dallen7908

Dr no ensembles say likely at least if you look at the Sunday-Monday time period.

Not dead yet. EPS still has one member (of 51) giving the DC area >+ 3" of snow/sleet during the next 10 days.

According to "me", Baltimore's winter through February is the 71st best of 132 winters (47th PCTL). So far, it has had 29 days with mean temperatures of freezing or below, 12.7" of snow, and 12 days with at least an inch on the ground. DC's winter is 66th best of 132 winters (51st PCTL). So far it has had 20 days with mean temperatures of freezing or below, 14.9" of snow, and 13 days with 1" or more of snow on the ground. Hope you're enjoying such a mediocre (near the median) winter. baltimore Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 1 2009-2010 46.0 77.0 37.5 35.0 195.5 A++ 100 2 2002-2003 54.0 55.5 19.2 37.0 165.7 A++ 99 3 1904-1905 59.0 41.8 5.4 56.0 162.2 A++ 98 4 1960-1961 48.0 46.5 11.6 49.0 155.1 A+ 98 5 1995-1996 42.0 54.9 18.3 26.0 141.2 A 97 6 1917-1918 58.0 34.9 6.0 39.0 137.9 A 96 7 1898-1899 41.0 49.5 11.9 29.0 131.4 A- 95 8 1903-1904 68.0 23.9 1.0 34.0 126.9 A- 95 9 1921-1922 30.0 44.8 19.5 28.0 122.3 A- 94 10 1933-1934 43.0 35.6 5.4 36.0 120.0 A- 93 11 1978-1979 38.0 42.5 13.4 25.0 118.9 B+ 92 12 1935-1936 44.0 30.1 2.0 41.0 117.1 B+ 92 13 1966-1967 40.0 40.9 11.1 25.0 117.0 B+ 91 14 1963-1964 41.0 38.2 10.1 24.0 113.3 B+ 90 15 1977-1978 56.0 25.8 3.4 22.0 107.2 B 89 16 1965-1966 41.0 32.8 9.1 20.0 102.9 B 89 17 2013-2014 47.0 26.9 4.7 21.0 99.6 B 88 18 1957-1958 39.0 29.3 9.3 21.0 98.6 B 87 19 1981-1982 47.0 24.8 1.1 25.0 97.9 B 86 20 1962-1963 53.0 17.8 0.0 27.0 97.8 B 86 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 21 1934-1935 28.0 29.5 7.5 32.0 97.0 B 85 22 1982-1983 23.0 35.6 19.5 18.0 96.1 B 84 23 1939-1940 36.0 21.8 1.0 37.0 95.8 B- 83 24 1944-1945 35.0 18.4 2.0 40.0 95.4 B- 83 25 1909-1910 37.0 30.7 5.2 22.0 94.9 B- 82 26 1924-1925 29.0 23.0 6.0 36.0 94.0 B- 81 27 1919-1920 46.0 16.8 0.0 30.0 92.8 B- 80 28 1999-2000 31.0 25.9 10.6 23.0 90.5 B- 80 29 1910-1911 34.0 26.8 3.1 26.0 89.9 B- 79 30 2015-2016 23.0 32.6 20.5 13.0 89.1 B- 78 31 1947-1948 37.0 23.4 0.7 26.0 87.1 B- 77 32 1976-1977 57.0 11.1 0.0 19.0 87.1 B- 77 33 1945-1946 29.0 26.1 5.2 26.0 86.3 B- 76 34 1929-1930 34.0 22.8 4.0 25.0 85.8 B- 75 35 1986-1987 22.0 35.2 9.5 19.0 85.7 B- 74 36 2014-2015 43.0 21.0 1.3 20.0 85.3 B- 73 37 1906-1907 39.0 23.4 0.2 22.0 84.6 B- 73 38 1894-1895 38.0 11.3 0.0 32.0 81.3 C+ 72 39 1961-1962 48.0 21.6 0.0 11.0 80.6 C+ 71 40 2003-2004 40.0 18.1 0.0 21.0 79.1 C+ 70 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 41 1925-1926 30.0 22.3 5.1 21.0 78.4 C+ 70 42 1969-1970 40.0 19.1 1.1 18.0 78.2 C+ 69 43 2010-2011 47.0 14.4 2.6 14.0 78.0 C+ 68 44 1901-1902 47.0 8.4 0.6 22.0 78.0 C+ 67 45 1916-1917 34.0 23.1 0.0 20.0 77.1 C+ 67 46 1902-1903 32.0 19.8 0.0 25.0 76.8 C+ 66 47 1967-1968 41.0 18.1 3.4 14.0 76.5 C+ 65 48 1932-1933 20.0 25.4 8.5 20.0 73.9 C+ 64 49 1911-1912 40.0 14.4 0.0 19.0 73.4 C+ 64 50 1993-1994 40.0 13.1 0.0 20.0 73.1 C+ 63 51 1987-1988 31.0 20.4 2.5 18.0 71.9 C 62 52 1989-1990 31.0 14.5 0.0 24.0 69.5 C 61 53 1938-1939 23.0 18.9 3.6 23.0 68.5 C 61 54 1985-1986 40.0 15.6 0.0 12.0 67.6 C 60 55 1955-1956 43.0 10.3 0.0 14.0 67.3 C 59 56 1946-1947 23.0 22.3 4.9 16.0 66.2 C 58 57 2004-2005 35.0 17.6 0.2 13.0 65.8 C 58 58 2000-2001 47.0 8.7 0.0 9.0 64.7 C 57 59 1896-1897 36.0 12.3 0.0 16.0 64.3 C 56 60 1899-1900 33.0 16.2 1.0 13.0 63.2 C 55 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 61 1964-1965 37.0 10.2 0.0 15.0 62.2 C 55 62 1973-1974 31.0 17.1 2.3 10.0 60.4 C 54 63 1927-1928 25.0 15.9 9.3 10.0 60.2 C 53 64 1900-1901 39.0 8.6 0.0 12.0 59.6 C- 52 65 1983-1984 38.0 8.4 0.0 13.0 59.4 C- 52 66 1942-1943 29.0 13.7 0.0 16.0 58.7 C- 51 67 1907-1908 28.0 16.8 0.6 13.0 58.4 C- 50 68 2005-2006 24.0 19.6 4.6 10.0 58.2 C- 49 69 1908-1909 16.0 21.8 0.9 19.0 57.7 C- 48 70 1953-1954 21.0 20.6 1.2 14.0 56.8 C- 48 71 2024-2025 29.0 12.7 1.6 12.0 55.3 C- 47 72 1970-1971 39.0 11.0 0.0 5.0 55.0 C- 46 73 1913-1914 26.0 11.8 0.0 16.0 53.8 C- 45 74 1915-1916 27.0 13.2 0.0 13.0 53.2 C- 45 75 2017-2018 35.0 8.7 0.0 9.0 52.7 C- 44 76 2006-2007 33.0 9.4 0.0 10.0 52.4 C- 43 77 2018-2019 27.0 15.6 0.0 9.0 51.6 C- 42 78 1984-1985 31.0 9.6 0.0 11.0 51.6 C- 42 79 1958-1959 46.0 2.6 0.0 3.0 51.6 C- 41 80 1996-1997 31.0 12.6 0.8 7.0 51.4 C- 40 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 