollowed out truck tire”. That’s a bona fide eyewall resuming its destructive path
  19. NorthHillsWx
    I think he’ll have something similar from today, sadly
  20. NorthHillsWx
    Watch Josh’s Dorian video if anyone wants to know what 150+ mph winds look like in daylight. Pretty sure if you stepped outside in that your body would be found several miles away
  21. NorthHillsWx
    I mean it spent over 5 hours on mountainous land I’m not sure why anyone would expect it to weaken less than it did. That being said the structure overall remained intact. Shear is starting to increase, evident by restricted outflow to SW, but it’s moving NE over a bathtub. This is going to restrengthen significantly. The only thing that weakened it in the first place was land.
  22. NorthHillsWx
    Warming near center. Eye about to reappear
  23. NorthHillsWx
    It’s blowing back up nicely
  24. NorthHillsWx
    Depending on structure when this gets back over water I’m not sure we don’t see another cat 5 landfall on Cuba. Environment is still extremely conducive until the Cuban landfall when shear will begin to increase
  25. NorthHillsWx
    I was thinking this too as a result of the continued westward drift. It also avoids the highest terrain if it stays west. As for intensity, the NE eyewall most definitely came ashore at peak intensity. Perhaps it filled a few mb before the center crossed but being the strongest winds were already onshore it does not matter
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