dallen7908

I'm sharing the MD Climate Bulletin disseminated by MD State Climatologist Alfredo Ruiz-Barradas You can access the October Bulletin from the following link: https://www2.atmos.umd.edu/~climate/Bulletin/bulletin_mdsco_current.pdf Points to highlight are: 1) Statewide averages show this month was warmer and drier than normal after a warmer and drier than normal September. This is the eleventh consecutive month with warmer-than-normal temperatures and the sixth month drier than normal since April.2) Regionally speaking, the mean temperature was warmer than normal over nearly all the state, particularly over the southern Charles, Saint Mary's, and southern Calvert counties (above 2.1°F) and portions of Montgomery, Prince George's, Howard, Frederick, Carroll, and Baltimore counties (1.5‒1.8°F). Slightly colder than normal conditions appeared over northern Anne Arundel County. Precipitation was below normal in the entire state, especially over Baltimore, Harford, and Cecil counties, southern Saint Mary's, and Calvert counties, and Caroline, Dorchester, Wicomico, Somerset, and Worcester counties (3.6 to 3.9 inches deficit). These counties, the whole Eastern Shore, and western Montgomery County received just 10% of their climatological rainfall for the month; the rest of the Piedmont and most of the Upper Coastal Plain received not more than 20% of their climatological rainfall. Counties in western Maryland had between 50 and 70% of their climatological precipitation. 3) The extension of the state under drought conditions covered 87% of the state at the end of October, a 6% increase with respect to September. Extreme drought conditions remained in the southern half of Garrett County, and moderate to severe drought conditions developed over the Coastal Plains and Harford and Cecil counties. The creeks and rivers in these regions had below-normal and much below-normal streamflow. Moderate drought conditions remained in portions of Allegany and Washington counties. Counties in the central and western Piedmont had normal to abnormally dry conditions with still normal streamflow in their streams and rivers. 4) Statewide maximum and minimum daily temperatures indicated that the number of days with extreme temperatures was larger than normal, although not the number of waves/spells by the end of October. There were 2 more hot days (maximum temperature warmer than 86°F; 50 vs. 48) than normal but 2 fewer heat waves (2 vs. 9); 12 more warm days (maximum temperature warmer than 80°F; 113 vs. 101) than normal but 2 fewer warm day spells (9 vs. 11); and 13 more warm nights (minimum temperature warmer than 68°F; 40 vs. 27) than normal but the same number of warm night spells (6). 5) Statewide daily total precipitation showed that the number of dry spells (consecutive days with daily precipitation of no more than 0.04 inches) was less than normal by 9 dry spells (31 vs. 40) by the end of the month. However, the mean duration of the dry spells was larger than normal by 2 days (6 vs. 4), and the longest duration of the spells was larger than normal by 8 days (24 vs. 16); the longest dry spell started October 8. 6) Statewide mean, maximum, and minimum temperatures in October (58.3, 71.0, 45.5°F) were above their long-term (1895-2023) mean but far from their historical records of 63.3, 74.4, and 53.8°F set in 2007, 2007 and 2021, respectively. However, the maximum temperature was within 10% of the highest recorded values. Statewide precipitation (0.53 inches) was below the long-term mean within 5% of the smallest values and close to the record of 0.15 inches in 1963. 7) Precipitation indicated that October was among the sixth driest for 19 of the 23 counties and the fourth driest statewide. This month was the driest since 1895 for Dorchester, Wicomico, and Worcester counties. The bulletin is issued once per month and shows the state's recent monthly surface temperature and precipitation conditions in a simple format, helping Marylanders better understand regional climate variations. Please help disseminate this bulletin. Thanks, Alfredo -- ............................................. Alfredo Ruiz-Barradas, PhD Associate Research Professor Maryland State ClimatologistDepartment of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science

"This upgrade substantially improves 2 m temperature and 10 m wind speeds, particularly for the winter months in the northern hemisphere. The largest impacts on 2 m temperature forecasts are for the winter months in the northern hemisphere, where the Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS) is improved by 11% at day 1 and 2% at day 10. These improvements reflect the combined impact of many contributions, including the assimilation of 2 m temperature observation data, upgrades to 4D-Var and land-surface data assimilation methodology, and improvements to the IFS land surface model (Ingleby et al., 2024)."