81 1928-1929 27.0 12.4 5.6 6.0 51.0 C- 39 82 1954-1955 34.0 8.9 0.0 8.0 50.9 C- 39 83 1905-1906 23.0 13.8 0.7 13.0 50.5 C- 38 84 1979-1980 35.0 8.9 0.0 6.0 49.9 C- 37 85 2021-2022 22.0 14.0 1.8 12.0 49.8 C- 36 86 1968-1969 37.0 10.8 0.0 1.0 48.8 C- 36 87 1980-1981 41.0 4.3 0.0 3.0 48.3 C- 35 88 1922-1923 26.0 13.9 0.0 8.0 47.9 D+ 34 89 1950-1951 35.0 6.2 0.0 6.0 47.2 D+ 33 90 1914-1915 31.0 6.8 0.0 9.0 46.8 D+ 33 91 1926-1927 27.0 10.7 0.0 9.0 46.7 D+ 32 92 1923-1924 24.0 13.0 1.3 8.0 46.3 D+ 31 93 1940-1941 23.0 11.8 0.0 11.0 45.8 D+ 30 94 1971-1972 24.0 13.5 0.0 8.0 45.5 D+ 30 95 1893-1894 23.0 12.1 0.0 10.0 45.1 D+ 29 96 2020-2021 20.0 10.9 0.0 14.0 44.9 D+ 28 97 1943-1944 21.0 11.7 0.0 12.0 44.7 D+ 27 98 1998-1999 25.0 7.6 0.0 11.0 43.6 D+ 27 99 2008-2009 37.0 3.3 0.0 3.0 43.3 D+ 26 100 1948-1949 9.0 19.9 2.0 11.0 41.9 D+ 25 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 101 1992-1993 26.0 11.7 0.0 4.0 41.7 D+ 24 102 1959-1960 22.0 12.5 1.0 6.0 41.5 D+ 23 103 1956-1957 18.0 13.6 0.0 9.0 40.6 D+ 23 104 2007-2008 26.0 8.5 0.0 5.0 39.5 D+ 22 105 1994-1995 21.0 8.0 2.2 8.0 39.2 D+ 21 106 1988-1989 26.0 8.0 0.0 5.0 39.0 D+ 20 107 1991-1992 28.0 4.1 0.0 3.0 35.1 D 20 108 1897-1898 23.0 8.0 0.0 4.0 35.0 D 19 109 1975-1976 29.0 3.7 0.0 2.0 34.7 D 18 110 1920-1921 17.0 9.8 0.5 7.0 34.3 D 17 111 1972-1973 32.0 1.2 0.0 1.0 34.2 D 17 112 1974-1975 18.0 11.0 0.0 5.0 34.0 D 16 113 1990-1991 19.0 9.1 0.0 5.0 33.1 D 15 114 1936-1937 14.0 11.3 1.0 6.0 32.3 D 14 115 1951-1952 22.0 7.1 0.0 2.0 31.1 D 14 116 2023-2024 10.0 11.3 0.0 9.0 30.3 D 13 117 1941-1942 23.0 4.1 0.0 2.0 29.1 D 12 118 1895-1896 23.0 3.3 0.0 2.0 28.3 D 11 119 2012-2013 19.0 4.8 0.0 3.0 26.8 D 11 120 1937-1938 21.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 26.0 D 10 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 121 1912-1913 15.0 7.3 0.0 3.0 25.3 D 9 122 1952-1953 14.0 8.2 0.0 3.0 25.2 D 8 123 1930-1931 18.0 3.6 0.0 1.0 22.6 D- 8 124 1918-1919 15.0 4.3 0.0 1.0 20.3 D- 7 125 2001-2002 14.0 2.3 0.0 2.0 18.3 D- 6 126 2019-2020 14.0 1.8 0.0 1.0 16.8 D- 5 127 2016-2017 16.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 16.7 D- 5 128 2011-2012 10.0 1.8 0.0 4.0 15.8 D- 4 129 1997-1998 9.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 10.1 F 3 130 1949-1950 9.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.5 F 2 131 2022-2023 7.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 7.2 F 2 132 1931-1932 5.0 1.7 0.0 0.0 6.7 F 1 dc Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 1 1904-1905 58.0 42.0 2.0 53.0 155.0 A+ 100 2 1917-1918 58.0 35.9 6.0 50.0 149.9 A+ 99 3 2009-2010 29.0 56.1 21.3 30.0 136.4 A 98 4 1960-1961 42.0 40.3 8.1 44.0 134.4 A 98 5 1898-1899 44.0 49.9 9.5 30.0 133.4 A 97 6 1935-1936 47.0 33.0 9.4 29.0 118.4 B+ 96 7 1903-1904 67.0 20.2 0.6 30.0 117.8 B+ 95 8 1921-1922 32.0 40.0 16.0 28.0 116.0 B+ 95 9 2002-2003 37.0 40.3 9.4 26.0 112.7 B+ 94 10 1995-1996 36.0 40.8 10.1 23.0 109.9 B+ 93 11 1894-1895 43.0 24.7 1.0 39.0 107.7 B 92 12 1978-1979 33.0 37.7 10.2 23.0 103.9 B 92 13 1966-1967 26.0 36.4 7.6 26.0 96.0 B- 91 14 1910-1911 36.0 32.6 0.0 26.0 94.6 B- 90 15 1939-1940 37.0 24.4 4.7 28.0 94.1 B- 89 16 1962-1963 46.0 20.3 0.7 27.0 94.0 B- 89 17 1933-1934 43.0 23.1 3.0 24.0 93.1 B- 88 18 1934-1935 28.0 31.9 7.0 26.0 92.9 B- 87 19 1919-1920 48.0 16.2 0.0 28.0 92.2 B- 86 20 1911-1912 42.0 18.0 1.1 30.0 91.1 B- 86 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 21 1947-1948 44.0 23.5 0.4 22.0 89.9 B- 85 22 1908-1909 22.0 35.1 8.7 23.0 88.8 B- 84 23 1957-1958 31.0 29.8 14.0 12.0 86.8 B- 83 24 1963-1964 31.0 27.0 3.7 25.0 86.7 B- 83 25 1965-1966 30.0 28.4 9.1 18.0 85.5 B- 82 26 1929-1930 36.0 20.4 6.5 22.0 84.9 B- 81 27 1987-1988 30.0 24.6 7.8 22.0 84.4 B- 80 28 1976-1977 48.0 11.1 0.0 24.0 83.1 C+ 80 29 1924-1925 34.0 20.2 0.0 28.0 82.2 C+ 79 30 1901-1902 46.0 10.6 0.0 22.0 78.6 C+ 78 31 1977-1978 43.0 14.4 0.0 18.0 75.4 C+ 77 32 1981-1982 28.0 22.3 1.4 22.0 73.7 C+ 77 33 1909-1910 38.0 17.0 0.0 18.0 73.0 C+ 76 34 1899-1900 32.0 19.9 4.0 17.0 72.9 C+ 75 35 1906-1907 37.0 20.5 0.0 15.0 72.5 C+ 74 36 1967-1968 36.0 18.4 1.9 16.0 72.3 C+ 73 37 1986-1987 14.0 31.1 7.7 17.0 69.8 C 73 38 1982-1983 15.0 27.6 13.0 13.0 68.6 C 72 39 1925-1926 29.0 17.9 4.4 17.0 68.3 C 71 40 1896-1897 39.0 16.2 0.0 13.0 68.2 C 70 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 41 1945-1946 30.0 21.6 