NorthHillsWx
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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx
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Don’t look at the GFS if you thought it was going to rain again in NC this month
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It’s gonna be June before I have to mow my lawn this year
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We’ve had so many moments since March when it looked like a pattern change was coming in the 14 day window just to revert to factory settings of drought.
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We talk about NC a lot in here but man the upstate and especially southern half of GA and Florida are in even worse shape with almost those entire areas in D3 or D4
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I was late to party, stage 1 restrictions go into effect on Monday. Can only water once a week and it’s either Tuesday or Wednesday depending on address. Lake fell to 83% capacity over last couple days
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Raleigh said water restrictions will go into effect when falls lake dips to 85% capacity. As of two days ago it was at 87% which is well well below normal for this time of year when it is almost always kept at full pool. Matter of when not if now
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I’ll believe it when it rains. Last system I was promised 1/2”-1” one day out and ended with the bare minimum to be considered measurable. Drought breeds drought and there has been a trend to dry out every system including our winter storms up until the moment they start. A pattern shift with multiple and repeated rain chances would be extremely welcomed though and honestly at this point beyond needed
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Very end of month continues to look like a breakdown of the ridge and much wetter pattern. Hasn’t really been can kicked which is good. Saw RDU has only recorded measurable rain twice in last 30 days
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My fear as well. Originally looked like it would break down this week. That certainly did not come to fruition as this weekends cold front will be dry
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One I’ve only had to mow my yard once so that’s cool at least
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High 84 low 59. Still sitting at 0.01” of rainfall for the month
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This is officially the driest year to date at RDU in history
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Likely will have watering restrictions by summer too
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https://abc11.com/post/drought-places-strain-central-north-carolina-farmers-rural-communities/18862407/ This video was taken from the farm adjoining ours in Franklin county and that is our farmer in the video.
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Point click has 92-93 here midweek
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RDU picked up 0.09” on Sunday last week but that was the only measurable rain this month. If models hold and no additional rain is recorded this would move April 2026 into the second driest month ever recorded, behind 0.06” from October 2000.
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0z GFS is legit zero rain for the entire forum through the entire run
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RDU officially hit 32 this morning, which is actually a day later than normal for the last 32 reading of the season. Actually impressed the airport got to freezing, after the extended heat of the past month+
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Next week extreme will probably exceed 25% of the state
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Also, my farm sensor got below 28 for nearly 2 hours, and is still below freezing at 3.5 hours. Pretty sure that qualifies as a hard freeze. This is corroborated with the nearby Franklin county airport data though they are about a degree and a half warmer which is very typical for a radiational cooling morning and their sensor being atop a hill next to the runway. Did not expect that at all.
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Undershot guidance across central NC this morning with some impressive lows in the 20s! 26.4 at my farm for the low, Henderson showing 27, Louisburg 28. 30 in Roxboro and Roanoke Rapids and 32-33 across the triangle. 32.6 at my house with frost
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March finished as 3rd warmest on record at RDU
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38.9 this morning felt especially chilly after the hot weather stretch we’ve been in
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Interesting. It’s been so long since we’ve had one I forgot
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Aren’t El Niños typically wetter on the east coast? With a total of 0.01” for April and no chance of rain till mid month at earliest, it could be dire straights around here unless we get a good soaking second half of month, not good
