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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. It’s still raining but we’ve had just 0.21” today with a flood watch. Pretty sad
  2. First measurable rain since start of the month but just 0.02” lol
  3. Worried the clouds have stabilized the triangle area. Rainfall focus seems to strongly be south and east of here where some earlier destabilization occurred with sunshine.
  4. 19 days since last measurable rain here. Hoping to end that today or tomorrow but outflow from the main line east of here has passed over, probably killing the chance
  5. Evaporated before getting here too. Rained for 20 min but very light and not measurable. TR for the day
  6. Total whiff by models, but testament to just how hostile the basin is with El Niño roaring
  7. Seems like the center will pass well south of the big island, but with elevation I’m sure some very strong winds will occur on land
  8. If anyone’s followed models or honestly just looked at the system and avoided social media it’s been very apparent for days this will be an upper-tier TS or bottom line cat 1 hurricane when it makes its closest approach. Based on what I’ve seen it likely skirts just south of the big island. Nothing shocking or surprising has happened this system has largely followed the forecast, though I agree at present it would seem to be unlikely this reaches hurricane intensity before its closest approach
  9. 98.5 heat index of 109. This is as bad as it gets. 13 days without rain its getting crispy again
  10. I know it’s always overzealous with the tropics but the recent GFS run shows 4 separate MDR systems in a row including 94L and 92L, the current invests. While Caribbean shear and the TUTT over SW Atlantic persists this active wave could really boost season numbers tho I doubt any get far west or very strong
  11. Fairly pleasant outside this evening. “Only” made it to 89.6 and heat index never got above 92 with tolerable DPs in the 60s. Tomorrow is back to the oven
  12. Looks like one of those CAG systems in the Caribbean
  13. Pretty surprising to see this much MDR activity in a strong nino in August. Heck even some recent Augusts with La Niña couldn’t produce in MDR
  14. Based on current presentation this might be the rare and infamous single advisory storm
  15. 93L likely became a brief tropical storm overnight based on the LLC seen on visible this morning but since that time convection has been ripped well to east of center. Might be a numbers booster in post season analysis
  16. RDU precip shield holds again. Guess it was just under repair during July
  17. A DP of 82 at 4pm is diabolical
  18. 9 days straight without rainfall here and, coupled with the heatwave, it has rapidly dried out. Maybe we get in on the MCV action tonight. SPC Bumped it to a level 2 for western half of the state tonight
  19. They bumped the threat level up today for the possibility that a MCV passes through this evening. Level 2 risk for triangle, triad, and foothills/mountains this evening and early overnight. Will be interesting to see if this pans out models all over the place.
  20. At least we have irrigation again
  21. Think models are seeing just how hostile upper level environment actually is ahead of whatever forms but still a very strong signal for development. Will it be strong or long track? Probably, almost definitely, no
  22. High peaked at 99.1 but heat index peaked at 110.7. This is absolutely brutal weather and no outflows to save us today
  23. We got lucky on on the 2nd and picked up 1.12” but haven’t had anything since. Turned the sprinklers back on
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