0.0 16.0 67.6 C 70 42 1907-1908 35.0 18.3 0.0 14.0 67.3 C 69 43 1900-1901 47.0 9.0 0.0 9.0 65.0 C 68 44 1893-1894 27.0 23.4 1.5 13.0 64.9 C 67 45 1916-1917 36.0 15.8 0.0 12.0 63.8 C 67 46 1989-1990 27.0 12.7 0.0 24.0 63.7 C 66 47 1932-1933 20.0 22.8 6.5 14.0 63.3 C 65 48 1999-2000 23.0 15.4 4.3 20.0 62.7 C 64 49 1993-1994 33.0 9.2 0.0 20.0 62.2 C 64 50 2013-2014 25.0 19.3 0.9 15.0 60.2 C 63 51 1985-1986 30.0 15.4 0.0 14.0 59.4 C- 62 52 2015-2016 17.0 21.9 7.8 11.0 57.7 C- 61 53 1905-1906 26.0 18.4 0.4 12.0 56.8 C- 61 54 1946-1947 26.0 16.6 2.6 11.0 56.2 C- 60 55 1969-1970 29.0 14.0 0.0 13.0 56.0 C- 59 56 1915-1916 28.0 14.3 0.2 13.0 55.5 C- 58 57 1914-1915 36.0 8.5 0.0 11.0 55.5 C- 58 58 2003-2004 28.0 12.4 0.0 15.0 55.4 C- 57 59 1964-1965 30.0 11.7 0.0 13.0 54.7 C- 56 60 1938-1939 23.0 15.1 1.5 15.0 54.6 C- 55 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 61 1913-1914 28.0 10.8 0.0 15.0 53.8 C- 55 62 2014-2015 26.0 13.4 0.0 13.0 52.4 C- 54 63 1961-1962 29.0 11.0 0.0 12.0 52.0 C- 53 64 1942-1943 28.0 12.7 0.0 11.0 51.7 C- 52 65 1927-1928 24.0 13.2 5.5 9.0 51.7 C- 52 66 2024-2025 20.0 14.9 3.1 13.0 51.0 C- 51 67 1970-1971 34.0 10.3 0.0 5.0 49.3 C- 50 68 1953-1954 17.0 18.0 2.9 11.0 48.9 C- 49 69 2004-2005 28.0 11.7 0.0 9.0 48.7 C- 48 70 1902-1903 31.0 8.2 0.0 9.0 48.2 C- 48 71 1955-1956 36.0 7.3 0.0 4.0 47.3 D+ 47 72 2010-2011 27.0 9.9 0.0 10.0 46.9 D+ 46 73 1984-1985 27.0 10.3 0.0 9.0 46.3 D+ 45 74 2006-2007 29.0 7.2 0.0 10.0 46.2 D+ 45 75 1944-1945 34.0 8.2 0.0 4.0 46.2 D+ 44 76 1928-1929 31.0 8.0 2.5 4.0 45.5 D+ 43 77 1983-1984 29.0 6.8 0.0 9.0 44.8 D+ 42 78 2000-2001 30.0 7.2 0.0 6.0 43.2 D+ 42 79 1897-1898 29.0 8.0 0.0 6.0 43.0 D+ 41 80 1958-1959 35.0 4.9 0.0 3.0 42.9 D+ 40 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 81 1926-1927 25.0 8.8 0.0 9.0 42.8 D+ 39 82 1979-1980 19.0 14.0 0.0 9.0 42.0 D+ 39 83 1950-1951 24.0 9.2 0.0 7.0 40.2 D+ 38 84 1956-1957 18.0 11.9 0.0 10.0 39.9 D+ 37 85 1971-1972 18.0 16.2 0.5 5.0 39.7 D+ 36 86 2018-2019 10.0 16.6 3.3 9.0 38.9 D+ 36 87 1973-1974 12.0 16.7 1.0 9.0 38.7 D+ 35 88 2021-2022 18.0 12.3 1.9 6.0 38.2 D+ 34 89 1923-1924 26.0 8.0 0.0 4.0 38.0 D+ 33 90 1922-1923 25.0 8.8 0.0 4.0 37.8 D+ 33 91 1940-1941 26.0 6.7 0.0 4.0 36.7 D+ 32 92 2005-2006 15.0 13.6 1.7 6.0 36.3 D+ 31 93 1943-1944 23.0 6.2 0.0 7.0 36.2 D+ 30 94 1920-1921 22.0 9.1 1.0 4.0 36.1 D+ 30 95 1980-1981 28.0 4.5 0.0 3.0 35.5 D 29 96 1994-1995 15.0 9.7 0.0 10.0 34.7 D 28 97 1954-1955 23.0 6.6 0.0 4.0 33.6 D 27 98 1968-1969 29.0 2.4 0.0 2.0 33.4 D 27 99 1912-1913 18.0 8.8 1.5 5.0 33.3 D 26 100 1948-1949 9.0 15.8 0.7 7.0 32.5 D 25 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 101 1937-1938 26.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 32.0 D 24 102 1936-1937 17.0 9.2 0.6 5.0 31.8 D 23 103 2008-2009 26.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 30.0 D 23 104 1941-1942 25.0 2.1 0.0 2.0 29.1 D 22 105 1895-1896 25.0 1.5 0.0 2.0 28.5 D 21 106 2017-2018 22.0 3.3 0.0 3.0 28.3 D 20 107 1930-1931 22.0 2.5 0.0 3.0 27.5 D 20 108 1959-1960 15.0 7.2 0.0 5.0 27.2 D 19 109 1991-1992 16.0 6.6 0.0 4.0 26.6 D 18 110 1988-1989 19.0 5.3 0.0 2.0 26.3 D 17 111 2023-2024 9.0 8.0 0.0 8.0 25.0 D 17 112 1951-1952 15.0 6.4 0.0 3.0 24.4 D 16 113 1974-1975 6.0 12.5 0.0 5.0 23.5 D- 15 114 1998-1999 19.0 2.9 0.0 1.0 22.9 D- 14 115 1996-1997 12.0 6.7 0.0 4.0 22.7 D- 14 116 2020-2021 14.0 5.4 0.0 3.0 22.4 D- 13 117 1992-1993 15.0 5.1 0.0 2.0 22.1 D- 12 118 1990-1991 10.0 8.1 0.0 4.0 22.1 D- 11 119 2007-2008 13.0 4.9 0.0 4.0 21.9 D- 11 120 1975-1976 19.0 1.4 0.0 1.0 21.4 D- 10 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 121 1972-1973 21.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 21.1 D- 9 122 1918-1919 16.0 3.3 0.0 0.0 19.3 D- 8 123 1952-1953 8.0 5.2 0.0 2.0 15.2 D- 8 124 2012-2013 11.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 12.5 D- 7 125 2016-2017 9.0 1.4 0.0 1.0 11.4 F 6 126 2001-2002 6.0 3.2 0.0 1.0 10.2 F 5 127 2011-2012 6.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 F 5 128 1949-1950 8.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 8.3 F 4 129 2019-2020 6.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 6.6 F 3 130 2022-2023 5.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 5.4 F 2 131 1931-1932 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 F 2 132 1997-1998 2.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.1 F 1

