NorthHillsWx

12z GFS is a dream run for mountain folks around the 30th

We picked up 0.19” of rain last night after reaching a high of 71

We don’t need wall to wall cold but getting 3 cold days then needing 3 weeks to refresh is the pattern we’ve been in for 3+ years.

EPS and GEFS are downright disgusting heading into January. Really no sign of a pattern change on modeling except for a zonal flow and PAC puke to intensify through the end of the year. From today through Jan 1 I bet we see as many 65+ degree days as days with lows below freezing

Tarheel is back… seasons over. Might as well hang em up till next thanksgiving

When RDU breaks the snowless record the main forum is going to explode

It’s absolutely pathetic. 18z GFS barely gets it below freezing for a night into SC. Just a day ago there were low 20’s pre Christmas into the Florida panhandle on some models

That’s been lost in year a long, long time ago

Probably going to be close. I’d think slightly below is likely still

What did they predict last year?

We now have Columbias climate.

Jan 16, 2022 was our last 0.25” of ice. So not that long ago but it’s been exceedingly rare. We used to specialize in ice, maybe not full blown ice storms, but most systems following a cold snap would at least start as an hour or two of ice

I remember a bad winter was one where we had 2-3 winter weather advisories for freezing rain with maybe a light snow or snow to rain scenario. I mean not even counting the snow drought, we can’t even get a glaze of ice. That used to happen multiple times a year with CAD

When the air in our source region is running +20 we are effectively screwed

Agreed, the first half of December was better than expected. Guess that got my hopes up when models appeared to be building on something