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mattie g

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Everything posted by mattie g

  1. mattie g
    Got it. I was thinking much in the same way, but your description helped clarify it - particularly the parts about more amplified waves and greater baroclinicity.
  2. mattie g
    Absolutely mindblowing what we can do in space. Launch a satellite whose destination is a million miles away, and do it with precision. I mean...that's not even to mention the whole notion of using the gravity of other planets as slingshots, but needing to hit those locations at precise moments. Just ridiculous stuff.
  3. mattie g
    Given that I don't know a lot, I'm happy that you said this because I was thinking the exact same thing. When I saw that energy diving down the backside of the vort, I thought it was going to 1) close off and 2) go boom. First thing happened at hour 120, but it only did the second as the energy kind of jumped northeast off Nantucket at 126. When I that 126 panel came in, I went from 12 to 6 pretty quickly.
  4. mattie g
    Except that it doesn't.
  5. mattie g
    Question: Why is it that Miller Bs (seem to) have much more explosive development than Miller As? Is it because, at their core, they are two distinctly different storm types?
  6. mattie g
    Been showing up on a lot of the recent runs. 06z Icon snows for 6-10 hours with that.
  7. mattie g
    I hope your wife's months worth of planning falls to sh*t due to a snowstorm.
  8. mattie g
  9. mattie g
    I agree. There comes a point when the general look on models is consistent enough to know when you’re out of the game. The changes in smaller details that always happen simply won’t make a difference to the weather in your backyard.
  10. mattie g
    Exactly. They make it sounds like winter is over within a couple weeks. Just a dumb statement from an official source.
  11. mattie g
    That’s an awful end to that disco.
  12. mattie g
    I’m going to be honest here… I know you’re a young chap, but your posts have gotten a lot worse in the last few weeks. Take that for whatever it’s worth.
  13. mattie g
    We don’t need blocking for snow. We need blocking for big snow, but if we have cold air and some semblance of a southern stream, we can get light to moderate events coming at us from the southwest.
  14. mattie g
    I think of myself as self-taught.
  15. mattie g
    I see -PNA. Likely to be El Nino next year when +PNA turns - in February and early end to winter. This is how it happens.
  16. mattie g
    Pretty sure I'm dealing with a kidney stone right now. Pain came on suddenly about 90 minutes ago. It's f'ing miserable.
  17. mattie g
    Pouring rain on screaming southerlies all the way into northern New England.
  18. mattie g
    As the last few frames came out, I thought I heard - albeit faintly - the sounds of a sad trombone somewhere off in the distance...
  19. mattie g
    Don't do that. I'm only looking pivotal and it's not out that far.
  20. mattie g
    Banana high over the top...
  21. mattie g
    I wanted to pop in here to say that I feel like I've learned a lot so far this winter. Maybe it's because we've had plenty of threats to track in the last 3-4 weeks and that I have a good internet connection due to working from home ( ), but I've found myself doing a lot less initial analysis based on the surface depictions and much more at the upper levels.
  22. mattie g
    Northern stream vort on the Euro is moving a bit more east than the 12z GFS did. Edit: At 168 is starts to drive south. Lots of energy swinging in around the back side.
  23. mattie g
    Looks like it might be about a day faster than the 12z GFS.
  24. mattie g
    What were you expecting? It's only out through like 140.
  25. mattie g
    There's a legit block though. The main issue I could see is that there is an area of lower heights in the Great Lakes area that the storm could try to move towards. If that block folds back over the top/shifts just slightly west, I can't see it cutting.
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