While 75+% of the EPS members give us no snow during the March 9th-10th period, there are now ~15% that give us several inches - strongest signal in several days yet still weak.

Over the last 7 model runs, the percent of EPS members giving College Park 3" of snow/sleet during the next 15 days has bounced between 4% and 12%; it is currently at 8%. Here are the 24-hour snow/sleet numbers from the latest run - weak signal persists for the 9th - 10th.

Not quite what you're looking for ... but ...

at least? StnID: kdca Profile Thermal Adjust: 0.0 Cloud RH threshold: 85% Average Hourly Sounding: NO Date/hour FHr Wind SfcT Ptype SR |Snow||Sleet|| FZRA|| QPF CumSR|TotSN||TotPL||TotZR|| TQPF S%| I%| L% ============================================================================================================================ 250218/1300Z 1 32009KT 23.3F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250218/1400Z 2 31011KT 24.0F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250218/1500Z 3 30011KT 24.5F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250218/1600Z 4 30011KT 25.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250218/1700Z 5 30011KT 26.9F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250218/1800Z 6 30011KT 27.4F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 250218/1900Z 7 29010KT 27.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250218/2000Z 8 30010KT 28.1F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250218/2100Z 9 30009KT 28.7F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250218/2200Z 10 31008KT 27.6F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250218/2300Z 11 32007KT 25.2F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250219/0000Z 12 33007KT 23.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 250219/0100Z 13 34007KT 22.5F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250219/0200Z 14 33007KT 21.5F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250219/0300Z 15 34007KT 20.7F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250219/0400Z 16 33006KT 19.3F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250219/0500Z 17 33006KT 18.4F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250219/0600Z 18 33007KT 17.9F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 250219/0700Z 19 33006KT 17.1F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250219/0800Z 20 33006KT 17.0F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250219/0900Z 21 33006KT 16.4F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250219/1000Z 22 33005KT 16.4F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250219/1100Z 23 33005KT 15.3F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250219/1200Z 24 33005KT 16.4F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 250219/1300Z 25 33006KT 17.5F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250219/1400Z 26 32006KT 18.9F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250219/1500Z 27 33006KT 19.5F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250219/1600Z 28 33005KT 21.1F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250219/1700Z 29 33005KT 21.6F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250219/1800Z 30 33005KT 22.2F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 250219/1900Z 31 33005KT 22.4F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250219/2000Z 32 32003KT 22.7F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250219/2100Z 33 VRB01KT 21.6F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0 250219/2200Z 34 VRB01KT 20.7F SNOW 13:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.009 13:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.01 100| 0| 0 250219/2300Z 35 VRB02KT 21.1F SNOW 14:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.010 13:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.02 100| 0| 0 250220/0000Z 36 VRB01KT 21.3F SNOW 18:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.009 15:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.03 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 250220/0100Z 37 33003KT 21.5F SNOW 19:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.019 16:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.05 100| 0| 0 250220/0200Z 38 36005KT 21.5F SNOW 20:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.019 17:1| 1.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.06 100| 0| 0 250220/0300Z 39 36009KT 21.5F SNOW 20:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.009 18:1| 1.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.07 100| 0| 0 250220/0400Z 40 01008KT 21.6F SNOW 19:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.007 18:1| 1.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.08 100| 0| 0 250220/0500Z 41 02006KT 21.8F SNOW 14:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.013 17:1| 1.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.09 100| 0| 0 250220/0600Z 42 02005KT 22.0F SNOW 18:1| 0.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.048 18:1| 2.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.14 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 250220/0700Z 43 02004KT 22.2F SNOW 17:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.060 18:1| 3.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.20 100| 0| 0 250220/0800Z 44 01005KT 22.4F SNOW 19:1| 0.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.051 18:1| 4.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.25 100| 0| 0 250220/0900Z 45 36005KT 22.4F SNOW 18:1| 0.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.040 18:1| 5.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.29 100| 0| 0 250220/1000Z 46 36006KT 22.4F SNOW 20:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.041 18:1| 6.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.33 100| 0| 0 250220/1100Z 47 35006KT 22.5F SNOW 24:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.031 19:1| 6.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.37 100| 0| 0 250220/1200Z 48 36006KT 22.5F SNOW 20:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.027 19:1| 7.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.39 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 250220/1300Z 49 36006KT 23.1F SNOW 21:1| 0.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.028 19:1| 7.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.42 100| 0| 0 250220/1400Z 50 35007KT 23.6F SNOW 20:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.026 19:1| 8.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.45 100| 0| 0 250220/1500Z 51 34007KT 23.8F SNOW 15:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.024 19:1| 8.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.47 100| 0| 0 250220/1600Z 52 34008KT 24.2F SNOW 17:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.013 19:1| 9.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.48 100| 0| 0 250220/1700Z 53 33010KT 24.2F SNOW 24:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.014 19:1| 9.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.50 100| 0| 0 250220/1800Z 54 32010KT 23.4F SNOW 13:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.013 19:1| 9.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.51 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 250220/1900Z 55 32010KT 24.0F SNOW 8:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.027 18:1| 9.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.54 100| 0| 0 250220/2000Z 56 32011KT 24.9F SNOW 10:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.012 18:1| 9.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.55 100| 0| 0

