No hope for drought ravaged areas of northern piedmont. Discussion from RAH:
QPF still remains quite variable
and in flux, but remains rather light (mostly under a 0.25 to
0.50). The GFS shows absolutely nothing over the drought plagued
northern Piedmont of NC. The hi-res models are now coming into
range, but do not offer much hope.
We need a pattern change. The pattern has been so persistent
with either a dominate ridge aloft or a zonal flow. The areas
east of the Appalachians have had an atypical mountain shadow
hole in the rainfall due variations of a dominate westerly flow
in the mid levels for quite some time. We need a break in the
mid/upper levels over our region or a dominate Bermuda high with
SW flow aloft to consistently bring Gulf moisture and lift to
the region. This is not seen in the foreseeable future. The
zeros keep stacking up.