NorthHillsWx

Tomorrow’s system is going to have a painfully tight gradient in rainfall with amounts over 1/2” and under 1/10” likely spanning a single county

Anything coming through a NW flow is going to underperform in QPF department regardless what models show. That has become more than evident over the last year

Yep… Triangle will be lucky to net 0.25”. Sorry for jinxing it… That being said I’ll take any measurable rainfall I can get and it will help with soil moisture at the surface as it will be an all day dreary scenario

Monthly stats- it was a wild month for swings temp wise. Lowest temp was 32.6 while we peaked at 93.7. Had 4 straight days over 90 and 6 total for the month. That was countered with 4 mornings in the 30’s. Lots of areas around here saw frosts and freezes that were past climo. The real story of the month will be the lack of rainfall. Just 0.83” total IMBY. I think RDU was a tick above that as they got a little more from the first rainfall in early April but I think they were likely below 1” as well. This was the 4th month of the last 8 I have recorded under 1” imby

No jokes but this would be a money setup in January. Probably have a warm nose somehow

New Bern looking at a foot while triangle gets 1-3”… typical

Guess Euro was exception. GFS ICON CMC and mesos all went NW from what I could tell

Every model ticked NW a bit at 12z. Christ I feel like I’m tracking a snow, not 3/4” of cold may rain

Understood. The root of my post was about NC in general, I haven’t followed how much rain Georgia got but I know it was more than we did. Regardless, your way looks continued wet over the next week, so hopefully next weeks monitor catches up and shows some improvement

For much of NC even with the rain we were still below what a normal week should produce this time of year. So it makes sense that t worsened. I can guarantee that the 0.82” I've received THE ENTIRE month has done nothing but worsen the drought. This is our 4th in last 8 months I have recorded less than 1” of rain at my house for the entire month. Some areas saw normal rainfall as would be expected for a week in April and that would stabilize the drought but you won’t see improvement until you see above normal amounts.

Solid lightning show here

Extreme drought exploded in NC this week. Exceptional drought has developed east of Charlotte: https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?NC Hopefully this is the peak

Not looking good triad/foothills/mountains

Saturday starting to look like a really good rainfall for most of SC, central and eastern NC. Same system in January would be a banger

Thank god EDIT: got 0.23” which felt like a huge win all things considered. 0.81” on the week, 0.82” on the month

Yep, no rain within 100 miles today. After 80% chance with 1/2-3/4” forecast yesterday. But glad y’all got some much needed relief

GFS is as dry as run for parts of NC as we’ve had this spring. And yes, Saturdays system is now east of I 95

This reminds me of a snowstorm setup in many ways

I guess the rain this morning disappearing might result in less stabilization of the atmosphere and more opportunity for storms this evening. Recent hi res modeling has been trending higher with storm coverage in areas that missed today’s morning rain

It’s funny, we were told last weekends rain was the appetizer now it + those who saw rain yesterday might be the entire “wet” period…

My dumba** took yesterday off to plant the hunt clubs dove field before the rain. What a waste

Jealous. We’re stuck at 0.59” for the month, looks like that may be the total

It’s like… we’ve seen this before. Total collapse of rain chances today from what looked like an area wide soaker to nothing. Now the weekend is questionable especially in the triad

783 FXUS62 KRAH 291026 AFDRAH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 626 AM EDT Wed Apr 29 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... * Lowered POPs for this morning.

Just like that we went from an 80% chance of rain to 40% on point click.