While the median forecast snow/sleet from the ECMWF EPS is about 0.1" for most of us, the 90th PCTL outcome shows the 2" line just southeast of many of us.

I know you're joking, but I believe it trained on selected years from the 40-year ERA5 reanalysis, which covered 1979 - 2018. A reanalysis blends model output with observations. The resolution of the training data set is 1 x 1 degrees, so relatively coarse.

Almost 2" here as of 6

Just fell below freezing here (31.9) and on cue, despite the disconnect between air temperature and the surface, the driveway is beginning to cave. Moderate snow.

Yes, the current sun angle of 32.6 degrees at my location and time is more than 11 degrees higher than it would have been on the 21st of December at the same time.

The precipitation distribution wobbled back to what it looked like in the 00 UTC run.

https://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=nam&site=kdca Here is a site that a few of you may not be aware of. It is useful for determining the timing of precipitation onset, examining rates, and looking at model temperatures from the NAM and GFS. For example, the unrealistic snow amounts from 12-km NAM are not just due to its convective algorithm but are partly due to the low temperatures it is forecasting.

Biased a bit high because it counts sleet as snow?

Homemade.

Percent of EPS members giving the Laurel area at least 12" (dash-dot), 6" (dash), 3" (dotted), and 1" (solid) of snow/sleet during the 9-14 day period before 00 UTC February 15.

On a more uplifting note: "February 5th is National Weatherperson's Day. The day commemorates the birth of John Jeffries in 1744. Jeffries, one of Americas first weather observers, began taking daily weather observations in Boston in 1774 and he took the first balloon observation in 1784. This is a day to recognize the men and women who collectively provide Americans with the best weather, water, and climate forecasts and warning services of any nation."

Day 8 - 15 has potential. Note first plot shows percent of ensembles with >1" of snow/sleet/ice, while latter shows pct > 6" ...

Sorry for the confusion, these rankings only consider snow that falls during the fall and early winter (through January 31). I'll update at the end of February.

https://www.jstor.org/stable/207470?seq=1 Is this accessible? It is a contemporary story on the winter of 1917-1918.

