NorthHillsWx
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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx
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In case anyone was wondering, overnight and morning trends look great for NC
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Yea ensembles haven’t really budged. I’m confident we see daily storm chances starting Wednesday/Thursday depending where you are and continuing for the next week. If we can get near normal rainfall it will be a huge win considering where we stand currently. Drove over falls lake here earlier and it is shocking how much it has fallen in last 2 weeks
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Would be par for the course if we watch most of this go west of apps and around us but at a minimum it looks like a return to at least scattered afternoon storms across NC most days
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Ensembles haven’t changed much. Still looks wet. Only concerning thing I have is boundary setting up north and west of triangle area. Seems to have trended stronger with SER recently meaning boundary is pushed back somewhat
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93.2 here
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EPS and GEFS both look very wet. And it’s not dependent on just one storm system, but a summer pattern with storms most afternoons and possibly a stalled frontal boundary. This is the best look for rainfall since August
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44.8 here this morning, felt incredible walking out the door
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This is a good page WRAL put together to track rainfall at RDU: https://www.wral.com/weather/page/1934052/ Going back 6 months you can see all the months under 1” total for the month. Insane deficits and we’re going the wrong direction still
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Before the next rain some areas in northern piedmont will likely move into exceptional category
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Latest drought monitor shows some improvement around the Charlotte area, SC and Georgia. Not much movement but probably the first time it’s trended positively in 6 months. This was expected as those are the areas that capitalized on the rainfall earlier this month.
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Didn’t you just get like a foot of rain
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Per radar estimates some areas in the exceptional drought north of Jacksonville got 4-7”+ from this system too but like you said a large area of 1-3” was seen across that area south of you in the worst of the worst drought area
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I don’t see another chance for widespread rain until the 8-9 day timeframe which would ensure another 2+ week stretch here without measurable rain. After finishing April with well under 1” of rain (our 4th time in last 8 months) we will be sitting under 1” going into the last week of May! While I have certainly enjoyed the cooler weather, that pattern change in central NC did absolutely nothing to alleviate drought conditions here.
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Southern Georgia and northern Florida definitely got a beneficial system.
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41.9 for the low, impressive amount of mid 30s in northern piedmont including my farm in Louisburg at 35.5! Won’t see these temps again till next fall
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Rain chances Wednesday (90% NWS yesterday) have completely evaporated. Yet another system drying up east of mountains. I said 1” for the month was a lock but have definitely jinxed it in Raleigh area, it looks dry as a bone going forward!
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48 at 9:40 on May 11… pretty chilly!
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Multiple pics of a big waterspout between Morehead city and harkers island
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Came through with a bite in Raleigh. Immediate wind change to north and gusts that definitely topped 30
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For NC piedmont and foothills it’s a matter of when not if we slip into exceptional drought. Long range looks dry and hot and obviously we missed most of the rain from last couple weeks.
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Hot and dry. That’s how long range looks
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Actually might move over ocracoke. Surprised there isn’t a tornado warning
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Very strong waterspout showing up on radar off ocracoke right now.
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Yea Triangle to Triad (<1.5” from the past two week “wet” period) are absolutely not out of the woods
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RDU only recorded 0.49” with the system and even that paltry total was the wettest day there since March 16