If anyone is bored, there is a storm to track along the Brooks Range ... From the weather discussion, it looks like the NAM is the outlier. "Snow will be moving into the area Friday morning and continue through Sunday morning before tapering off to light snow and flurries. The snow may be heavy at times, including along the Dalton Highway. Temperatures will be chilly, with highs in the 20s and low 30s as well as lows in the teens."

Good morning, From Alfredo Ruiz-Barradas - state climatologist With apologies for the delay, we now share the Maryland Climate Bulletin for April 2024. You can access it from the following link: https://www2.atmos.umd.edu/~climate/Bulletin/bulletin_mdsco_current.pdf Points to highlight are: 1) Statewide averages show this month was warmer and drier than normal. This is the fifth consecutive month with temperatures warmer than normal. 2) Regionally speaking, mean temperatures were warmer than normal everywhere, especially in Garrett County (around 4.2°F) and portions of Montgomery and Frederick counties (around 3.3°F). Precipitation was above normal over the state's northern counties, particularly Garrett County (2.5 inches) and parts of Harford, Cecil, and Kent counties (around 1.5 inches). Below-normal precipitation was found over the rest of the state, especially over parts of Caroline, Dorchester, Wicomico, Somerset, and Worcester counties (2 inches deficit) that received around forty percent of their climatological precipitation. 3) Drought conditions were absent again, and above-normal streamflow was present throughout the state at the end of April 2024. 4) Mean temperatures showed significant warming trends (1895-2024) everywhere in the state; the larger trends are found over the northern-central counties, with a maximum over Baltimore City (4.0°F/century). Precipitation displayed significant wetting trends only over Garrett and Allegany counties (0.6 in/century). 5) Mean, maximum, and minimum statewide temperatures in April 2024 (56.6, 67.2, and 46.0°F) were above the long-term averages, but only the mean and minimum temperatures were among the 10% of the highest values (1895-2023). On the other hand, statewide precipitation (3.23 in) was below the long-term average. Temperatures and precipitation were far from their historical records. 6) April 2024 was the fourth warmest April in Garrett County, the seventh warmest in Howard and Montgomery counties, the eighth warmest in Frederick, and the ninth warmest in Anne Arundel and Prince George’s counties. It was also the fifth driest April in Wicomico County, the seventh driest in Somerset and Worcester counties, and the eighth in Dorchester County. 7) Minimum temperatures in April 2024 in the counties and Baltimore City were closer to their warmest temperatures on record than the maximum temperatures were. The bulletin is issued once per month and shows the state's recent monthly surface temperature and precipitation conditions in a simple format, helping Marylanders better understand regional climate variations. Please help disseminate this bulletin. Thanks, Alfredo

https://www2.atmos.umd.edu/~climate/Bulletin/bulletin_mdsco_current.pdf Points to highlight are: 1) Statewide averages show this month was warmer and wetter than normal. This is the fourth consecutive month with temperatures warmer than normal. 2) Regionally speaking, mean temperatures were warmer than normal everywhere, especially in Garrett County (around 6.0°F) and portions of Montgomery and Frederick counties (around 5.2°F). Precipitation was above normal almost everywhere, especially in the southeastern counties of Wicomico, Somerset, and Worcester counties (above 4 in), which received 190-200% of their climatological precipitation. 3) Drought conditions were absent again, and above-normal streamflow was present throughout the state at the end of March 2024. 4) Mean temperatures showed significant warming trends (1895-2024) everywhere in the state except Garrett and Allegany counties; the larger trends are found over the northern-central counties, with a maximum over Baltimore City (3.0°F/century). Precipitation displayed non-significant trends, with the largest wetting and drying trends occurring in Baltimore and Garrett counties. 5) Mean, maximum, and minimum statewide temperatures in March 2024 (48.2, 58.6, and 37.7°F) were above the long-term averages and among the 10% of the highest values (1895-2023). Statewide precipitation in this month (5.67 in) was also above the long-term average and within the10% of the highest values. 6) March 2024 was the second wettest March on record in Somerset, Wicomico, and Worcester counties, the fourth wettest in Caroline and Dorchester counties, and the fifth wettest in Calvert and Saint Mary’s counties. 7) So far this year, statewide minimum temperatures indicate the state has had 4 fewer freezing days (daily minimum temperature less than or equal to 32°F) than the climatology (61 days for the period 1991-2020). The bulletin is issued once per month and shows the state's recent monthly surface temperature and precipitation conditions in a simple format, helping Marylanders better understand regional climate variations. Please help disseminate this bulletin. Thanks, Alfredo Ruiz-Barradas, PhD Associate Research Professor Maryland State Climatologist