DC's winter to date has been better than 61% of past winters, while Baltimore's winter has been better than 56% of past winters Ranking: [#Days with mean T <=32[ + [inches of snow]+ [days with 1 inch on the ground] + [max(24hr snow -5",0) ] Washington DC dc Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 1 1917-1918 47.0 34.4 6.0 37.0 124.4 A++ 100 2 1904-1905 37.0 30.7 2.0 28.0 97.7 A- 99 3 1921-1922 24.0 37.0 16.0 14.0 91.0 A- 98 4 1903-1904 46.0 18.4 0.6 23.0 88.0 B+ 98 5 1960-1961 33.0 22.3 4.7 27.0 87.0 B+ 97 6 1908-1909 21.0 28.7 8.5 22.0 80.2 B 96 7 1924-1925 30.0 20.2 0.0 27.0 77.2 B 95 8 1987-1988 22.0 24.6 7.8 22.0 76.4 B 95 9 1939-1940 30.0 20.1 4.7 21.0 75.8 B 94 10 1934-1935 20.0 28.4 7.0 19.0 74.4 B 93 11 1976-1977 39.0 11.1 0.0 24.0 74.1 B 92 12 1962-1963 31.0 18.3 0.7 24.0 74.0 B 92 13 1929-1930 30.0 18.9 6.5 17.0 72.4 B 91 14 1995-1996 24.0 25.6 8.0 13.0 70.6 B- 90 15 1910-1911 28.0 22.4 0.0 19.0 69.4 B- 89 16 1911-1912 27.0 17.5 1.1 19.0 64.6 B- 89 17 2009-2010 19.0 24.0 11.4 9.0 63.4 B- 88 18 1919-1920 37.0 8.5 0.0 17.0 62.5 C+ 87 19 1981-1982 25.0 17.0 1.4 19.0 62.4 C+ 86 20 1963-1964 26.0 15.3 0.6 19.0 60.9 C+ 86 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 21 1989-1990 24.0 12.7 0.0 24.0 60.7 C+ 85 22 1935-1936 29.0 14.0 0.0 17.0 60.0 C+ 84 23 1967-1968 26.0 16.0 1.9 15.0 58.9 C+ 83 24 1945-1946 26.0 17.1 0.0 14.0 57.1 C+ 83 25 1965-1966 21.0 21.5 8.9 5.0 56.4 C+ 82 26 1909-1910 27.0 13.4 0.0 14.0 54.4 C+ 81 27 1947-1948 29.0 15.8 0.4 9.0 54.2 C+ 80 28 1898-1899 29.0 14.7 0.0 10.0 53.7 C 80 29 1896-1897 33.0 10.2 0.0 10.0 53.2 C 79 30 1938-1939 20.0 14.8 1.5 15.0 51.3 C 78 31 1894-1895 24.0 11.3 0.0 16.0 51.3 C 77 32 1999-2000 19.0 14.5 4.3 12.0 49.8 C 77 33 1977-1978 26.0 10.6 0.0 13.0 49.6 C 76 34 2002-2003 26.0 11.6 1.1 10.0 48.7 C 75 35 2015-2016 12.0 18.8 7.8 9.0 47.6 C 74 36 1966-1967 13.0 17.4 3.2 14.0 47.6 C 73 37 1916-1917 25.0 13.3 0.0 9.0 47.3 C 73 38 1986-1987 11.0 20.8 5.8 9.0 46.6 C 72 39 1953-1954 14.0 18.0 2.9 11.0 45.9 C 71 40 1914-1915 30.0 5.5 0.0 9.0 44.5 C- 70 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 41 1969-1970 24.0 10.4 0.0 10.0 44.4 C- 70 42 1955-1956 33.0 7.3 0.0 4.0 44.3 C- 69 43 1927-1928 19.0 13.1 5.5 6.0 43.6 C- 68 44 2003-2004 22.0 12.4 0.0 9.0 43.4 C- 67 45 1932-1933 13.0 14.5 6.5 9.0 43.0 C- 67 46 1900-1901 27.0 8.8 0.0 7.0 42.8 C- 66 47 1970-1971 27.0 10.0 0.0 5.0 42.0 C- 65 48 1983-1984 26.0 6.8 0.0 9.0 41.8 C- 64 49 1993-1994 24.0 6.1 0.0 11.0 41.1 C- 64 50 1942-1943 21.0 12.0 0.0 8.0 41.0 C- 63 51 2010-2011 24.0 9.4 0.0 7.0 40.4 C- 62 52 2024-2025 17.0 8.4 2.2 11.0 38.6 C- 61 53 1957-1958 16.0 12.6 6.1 3.0 37.7 C- 61 54 1925-1926 23.0 5.6 0.0 9.0 37.6 C- 60 55 1901-1902 27.0 7.6 0.0 3.0 37.6 C- 59 56 1984-1985 18.0 10.3 0.0 9.0 37.3 C- 58 57 1956-1957 17.0 10.3 0.0 10.0 37.3 C- 58 58 1958-1959 29.0 4.9 0.0 3.0 36.9 C- 57 59 1964-1965 17.0 9.8 0.0 10.0 36.8 C- 56 60 2004-2005 23.0 6.5 0.0 7.0 36.5 C- 55 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 61 2000-2001 27.0 4.4 0.0 5.0 36.4 C- 55 62 2013-2014 19.0 8.1 0.0 9.0 36.1 C- 54 63 1899-1900 21.0 4.0 0.0 10.0 35.0 D+ 53 64 2021-2022 14.0 12.3 1.9 6.0 34.2 D+ 52 65 1915-1916 17.0 9.5 0.2 7.0 33.7 D+ 52 66 1944-1945 27.0 5.6 0.0 1.0 33.6 D+ 51 67 1926-1927 25.0 3.3 0.0 5.0 33.3 D+ 50 68 1902-1903 25.0 5.2 0.0 3.0 33.2 D+ 49 69 2018-2019 8.0 12.9 3.3 7.0 31.2 D+ 48 70 1980-1981 23.0 4.5 0.0 3.0 30.5 D+ 48 71 1906-1907 21.0 5.1 0.0 4.0 30.1 D+ 47 72 1897-1898 20.0 8.0 0.0 2.0 30.0 D+ 46 73 1950-1951 18.0 6.2 0.0 4.0 28.2 D+ 45 74 1905-1906 11.0 8.3 0.0 8.0 27.3 D+ 45 75 1893-1894 17.0 5.3 0.0 5.0 27.3 D+ 44 76 1943-1944 18.0 4.1 0.0 5.0 27.1 D+ 43 77 1973-1974 7.0 12.5 1.0 6.0 26.5 D 42 78 1961-1962 18.0 4.5 0.0 4.0 26.5 D 42 79 1933-1934 19.0 3.5 0.0 4.0 26.5 D 41 80 1930-1931 21.0 2.5 0.0 3.0 26.5 D 40 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 81 1907-1908 17.0 4.7 0.0 4.0 25.7 D 39 82 1937-1938 22.0 1.5 0.0 2.0 25.5 D 39 83 1968-1969 25.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 25.2 D 38 84 2017-2018 19.0 3.1 0.0 3.0 25.1 D 37 85 1978-1979 14.0 7.1 0.0 4.0 25.1 D 36 86 2023-2024 9.0 7.9 0.0 8.0 24.9 D 36 87 1951-1952 15.0 6.4 0.0 3.0 24.4 D 35 88 2008-2009 20.0 1.9 0.0 2.0 23.9 D 34 89 1985-1986 19.0 2.5 0.0 2.0 23.5 D 33 90 1948-1949 7.0 11.8 0.7 4.0 23.5 D 33 91 1940-1941 15.0 4.7 0.0 3.0 22.7 D 32 92 1895-1896 19.0 1.4 0.0 2.0 22.4 D 31 93 1979-1980 8.0 8.9 0.0 5.0 21.9 D 30 94 1982-1983 9.0 6.6 1.6 4.0 21.2 D 30 95 1912-1913 7.0 7.1 1.5 5.0 20.6 D 29 96 1928-1929 20.