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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. Canes get beat and we zero out on rain in Raleigh… Coincidence???
  2. As soon as that outflow blew through with nearest cell near RDU I knew we were screwed
  3. Hottest day of year. 96.6 here, blew out the forecast of 91. Outflow just rolled through. Praying the storms behind it keep popping
  4. Shewww we blew by the forecast high today- 94.5 right now
  5. It’s been so long since we’ve had the radar popping in the afternoon like this
  6. That’s wild! I wonder if the concrete dry ground coupled with the rates made it worse, kinda like flooding in the west
  7. Drought worsened significantly in NC with virtually zero rain over last two weeks. Hopefully this is the peak
  8. The ATL flooding was from a small cell that really only affected half the metro. Very small cell but extreme rates where it sat
  9. Me too, though until yesterday I feel like RDUs readings have mostly matched surrounding areas this spring 94.3 here today, think RDU hit 95
  10. Back door front looks significantly delayed tomorrow in triangle, likely to be close to if not just as hot as today now. Delayed but not denied!
  11. It’s been rock steady. I think this is the first real consistent rainfall any of us will have seen since last August. It has been delayed slightly here Thursday which likely means Thursday gets well into 90s before the storms arrive. Can imagine them being frisky with that kind of heat to work with
  12. That’s crazy! 94.8 for the high here (hottest day of year so far) but a far cry from the *at least* 97 RDU hit. Guess the drought/heat spike theory is back for RDU sensor being warmer than everywhere else
  13. In case anyone was wondering, overnight and morning trends look great for NC
  14. Yea ensembles haven’t really budged. I’m confident we see daily storm chances starting Wednesday/Thursday depending where you are and continuing for the next week. If we can get near normal rainfall it will be a huge win considering where we stand currently. Drove over falls lake here earlier and it is shocking how much it has fallen in last 2 weeks
  15. Would be par for the course if we watch most of this go west of apps and around us but at a minimum it looks like a return to at least scattered afternoon storms across NC most days
  16. Ensembles haven’t changed much. Still looks wet. Only concerning thing I have is boundary setting up north and west of triangle area. Seems to have trended stronger with SER recently meaning boundary is pushed back somewhat
  17. EPS and GEFS both look very wet. And it’s not dependent on just one storm system, but a summer pattern with storms most afternoons and possibly a stalled frontal boundary. This is the best look for rainfall since August
  18. 44.8 here this morning, felt incredible walking out the door
  19. This is a good page WRAL put together to track rainfall at RDU: https://www.wral.com/weather/page/1934052/ Going back 6 months you can see all the months under 1” total for the month. Insane deficits and we’re going the wrong direction still
  20. Before the next rain some areas in northern piedmont will likely move into exceptional category
  21. Latest drought monitor shows some improvement around the Charlotte area, SC and Georgia. Not much movement but probably the first time it’s trended positively in 6 months. This was expected as those are the areas that capitalized on the rainfall earlier this month.
  22. Didn’t you just get like a foot of rain
  23. Per radar estimates some areas in the exceptional drought north of Jacksonville got 4-7”+ from this system too but like you said a large area of 1-3” was seen across that area south of you in the worst of the worst drought area
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