I'm taking the Jebman's advice and getting out of Texas tomorrow - hoping to view the eclipse in a cirrus-filled sky at Fenley Farms in Valliant, Oklahoma - near Broken Bow.

I'm heading to Dallas too but sans car and hoping for the best. If you find me hiding under an umbrella at the Cotton Bowl - I'll never admit that I have 3 degrees in meteorology.

Maybe clearer here? On July 22, 2028, a total solar eclipse will occur in Australia and New Zealand. The maximum duration of totality for this eclipse will be 5 minutes and 10 seconds. https://nationaleclipse.com/maps/map_07222028.html

Alfredo Ruiz-Barrados, the state climatologist just put out this summary of winter 2023-2024 You can access the winter Bulletin from the following link: https://www2.atmos.umd.edu/~climate/Bulletin/bulletin_mdsco_win24.pdf Points to highlight for winter 2023-24 are: 1) Winter 2023-24 was considerably warmer and wetter than normal, following warmer and wetter than normal December 2023 and January 2024, and a warmer and drier than normal February 2024. 2) The partial water year, October 2023 - February 2024, was above normal over most of the state (3-21% more than climatology), except for the southern half of Garret County (6-9% less than climatology) and western Allegany and western Charles counties (3-6% less than climatology). 3) Winter 2023-24 was the 5th warmest and 5th wettest among the 129 winters on record (1896-2024). 4) Significant, century-plus (1896-2024) warming trends exist throughout the state, particularly over the Piedmont corridor of Frederick, Montgomery, Howard, Carroll, Baltimore, Harford, and Cecil counties (3.4-3.6°F/century). 5) A significant increasing trend in statewide mean temperature (3.1°F/century) is coincident with a significant decreasing trend in statewide heating degree-days (-292.2°FDD)

I occasionally stay at the YMCA of the Rockies in Granby when XC skiing at Devil's Thumb, Breckenridge, Frisco, or Snow Mountain Ranch.

Cold rain for the peak of the cherry blossoms - fun.