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 20.5 D 28 97 1954-1955 16.0 2.4 0.0 1.0 19.4 D 27 98 1946-1947 10.0 6.3 0.0 3.0 19.3 D 27 99 1991-1992 13.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 19.0 D 26 100 1990-1991 7.0 7.8 0.0 4.0 18.8 D 25 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 101 1998-1999 15.0 2.7 0.0 1.0 18.7 D 24 102 1923-1924 14.0 2.7 0.0 2.0 18.7 D 23 103 1988-1989 12.0 4.1 0.0 2.0 18.1 D 23 104 1941-1942 14.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 18.0 D 22 105 1920-1921 16.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 D 21 106 2005-2006 10.0 4.8 0.0 3.0 17.8 D- 20 107 2014-2015 9.0 3.6 0.0 5.0 17.6 D- 20 108 1922-1923 11.0 4.9 0.0 1.0 16.9 D- 19 109 1996-1997 12.0 2.7 0.0 2.0 16.7 D- 18 110 1975-1976 15.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 15.5 D- 17 111 2007-2008 8.0 3.9 0.0 3.0 14.9 D- 17 112 2006-2007 12.0 1.3 0.0 1.0 14.3 D- 16 113 1952-1953 7.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 14.0 D- 15 114 1974-1975 4.0 6.7 0.0 3.0 13.7 D- 14 115 1918-1919 13.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 13.5 D- 14 116 1972-1973 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 D- 13 117 1913-1914 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 D- 12 118 1971-1972 9.0 1.8 0.0 1.0 11.8 D- 11 119 1994-1995 5.0 3.9 0.0 2.0 10.9 D- 11 120 2016-2017 8.0 1.4 0.0 1.0 10.4 D- 10 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 121 1959-1960 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 D- 9 122 2001-2002 5.0 2.7 0.0 1.0 8.7 F 8 123 2020-2021 6.0 2.6 0.0 0.0 8.6 F 8 124 1936-1937 7.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 8.5 F 7 125 2011-2012 5.0 1.7 0.0 1.0 7.7 F 6 126 2012-2013 5.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 6.1 F 5 127 1992-1993 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 F 5 128 2019-2020 4.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 4.6 F 4 129 1949-1950 3.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.3 F 3 130 2022-2023 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 F 2 131 1931-1932 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 F 2 132 1997-1998 2.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.1 F 1 Baltimore baltimore Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 1 1917-1918 47.0 32.5 6.0 27.0 112.5 A+ 100 2 1904-1905 39.0 35.1 5.4 31.0 110.5 A+ 99 3 1960-1961 38.0 30.1 7.0 32.0 107.1 A 98 4 1903-1904 48.0 21.4 1.0 27.0 97.4 A- 98 5 1921-1922 22.0 40.1 19.5 14.0 95.6 A- 97 6 1995-1996 29.0 35.9 13.5 15.0 93.4 A- 96 7 1924-1925 25.0 23.0 6.0 30.0 84.0 B+ 95 8 2009-2010 29.0 27.0 12.0 13.0 81.0 B+ 95 9 1939-1940 32.0 16.5 1.0 30.0 79.5 B 94 10 1976-1977 46.0 11.1 0.0 19.0 76.1 B 93 11 1909-1910 27.0 25.5 5.2 18.0 75.7 B 92 12 2015-2016 15.0 30.0 20.5 10.0 75.5 B 92 13 1944-1945 29.0 14.4 2.0 30.0 75.4 B 91 14 1981-1982 35.0 17.2 1.1 21.0 74.3 B 90 15 1962-1963 34.0 15.7 0.0 24.0 73.7 B 89 16 1963-1964 29.0 20.0 5.8 18.0 72.8 B 89 17 1929-1930 29.0 19.4 4.0 20.0 72.4 B 88 18 2002-2003 36.0 15.0 2.4 15.0 68.4 B- 87 19 1999-2000 21.0 23.3 10.6 12.0 66.9 B- 86 20 1934-1935 22.0 21.3 7.5 15.0 65.8 B- 86 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 21 1989-1990 27.0 14.5 0.0 24.0 65.5 B- 85 22 1910-1911 26.0 17.8 2.5 19.0 65.3 B- 84 23 1938-1939 20.0 18.6 3.6 23.0 65.2 B- 83 24 1969-1970 33.0 15.1 1.1 15.0 64.2 B- 83 25 2003-2004 30.0 18.0 0.0 16.0 64.0 B- 82 26 1967-1968 31.0 15.5 3.4 13.0 62.9 C+ 81 27 1987-1988 22.0 20.2 2.5 18.0 62.7 C+ 80 28 1935-1936 26.0 15.3 0.0 21.0 62.3 C+ 80 29 2010-2011 37.0 11.9 2.6 10.0 61.5 C+ 79 30 1955-1956 37.0 9.9 0.0 14.0 60.9 C+ 78 31 1966-1967 22.0 20.8 6.0 12.0 60.8 C+ 77 32 1945-1946 23.0 15.0 2.6 20.0 60.6 C+ 77 33 1965-1966 27.0 21.4 6.0 6.0 60.4 C+ 76 34 1986-1987 16.0 25.1 8.4 9.0 58.5 C+ 75 35 1977-1978 34.0 13.5 0.0 11.0 58.5 C+ 74 36 1911-1912 25.0 14.4 0.0 18.0 57.4 C+ 73 37 1919-1920 34.0 7.2 0.0 16.0 57.2 C+ 73 38 2013-2014 31.0 12.7 0.1 13.0 56.8 C+ 72 39 1902-1903 26.0 13.8 0.0 17.0 56.8 C+ 71 40 1916-1917 22.0 16.4 0.0 16.0 54.4 C+ 70 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 41 1896-1897 29.0 10.9 0.0 14.0 53.9 C 70 42 1983-1984 32.0 8.4 0.0 13.0 53.4 C 69 43 1908-1909 15.0 18.5 0.9 18.0 52.4 C 68 44 2000-2001 39.0 5.0 0.0 7.0 51.0 C 67 45 1898-1899 26.0 15.6 0.0 9.0 50.6 C 67 46 1953-1954 16.0 19.6 1.2 13.0 49.8 C 66 47 1927-1928 18.0 15.8 9.3 6.0 49.1 C 65 48 1947-1948 23.0 13.0 0.0 12.0 48.0 C 64 49 1993-1994 30.0 7.8 0.0 10.0 47.8 C 64 50 1961-1962 32.0 12.4 0.0 3.0 47.4 C 63 51 1964-1965 23.0 9.1 0.0 14.0 46.1 C 62 52 1970-1971 30.0 10.4 0.0 5.0 45.4 C 61 53 1942-1943 23.0 11.6 0.0 10.0 44.6 C- 61 54 1932-1933 12.0 14.8 5.5 12.0 44.3 C- 60 55 1958-1959 37.0 2.6 0.0 3.0 42.6 C- 59 56 2017-2018 28.0 6.5 0.0 8.0 42.5 C- 58 57 1984-1985 23.0 9.2 0.0 10.0 42.2 C- 58 58 2021-2022 16.0 13.3 1.8 11.0 42.1 C- 57 59 2024-2025 21.0 8.9 1.6 10.0 41.5 C- 56 60 1957-1958 21.0 11.0 2.8 6.0 40.8 C- 55 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 61 2004-2005 24.0 7.6 0.0 8.0 39.6 C- 55 62 1980-1981 32.0 4.3 0.0 3.0 39.3 C- 54 63 1901-1902 28.0 7.4 0.6 3.0 39.0 C- 53 64 1925-1926 23.0 6.2 0.0 9.0 38.2 C- 52 65 1894-1895 20.0 5.0 0.0 13.0 38.0 C- 52 66 1914-1915 25.0 5.2 0.0 7.0 37.2 C- 51 67 2018-2019 20.0 9.5 0.0 7.0 36.5 C- 50 68 1950-1951 27.0 5.5 0.0 4.0 36.5 C- 49 69 1906-1907 22.0 7.5 0.0 7.0 36.5 C- 48 70 1998-1999 19.0 7.0 0.0 10.0 36.0 C- 48 71 2014-2015 23.0 6.4 0.0 6.0 35.4 D+ 47 72 1933-1934 19.0 8.3 0.0 8.0 35.3 D+ 46 73 1956-1957 16.0 10.9 0.0 8.0 34.9 D+ 45 74 2008-2009 29.0 2.7 0.0 3.0 34.7 D+ 45 75 1996-1997 27.0 5.5 0.0 2.0 34.5 D+ 44 76 1968-1969 30.0 4.4 0.0 0.0 34.4 D+ 43 77 1926-1927 27.0 2.8 0.0 4.0 33.8 D+ 42 78 1973-1974 18.0 9.5 1.0 5.0 33.5 D+ 42 79 1978-1979 18.0 9.4 0.0 6.0 33.4 D+ 41 80 1900-1901 18.0 6.5 0.0 7.0 31.5 D+ 40 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 81 1951-1952 22.0 7.1 0.0 2.0 31.1 D+ 39 82 1985-1986 26.0 2.6 0.0 2.0 30.6 D+ 39 83 2007-2008 19.0 7.2 0.0 4.0 30.2 D+ 38 84 1899-1900 20.0 3.2 0.0 7.0 30.2 D+ 37 85 1954-1955 26.0 2.7 0.0 1.0 29.7 D+ 36 86 1982-1983 14.0 8.4 1.7 5.0 29.1 D+ 36 87 1897-1898 16.0 8.0 0.0 4.0 28.0 D+ 35 88 1988-1989 16.0 6.9 0.0 5.0 27.9 D+ 34 89 1943-1944 15.0 5.9 0.0 7.0 27.9 D+ 33 90 1915-1916 17.0 5.9 0.0 5.0 27.9 D+ 33 91 1948-1949 7.0 11.0 1.8 8.0 27.8 D+ 32 92 1975-1976 24.0 2.4 0.0 1.0 27.4 D+ 31 93 2023-2024 10.0 9.1 0.0 8.0 27.1 D+ 30 94 1990-1991 13.0 9.0 0.0 5.0 27.0 D+ 30 95 1922-1923 13.0 9.6 0.0 4.0 26.6 D 29 96 1905-1906 10.0 6.9 0.7 9.0 26.6 D 28 97 2005-2006 14.0 6.5 0.0 5.0 25.5 D 27 98 1979-1980 16.0 5.1 0.0 4.0 25.1 D 27 99 1940-1941 12.0 7.0 0.0 6.0 25.0 D 26 100 1991-1992 21.0 2.2 0.0 1.0 24.2 D 25 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 101 1952-1953 12.0 8.2 0.0 3.0 23.2 D 24 102 1946-1947 9.0 9.8 0.0 4.0 22.8 D 23 103 1907-1908 13.0 4.7 0.0 5.0 22.7 D 23 104 1972-1973 21.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.0 D 22 105 2020-2021 12.0 5.9 0.0 2.0 19.9 D 21 106 1895-1896 17.0 1.2 0.0 1.0 19.2 D 20 107 2006-2007 16.0 0.9 0.0 2.0 18.9 D 20 108 1930-1931 15.0 2.8 0.0 1.0 18.8 D 19 109 1974-1975 10.0 5.5 0.0 3.0 18.5 D 18 110 1937-1938 15.0 2.2 0.0 1.0 18.2 D 17 111 1893-1894 14.0 1.2 0.0 3.0 18.2 D 17 112 1941-1942 13.0 3.1 0.0 2.0 18.1 D 16 113 1928-1929 16.0 1.1 0.0 1.0 18.1 D 15 114 1959-1960 14.0 1.8 0.0 1.0 16.8 D- 14 115 1923-1924 12.0 2.4 0.0 2.0 16.4 D- 14 116 2001-2002 12.0 2.3 0.0 2.0 16.3 D- 13 117 2012-2013 8.0 4.3 0.0 3.0 15.3 D- 12 118 1971-1972 12.0 2.1 0.0 1.0 15.1 D- 11 119 1992-1993 11.0 2.9 0.0 0.0 13.9 D- 11 120 2019-2020 11.0 1.8 0.0 1.0 13.8 D- 10 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 121 2016-2017 13.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 13.7 D- 9 122 2011-2012 9.0 1.3 0.0 3.0 13.3 D- 8 123 1918-1919 12.0 1.3 0.0 0.0 13.3 D- 8 124 1920-1921 12.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 13.1 D- 7 125 1912-1913 5.0 4.9 0.0 3.0 12.9 D- 6 126 1994-1995 10.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 10.5 D- 5 127 1997-1998 8.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 9.1 D- 5 128 1913-1914 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 D- 4 129 1936-1937 6.0 2.8 0.0 0.0 8.8 F 3 130 2022-2023 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 F 2 131 1931-1932 2.0 1.7 0.0 0.0 3.7 F 2 132 1949-1950 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 3.5 F 1

https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/101/6/bamsD190014.xml ok, only tangentially related, but if you're in the mood to read about some real cold - and Laura Ingalls Wilder - check out the link.