Here are the better than median March-April's for Baltimore T<=32 is days with mean T of 32 or below Snowfall in inches MECSb is (Daily_Snowfall - 5") D>1" is days with 1" or more of snow on the ground. While it's likely over for the lowlands, we have had some memorable months of March including 3 with > 20" of snow in the Baltimore area. It's hard to fathom that more than half of the days in March 1960 had mean temperatures of 32 or less. March 2014 also shows up - I remember my son chipping ice at a dock so they could begin the crew season. Baltimore Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 1 1959-1960 17.0 21.6 5.1 13.0 56.7 A++ 100 2 1941-1942 0.0 22.2 17.0 3.0 42.2 A- 99 3 1933-1934 8.0 14.0 1.0 10.0 33.0 B 98 4 1923-1924 0.0 21.4 5.8 4.0 31.2 B- 98 5 1992-1993 5.0 12.7 6.3 7.0 31.0 B- 97 6 1895-1896 5.0 13.8 1.0 9.0 28.8 B- 96 7 1961-1962 6.0 13.6 5.0 4.0 28.6 B- 95 8 1905-1906 10.0 11.2 0.0 7.0 28.2 B- 95 9 2013-2014 11.0 12.1 0.0 4.0 27.1 C+ 94 10 1913-1914 7.0 11.6 0.0 7.0 25.6 C+ 93 11 1940-1941 5.0 12.1 1.0 7.0 25.1 C+ 92 12 1908-1909 3.0 11.7 5.2 4.0 23.9 C 92 13 1936-1937 2.0 14.7 1.0 6.0 23.7 C 91 14 1977-1978 8.0 8.5 0.0 6.0 22.5 C 90 15 1899-1900 5.0 9.5 0.0 8.0 22.5 C 89 16 1957-1958 1.0 13.7 0.0 7.0 21.7 C 88 17 1963-1964 1.0 13.6 4.7 2.0 21.3 C 88 18 1942-1943 4.0 14.7 0.0 2.0 20.7 C 87 19 1943-1944 6.0 8.6 0.0 6.0 20.6 C 86 20 1915-1916 10.0 7.9 0.0 2.0 19.9 C- 85 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 21 2014-2015 5.0 7.7 1.2 4.0 17.9 C- 85 22 1910-1911 5.0 8.4 1.2 3.0 17.6 C- 84 23 1911-1912 7.0 8.5 0.0 2.0 17.5 C- 83 24 1998-1999 4.0 7.6 0.0 5.0 16.6 C- 82 25 1995-1996 7.0 7.6 0.0 2.0 16.6 C- 82 26 1906-1907 4.0 7.7 1.6 3.0 16.3 C- 81 27 1955-1956 4.0 7.8 0.4 4.0 16.2 C- 80 28 1983-1984 6.0 6.1 0.0 4.0 16.1 C- 79 29 1930-1931 0.0 10.0 3.3 2.0 15.3 D+ 78 30 1922-1923 5.0 7.3 1.0 2.0 15.3 D+ 78 31 2016-2017 8.0 2.3 0.0 4.0 14.3 D+ 77 32 1951-1952 3.0 7.0 1.0 3.0 14.0 D+ 76 33 1968-1969 3.0 7.8 0.0 3.0 13.8 D+ 75 34 2008-2009 4.0 5.8 0.0 4.0 13.8 D+ 75 35 1979-1980 4.0 5.7 0.0 4.0 13.7 D+ 74 36 1964-1965 3.0 8.4 0.0 2.0 13.4 D+ 73 37 1931-1932 8.0 3.2 0.0 2.0 13.2 D+ 72 38 2002-2003 5.0 2.6 0.0 5.0 12.6 D+ 72 39 1975-1976 0.0 7.8 2.8 2.0 12.6 D+ 71 40 1914-1915 0.0 9.5 0.0 3.0 12.5 D+ 70 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 41 1967-1968 3.0 5.3 0.0 2.0 10.3 D 69 42 1993-1994 3.0 4.2 0.0 3.0 10.2 D 68 43 1919-1920 4.0 2.4 0.0 3.0 9.4 D 68 44 1901-1902 2.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 D 67 45 2017-2018 0.0 6.7 0.0 2.0 8.7 D 66 46 1952-1953 3.0 3.6 0.0 2.0 8.6 D 65 47 2004-2005 5.0 0.4 0.0 3.0 8.4 D 65 48 1916-1917 2.0 5.2 0.0 1.0 8.2 D 64 49 1937-1938 1.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 D 63 50 1893-1894 1.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 D 62 51 1946-1947 1.0 2.8 0.0 4.0 7.8 D- 62 52 2006-2007 4.0 1.6 0.0 2.0 7.6 D- 61 53 1925-1926 7.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 7.6 D- 60 54 2018-2019 3.0 2.7 0.0 1.0 6.7 D- 59 55 1966-1967 4.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 6.5 D- 58 56 1939-1940 4.0 1.8 0.0 0.0 5.8 D- 58 57 1898-1899 3.0 1.6 0.0 1.0 5.6 D- 57 58 1932-1933 2.0 2.5 0.0 1.0 5.5 D- 56 59 2012-2013 0.0 3.2 0.0 2.0 5.2 D- 55 60 1974-1975 4.0 1.2 0.0 0.0 5.2 D- 55 Rank YEAR T<=32 Snow MECSb D>1" Points Grade PCTL 61 1997-1998 3.0 2.1 0.0 0.0 5.1 D- 54 62 1991-1992 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 D- 53 63 1985-1986 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 D- 52 64 1969-1970 3.0 1.9 0.0 0.0 4.9 D- 52 65 1989-1990 1.0 2.8 0.0 1.0 4.8 D- 51 66 1954-1955 3.0 1.2 0.0 0.0 4.2 D- 50

Book that cabin in Arroostook County for March 15-18 and enjoying tracking the next few weeks.